Result
0:0
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 7
- Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (259/314) | 89% (414/466) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (259/314) | 89% (414/466) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/42) | 63% (24/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (57/84) | 79% (88/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 33% (7/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.38 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Paoletti F. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lescano F. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 46', Insigne R. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
- 46', Bragantini D. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
- 57', Caprini M. 🟨,
- 63', Caprini M. ↓, Ruocco F. ↑,
- 63', Bonfanti N. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
- 68', Palmiero L. 🟨,
- 72', Bani C. 🟨,
- 73', Bani C. ↓, Mantovani V. ↑,
- 75', Cagnano A. ↓, Crespi V. ↑,
- 75', Missori F. ↓, Milani A. ↑,
- 76', Kumi J. 🟨,
- 80', Palmiero L. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
- 89', Artioli F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avellino
47.1% | Draw
28.9% | Mantova
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avellino's performance.Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mantova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mantova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Avellino - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.26) |
3.21 ↓
(3.41) |
3.95 ↑
(3.03) |
5.2%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Avellino - Mantova?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Avellino (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH -0.5 - Avellino (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Avellino will win
(29 of 29 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Avellino will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Avellino is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mantova is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Avellino is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Avellino: D'Andrea L.
(Knee Injury)
De Cristofaro A.
(Knee Injury)
Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Patierno C.
(Illness)
Rigione M.
(Muscle Injury)
Sounas D.
(Inactive)
Tutino G.
(Ankle Injury)
- We predict that Avellino will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Mantova?
Avellino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Avellino?
Mantova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Mantova were as follows:
Latest results of Avellino
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Palermo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Venezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Avellino | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Cesena | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Monza | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Entella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Bari | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Pescara | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Spezia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
