Result
2:2
17/04/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 30
- Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (414/482) | 70% (172/246) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 2.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (414/482) | 70% (172/246) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (21/37) | 39% (18/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (95/132) | 49% (39/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.16 | 1.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Pohlmann O. ⚽, Diogo Bezerra (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Tomane ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 64', Perea O. ↓, Kiki ↑,
- 64', Ryan Guilherme ↓, Monteiro T. ↑,
- 64', Rivas D. ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
- 66', Ntoi A. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 2, Pedro Lima ⚽, Neiva G. (A),
- 74', Spikic D. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Ntoi A. ⚽,
- 85', Pohlmann O. ↓, Nikitscher T. ↑,
- 85', Diogo Bezerra ↓, Rafael Lobato ↑,
- 85', Mendonca G. ↓, Algobia A. ↑,
- 90', Tomane 🟨,
- 90+1', Akinsola T. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
- 90+1', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
- 90+3', Paulo Vitor 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rio Ave
55.5% | Draw
25% | AVS
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Ave's performance.AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Ave that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+5%)
Rio Ave - AVS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.97) |
3.8 ↑
(3.67) |
4.88 ↑
(3.98) |
5.1%
(3.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rio Ave - AVS?
Users Predictions:
Rio Ave will win
(25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.71% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rio Ave will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Rio Ave is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- AVS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Rio Ave is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Rio Ave will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Rio Ave won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against AVS?
Rio Ave has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Rio Ave?
AVS has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - AVS were as follows:
06.12.2025
AVS
-
Rio Ave
1:2
16.02.2025
Rio Ave
-
AVS
1:1
14.09.2024
AVS
-
Rio Ave
1:0
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 63:15 | 48 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 67:20 | 47 | 75 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 39 |
| 9 | Alverca | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:49 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 39:60 | -21 | 35 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Nacional | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:51 | -17 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 22:65 | -43 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
