Austin FC vs Atlanta United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Austin FC - Atlanta United
Result
1:1
14/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Badawi M. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.33
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
85% (340/401)84% (336/400)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.33
xG on target (xGOT)
0.801.35
Total shots
188
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
85% (340/401)84% (336/400)
Long passes
45% (25/56)50% (27/54)
Passes in final third
66% (80/122)70% (57/81)
Crosses
26% (7/27)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.921.06
Throw-ins
1725
Fouls
1010
Tackles
63% (5/8)33% (2/6)
Duels won
3833
Clearances
1335
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.350.80
Goals prevented
0.35-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 1 - 0, Vazquez B. ,
  • 56', Latte Lath E. , Thiare J. ,
  • 56', Hernandez R. , Fortune A. ,
  • 57', Klich M. , Muyumba T. ,
  • 59', Fortune A. 🟨,
  • 69', Williams D. , Lobjanidze S. ,
  • 79', Wolff O. , Kolmanic Z. ,
  • 79', Bukari O. , Obrian J. ,
  • 84', Miranchuk Al. , Mosquera E. ,
  • 85', Vazquez B. , Fodrey C. ,
  • 85', Sabovic B. , Dubersarsky N. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Thiare J. , Lobjanidze S. (A),
  • 90+3', Uzuni M. , Rubio D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Austin FC
50.2%
Draw
24.7%
Atlanta United
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 26.9% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 27% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austin FC's performance.
  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austin FC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Austin FC - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.32)
    3.86
    (3.53)
    3.81
    (2.94)
    4.7%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Austin FC - Atlanta United?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Atlanta will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Austin: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Austin (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Atlanta (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
    • Austin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlanta is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Atlanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Austin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Austin: Pereira D. (Hip Injury) Taylor R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlanta: Amador P. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Austin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    Latest results of Austin FC
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2