Result
 
                    0:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        04/10/2025 at  09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Serie B - Round 7
- Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Israel | 5 SPORT Israel | 
|  Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel | 
|  United-kingdom | DCTV | 
|  Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox | 
|  World | Onefootball | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.72 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 41% | 59% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 12 | 19 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 11 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 7 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (259/314) | 89% (414/466) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.72 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.38 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 12 | 19 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 11 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 7 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 12 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 7 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 16 | 21 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 13 | 13 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (259/314) | 89% (414/466) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 40% (17/42) | 63% (24/38) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 68% (57/84) | 79% (88/111) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 26% (5/19) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.67 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 14 | 16 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 13 | 13 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 33% (7/21) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 43 | 54 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 20 | 19 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 9 | 5 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 12 | 5 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.67 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 1.38 | -0.33 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Paoletti F. ↓, Majer Z. ↑, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lescano F. ↓, Russo R. ↑, 
- 46', Insigne R. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑, 
- 46', Bragantini D. ↓, Marras T. ↑, 
- 57', Caprini M. 🟨, 
- 63', Caprini M. ↓, Ruocco F. ↑, 
- 63', Bonfanti N. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑, 
- 68', Palmiero L. 🟨, 
- 72', Bani C. 🟨, 
- 73', Bani C. ↓, Mantovani V. ↑, 
- 75', Cagnano A. ↓, Crespi V. ↑, 
- 75', Missori F. ↓, Milani A. ↑, 
- 76', Kumi J. 🟨, 
- 80', Palmiero L. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑, 
- 89', Artioli F. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Avellino 47.1%
 | Draw 28.9%
 | Mantova 24.1%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Avellino - Mantova Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.02 ↓ (2.26)
 | 3.26 ↓ (3.41)
 | 3.98 ↑ (3.03)
 | 5.4% (6.6%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Avellino - Mantova?
                    
                    
                        
						        
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Avellino (2.93) (votes: 3 - 100%). 
- AH -0.5 - Avellino (1.93) (votes: 3 - 100%). 
Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Avellino will win 
                    (29 of 29 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Avellino will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                      
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Avellino is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mantova is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Avellino is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Avellino: D'Andrea L.
(Knee Injury)
De Cristofaro A.
(Knee Injury)
Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Patierno C.
(Illness)
Rigione M.
(Muscle Injury)
Sounas D.
(Inactive)
Tutino G.
(Ankle Injury)
- We predict that Avellino will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Mantova?
                    
                    
                        
                            Avellino has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Avellino?
                    
                    
                        
                             Mantova has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Mantova were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Avellino                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Mantova                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Modena | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 21 | 
| 2 | Monza | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 | 
| 3 | Cesena | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 | 
| 4 | Frosinone | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 18 | 
| 5 | Venezia | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 16 | 
| 6 | Palermo | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 | 
| 7 | Reggiana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 | 
| 8 | Carrarese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 | 
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 | 
| 10 | Padova | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 | 
| 11 | Avellino | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 | 
| 12 | Catanzaro | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 | 
| 13 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:17 | -4 | 11 | 
| 14 | Sudtirol | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 | 
| 15 | Entella | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 10 | 
| 16 | Bari | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 9 | 
| 17 | Pescara | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 8 | 
| 18 | Spezia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 | 
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | 
| 20 | Mantova | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 5 | 
      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation