Result
0:0
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 7
- Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (259/314) | 89% (414/466) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (259/314) | 89% (414/466) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/42) | 63% (24/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (57/84) | 79% (88/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 33% (7/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.38 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Paoletti F. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lescano F. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
- 46', Insigne R. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
- 46', Bragantini D. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
- 57', Caprini M. 🟨,
- 63', Caprini M. ↓, Ruocco F. ↑,
- 63', Bonfanti N. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
- 68', Palmiero L. 🟨,
- 72', Bani C. 🟨,
- 73', Bani C. ↓, Mantovani V. ↑,
- 75', Cagnano A. ↓, Crespi V. ↑,
- 75', Missori F. ↓, Milani A. ↑,
- 76', Kumi J. 🟨,
- 80', Palmiero L. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
- 89', Artioli F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Avellino
47.1% | Draw
28.9% | Mantova
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Avellino - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.26) |
3.26 ↓
(3.41) |
3.98 ↑
(3.03) |
5.4%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Avellino - Mantova?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Avellino (2.93) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Avellino (1.93) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Avellino will win
(29 of 29 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Avellino will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Avellino is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mantova is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Avellino is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Avellino: D'Andrea L.
(Knee Injury)
De Cristofaro A.
(Knee Injury)
Favilli A.
(Tendon Injury)
Patierno C.
(Illness)
Rigione M.
(Muscle Injury)
Sounas D.
(Inactive)
Tutino G.
(Ankle Injury)
- We predict that Avellino will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Avellino won against Mantova?
Avellino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Avellino?
Mantova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avellino - Mantova were as follows:
Latest results of Avellino
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Frosinone | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:13 | 16 | 31 |
| 2 | Monza | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Palermo | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 25:11 | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | Cesena | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Venezia | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 26 |
| 6 | Modena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 7 | Catanzaro | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 22 |
| 8 | Empoli | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Reggiana | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Avellino | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18:26 | -8 | 20 |
| 11 | Juve Stabia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 | Padova | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 |
| 13 | Carrarese | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 20:24 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 | Entella | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 15 |
| 15 | Bari | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14:25 | -11 | 15 |
| 16 | Sudtirol | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Spezia | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 |
| 18 | Mantova | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:23 | -10 | 14 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 15:23 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 | Pescara | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 19:30 | -11 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
