Result
2:1
22/11/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 38
- Referee: Junior R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 398 | 431 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 312 | 344 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Sergio Raphael 🟨,
- 39', Rodrigo Santos 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Mario Sergio ⚽, Pedro Castro (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Hygor ↓, Willian Pottker ↑,
- 61', Rodrigo Santos ↓, Mauricio Garcez ↑,
- 61', Jonathan Costa ↓, Vilar ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Mauricio Garcez ⚽,
- 71', Gabriel Novaes ↓, Renato ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Renato ⚽,
- 73', Cesar Augusto 🟨,
- 77', Emerson Santos 🟨,
- 78', Vagner Love ↓, Joao Paulo ↑,
- 78', Gaspar ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
- 86', Iago Dias ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
- 86', Vasconcelos J. ↓, Thomas Luciano ↑,
- 90+4', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
- 90+5', Castro 🟨,
- 90+5', Natanael 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avaí
60.5% | Draw
24.4% | Ponte Preta
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avaí's performance.Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponte Preta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avaí that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponte Preta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Avaí - Ponte Preta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.9) |
3.86 ↑
(3.22) |
6.08 ↑
(4.36) |
7%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Ponte Preta is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Avaí won 1.
- Recent matches Avaí is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ponte Preta is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Avaí is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Avaí: Alan
(Injury)
Gabriel Barros
(Injury)
- There will not play in Ponte Preta: Luiz Felipe
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Jean Lucas
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Jean Carlos
(Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Avaí won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:13 (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Ponte Preta?
Avaí has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Avaí?
Ponte Preta has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Ponte Preta were as follows:
04.08.2024
Ponte Preta
-
Avaí
1:0
04.11.2023
Ponte Preta
-
Avaí
0:1
08.07.2023
Avaí
-
Ponte Preta
0:1
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 28:16 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Goias | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:21 | 12 | 42 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Remo | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30:29 | 1 | 37 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Athletico-PR | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Avai | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 36 |
| 10 | Vila Nova FC | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 25:25 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | CRB | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:23 | 3 | 34 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27:24 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | America MG | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 26 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 24 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
