Penafiel vs AVS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Penafiel - AVS
Result
0:1
03/03/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 24
  • Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV+

Chances of winning


Penafiel
24.1%
Draw
29.5%
AVS
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 28% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 27.7% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penafiel's form might have worsened.
  • AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penafiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Penafiel - AVS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.8
    (3.04)
    3.15
    (3.2)
    2
    (2.11)
    8.1%
    (11.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Penafiel - AVS?
  • Users Predictions: AVS will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
    • Penafiel is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • AVS is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • AVS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • AVS will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - AVS were as follows:
    09.10.2023 AVS - Penafiel 1:0
    Latest results of Penafiel
    24.02.2024 Nacional - Penafiel 3:2
    18.02.2024 Penafiel - Santa Clara 1:2
    03.02.2024 Penafiel - Oliveirense 1:1
    29.01.2024 Penafiel - Feirense 2:1
    Latest results of AVS
    27.02.2024 AVS - Académico de Viseu 2:0
    19.02.2024 Vilaverdense - AVS 2:3
    11.02.2024 AVS - Leiria 2:1
    03.02.2024 Torreense - AVS 2:1
    28.01.2024 AVS - Marítimo 3:2
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3