Austin FC vs El Paso Locomotive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football US Open Cup
Result
3:2
07/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.850.89
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
2118
Shots on target
107
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
81% (277/342)87% (347/401)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.850.89
xG on target (xGOT)
3.750.96
Total shots
2118
Shots on target
107
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
1712
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
4720
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
81% (277/342)87% (347/401)
Long passes
62% (24/39)56% (23/41)
Passes in final third
62% (71/114)70% (52/74)
Crosses
40% (8/20)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.940.58
Throw-ins
2614
Fouls
1510
Tackles
77% (10/13)83% (19/23)
Duels won
3644
Clearances
1820
Interceptions
26
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
57
xGOT faced
0.963.75
Goals prevented
-1.040.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 19', Obrian J. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Avila R. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
  • 34', 0 - 2, Avila R. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Rubio D. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
  • 46', Obrian J. ↓, Bukari O. ↑,
  • 60', Dubersarsky N. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
  • 60', Sabovic B. ↓, Wolff O. ↑,
  • 62', Kolmanic Z. ↓, Guilherme Biro ↑,
  • 70', Avila R. ↓, Moshobane T. ↑,
  • 73', 1 - 2, Vazquez B. ⚽, Wolff O. (A),
  • 76', 2 - 2, Uzuni M. ⚽, Vazquez B. (A),
  • 80', 3 - 2, Vazquez B. ⚽, Wolff O. (A),
  • 81', Quezada A. ↓, Coronado R. ↑,
  • 81', Moreno A. ↓, Carter D. ↑,
  • 81', Gabriel Torres ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
  • 85', Cabrera A. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
  • 88', Wolff O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Austin FC
61.9%		Draw
22%		El Paso Locomotive
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 23.6% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 23.3% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
    •

    Austin FC - El Paso Locomotive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.48 ↓
    (1.55)    		 4.15 ↑
    (3.82)    		 5.7 ↑
    (4.9)    		 9.3%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Austin FC - El Paso Locomotive?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 2 - 50%). El Paso will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Austin has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • El Paso is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, El Paso has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Austin is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Austin FC
    03.05.2025 Austin FC - Minnesota United 0:3 ✺
    26.04.2025 Houston Dynamo - Austin FC 2:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Austin FC - Los Angeles Galaxy 1:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps - Austin FC 5:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Austin FC - Portland Timbers 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
    03.05.2025 El Paso Locomotive - New Mexico United 3:0
    26.04.2025 Texoma - El Paso Locomotive 0:1
    19.04.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - El Paso Locomotive 1:1
    16.04.2025 New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive 2:3
    13.04.2025 Birmingham Legion - El Paso Locomotive 3:1
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1Steel CityPittsburgh1 : 2
    2Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    3Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    4VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3
    5FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    6TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    7Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    8BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    9Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    10CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    11AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    12Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    13ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    14Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    15Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    16West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    17Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    18MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    19Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    20Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    21LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    22Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    23Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    24DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    25Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    26VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    27San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    28Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    29New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    30Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    31Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    32Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1PittsburghVirginia Dream
    2Asheville CityOne Knoxville
    3FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs
    4Indy ElevenUnion Omaha
    5Charlotte Independ.Charleston
    6Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic
    7ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo
    8Richmond KickersLoudoun
    9Rhode IslandHartford Athletic
    10Vermont GreenWestchester SC
    11LexingtonLouisville City
    12Flint CityDetroit
    13Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity
    14San AntonioFC Tulsa
    15New MexicoEl Paso
    16Orange County SCPhoenix Rising
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