Result
1:1
14/05/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Badawi M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (340/401) | 84% (336/400) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (340/401) | 84% (336/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 50% (27/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (80/122) | 70% (57/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 33% (2/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 0, Vazquez B. ⚽,
- 56', Latte Lath E. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
- 56', Hernandez R. ↓, Fortune A. ↑,
- 57', Klich M. ↓, Muyumba T. ↑,
- 59', Fortune A. 🟨,
- 69', Williams D. ↓, Lobjanidze S. ↑,
- 79', Wolff O. ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
- 79', Bukari O. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
- 84', Miranchuk Al. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
- 85', Vazquez B. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
- 85', Sabovic B. ↓, Dubersarsky N. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Thiare J. ⚽, Lobjanidze S. (A),
- 90+3', Uzuni M. ↓, Rubio D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Austin FC
50.2% | Draw
24.7% | Atlanta United
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austin FC's performance.Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austin FC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Austin FC - Atlanta United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2.32) |
3.86 ↑
(3.53) |
3.81 ↑
(2.94) |
4.7%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Austin FC - Atlanta United?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Atlanta will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austin: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Austin (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Atlanta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
- Austin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlanta is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Atlanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Austin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Austin: Pereira D.
(Hip Injury)
Taylor R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Atlanta: Gregersen S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlanta: Amador P.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Austin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Austin FC won against Atlanta United?
Austin FC has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta United won against Austin FC?
Atlanta United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - Atlanta United were as follows:
Latest results of Austin FC
Latest results of Atlanta United
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 52 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 44:30 | 14 | 47 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:36 | 7 | 41 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:37 | -2 | 37 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 36:41 | -5 | 36 |
| 8 | Austin FC | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 35 |
| 9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 50:47 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 27:33 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | FC Dallas | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 38:46 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33:42 | -9 | 29 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 37:50 | -13 | 24 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 29:44 | -15 | 21 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 29:55 | -26 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 42:34 | 8 | 52 |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 51 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 47 |
| 4 | Orlando City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 53:35 | 18 | 47 |
| 5 | Inter Miami | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 53:39 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 42:37 | 5 | 45 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | New York City | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 41 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 39 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 39 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33:37 | -4 | 28 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 13 | Atlanta Utd | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 31:49 | -18 | 22 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25:48 | -23 | 20 |
| 15 | DC United | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 23:52 | -29 | 20 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
