Avaí vs Ponte Preta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Avaí - Ponte Preta
Result
2:1
22/11/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 38
  • Referee: Junior R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
1510
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
106
Blocked Shots
21
Free Kicks
2217
Corner Kicks
97
Offsides
42
Throw-ins
2919
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Fouls
1520
Yellow Cards
43
Total Passes
398431
Completed Passes
312344

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Sergio Raphael 🟨,
  • 39', Rodrigo Santos 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Mario Sergio , Pedro Castro (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Hygor , Willian Pottker ,
  • 61', Rodrigo Santos , Mauricio Garcez ,
  • 61', Jonathan Costa , Vilar ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Mauricio Garcez ,
  • 71', Gabriel Novaes , Renato ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Renato ,
  • 73', Cesar Augusto 🟨,
  • 77', Emerson Santos 🟨,
  • 78', Vagner Love , Joao Paulo ,
  • 78', Gaspar , Pedrinho ,
  • 86', Iago Dias , Matheus Regis ,
  • 86', Vasconcelos J. , Thomas Luciano ,
  • 90+4', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
  • 90+5', Castro 🟨,
  • 90+5', Natanael 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Avaí
60.5%
Draw
24.4%
Ponte Preta
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 29.2% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 28.1% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avaí's performance.
  • Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponte Preta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avaí that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponte Preta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Avaí - Ponte Preta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.9)
    3.86
    (3.22)
    6.08
    (4.36)
    7%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • Ponte Preta is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Avaí won 1.
    • Recent matches Avaí is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ponte Preta is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Avaí is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Avaí: Alan (Injury) Gabriel Barros (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ponte Preta: Luiz Felipe (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Avaí: Jean Lucas (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Jean Carlos (Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Avaí won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:13 (average 0.7:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Avaí won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.4:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Ponte Preta were as follows:
    04.08.2024 Ponte Preta - Avaí 1:0
    04.11.2023 Ponte Preta - Avaí 0:1
    08.07.2023 Avaí - Ponte Preta 0:1
    Latest results of Avaí
    18.11.2024 Botafogo SP - Avaí 1:3
    10.11.2024 Avaí - Mirassol 0:0
    03.11.2024 Ceará - Avaí 2:0
    25.10.2024 Avaí - Vila Nova 3:0
    Latest results of Ponte Preta
    16.11.2024 Ponte Preta - Sport Recife 0:4
    11.11.2024 Vila Nova - Ponte Preta 2:1
    04.11.2024 Ponte Preta - Paysandu 1:2
    26.10.2024 Mirassol - Ponte Preta 3:0
    23.10.2024 Ponte Preta - Brusque 2:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba20115422:14838
    2Goias19114424:15937
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo2079422:19330
    6Criciuma2085723:18529
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10Operario-PR2075822:20226
    11CRB1974820:18225
    12Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    13Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    14Ferroviaria2058720:22-223
    15Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    16America MG19631020:26-621
    17Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    18Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    19Amazonas1947818:25-719
    20Botafogo SP1946912:27-1518

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )