Austin FC vs Atlanta United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Austin FC - Atlanta United
Result
1:1
14/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Badawi M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.33
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
85% (340/401)84% (336/400)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.801.35
Total shots
188
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
85% (340/401)84% (336/400)
Long passes
45% (25/56)50% (27/54)
Passes in final third
66% (80/122)70% (57/81)
Crosses
26% (7/27)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.06
Throw-ins
1725
Fouls
1010
Tackles
63% (5/8)33% (2/6)
Duels won
3833
Clearances
1335
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.350.80
Goals prevented
0.35-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Vazquez B. ,
  • 56', Latte Lath E. , Thiare J. ,
  • 56', Hernandez R. , Fortune A. ,
  • 57', Klich M. , Muyumba T. ,
  • 59', Fortune A. 🟨,
  • 69', Williams D. , Lobjanidze S. ,
  • 79', Wolff O. , Kolmanic Z. ,
  • 79', Bukari O. , Obrian J. ,
  • 84', Miranchuk Al. , Mosquera E. ,
  • 85', Vazquez B. , Fodrey C. ,
  • 85', Sabovic B. , Dubersarsky N. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Thiare J. , Lobjanidze S. (A),
  • 90+3', Uzuni M. , Rubio D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Austin FC
50.2%
Draw
24.7%
Atlanta United
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 26.9% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 27% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austin FC's performance.
  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austin FC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Austin FC - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.32)
    3.86
    (3.53)
    3.81
    (2.94)
    4.7%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Austin FC - Atlanta United?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Atlanta will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Austin: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Austin (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Atlanta (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
    • Austin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlanta is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Atlanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Austin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Austin: Pereira D. (Hip Injury) Taylor R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlanta: Amador P. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Austin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    Latest results of Austin FC
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    MLS Table
    Main

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    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
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    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
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    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
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    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

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