Avellino vs Mantova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Avellino - Mantova
Result
0:0
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 7
  • Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDCTV
usaUsaDCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.72
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
611
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
87
Passes
82% (259/314)89% (414/466)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.671.38
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
611
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
412
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
1621
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
82% (259/314)89% (414/466)
Long passes
40% (17/42)63% (24/38)
Passes in final third
68% (57/84)79% (88/111)
Crosses
26% (6/23)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.67
Throw-ins
1416
Fouls
1313
Tackles
47% (9/19)33% (7/21)
Duels won
4354
Clearances
2019
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
125
xGOT faced
1.380.67
Goals prevented
1.38-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Paoletti F. , Majer Z. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lescano F. , Russo R. ,
  • 46', Insigne R. , Besaggio M. ,
  • 46', Bragantini D. , Marras T. ,
  • 57', Caprini M. 🟨,
  • 63', Caprini M. , Ruocco F. ,
  • 63', Bonfanti N. , Mancuso L. ,
  • 68', Palmiero L. 🟨,
  • 72', Bani C. 🟨,
  • 73', Bani C. , Mantovani V. ,
  • 75', Cagnano A. , Crespi V. ,
  • 75', Missori F. , Milani A. ,
  • 76', Kumi J. 🟨,
  • 80', Palmiero L. , Palumbo M. ,
  • 89', Artioli F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Avellino
47.1%
Draw
28.9%
Mantova
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 27.5% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 26.7% 30.1%

Avellino - Mantova Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.02
(2.26)
3.26
(3.41)
3.98
(3.03)
5.4%
(6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Avellino - Mantova?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Avellino (2.93) (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH -0.5 - Avellino (1.93) (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Avellino will win (29 of 29 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Avellino will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Avellino is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mantova is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Avellino is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Avellino: D'Andrea L. (Knee Injury) De Cristofaro A. (Knee Injury) Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Patierno C. (Illness) Rigione M. (Muscle Injury) Sounas D. (Inactive) Tutino G. (Ankle Injury)
    • We predict that Avellino will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Avellino
    30.09.2025 Padova - Avellino 2:2
    27.09.2025 Avellino - Virtus Entella 2:0
    21.09.2025 Carrarese - Avellino 3:4
    12.09.2025 Avellino - Monza 2:1
    31.08.2025 Modena - Avellino 1:1
    Latest results of Mantova
    30.09.2025 Juve Stabia - Mantova 2:1
    27.09.2025 Mantova - Frosinone 1:5
    20.09.2025 Mantova - Modena 1:3
    14.09.2025 Virtus Entella - Mantova 1:0
    30.08.2025 Mantova - Pescara 2:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena1063116:61021
    2Monza1062214:7720
    3Cesena1062216:12420
    4Frosinone1053218:9918
    5Venezia1044216:9716
    6Palermo1044210:8216
    7Reggiana1043315:14115
    8Carrarese1035217:13414
    9Juve Stabia935112:10214
    10Padova1034311:12-113
    11Avellino1034312:16-413
    12Catanzaro1026211:10112
    13Empoli1025313:17-411
    14Sudtirol1024412:15-310
    15Entella1024410:16-610
    16Bari92349:15-69
    17Pescara1015415:18-38
    18Spezia1014510:14-47
    19Sampdoria1014510:15-57
    20Mantova101277:18-115

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation