Result
2:0
29/12/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 16
- Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Kuwait | KTV Sport |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (463/551) | 62% (148/240) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (463/551) | 62% (148/240) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (11/30) | 33% (21/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (120/173) | 48% (32/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (9/29) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 60% (15/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Costa D. ↓, Claudio Ramos ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Samu ⚽, Pepê (A),
- 50', Grau J. 🟨,
- 52', William Gomes 🟨,
- 58', Grau J. ↓, Assuncao G. ↑,
- 58', Perea O. ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
- 59', William Gomes ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
- 59', Mora R. ↓, Alarcon A. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Samu (Penalty Awarded),
- 71', Pedro Lima ↓, Mendonca G. ↑,
- 75', Moura F. ↓, Varela A. ↑,
- 82', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
- 82', Spencer D. ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
- 84', Fernandes M. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Porto
88.2% | Draw
8.4% | AVS
3.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Porto - AVS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.07 ↓
(1.1) |
11.23 ↑
(7.9) |
29.51 ↑
(21) |
5.4%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Porto - AVS?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 34 - 89.5%). AVS will win (votes: 3 - 7.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 79.8% – 99.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Porto (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 - Porto (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Porto (1.40) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 21 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Porto has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- AVS has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Porto is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Perez N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sainz B.
(Yellow Cards)
Zaidu
(International duty)
de Jong L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in AVS: Molina G.
(Inactive)
Semedo R.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in AVS: Galletto T.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Porto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Porto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against AVS?
Porto has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Porto?
AVS has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - AVS were as follows:
15.03.2025
Porto
-
AVS
2:0
28.10.2024
AVS
-
Porto
0:5
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
