Result
0:1
03/03/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 24
- Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV+ |
Chances of winning
Penafiel
24.1% | Draw
29.5% | AVS
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penafiel's form might have worsened.AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penafiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Penafiel - AVS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.8 ↑
(3.04) |
3.15 ↓
(3.2) |
2 ↓
(2.11) |
8.1%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Penafiel - AVS?
Users Predictions:
AVS will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
- Penafiel is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- AVS is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- AVS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- AVS will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against AVS?
Penafiel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Penafiel?
AVS has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - AVS were as follows:
09.10.2023
AVS
-
Penafiel
1:0
Latest results of Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 37:16 | 21 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41:25 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 37:22 | 15 | 38 |
| 4 | Torreense | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 28:24 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Lusitania FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 6 | FC Porto B | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 34 |
| 7 | Leiria | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 33:31 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | Vizela | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Feirense | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:30 | 2 | 30 |
| 11 | Chaves | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:21 | 4 | 30 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 28 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Oliveirense | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | SC Farense | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 20:30 | -10 | 24 |
| 18 | Pacos Ferreira | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
