AVS vs Rio Ave – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves).

Liga Portugal - Round 13
Referee: Bessa J. (Por)
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.52	2.44
Ball Possession
35%	65%
Total shots
9	17
Shots on target
5	8
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
3	11
Passes
75% (178/238)	85% (357/421)
Yellow Cards
6	6
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52	2.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.71	2.51
Total shots
9	17
Shots on target
5	8
Shots off target
0	4
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
6	14
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
3	11
Touches in opposition box
13	34
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	6
Free Kicks
16	16
Passes
75% (178/238)	85% (357/421)
Long passes
39% (17/44)	33% (13/39)
Passes in final third
53% (27/51)	77% (96/125)
Crosses
22% (2/9)	18% (6/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.31	1.41
Throw-ins
14	28
Fouls
16	16
Tackles
85% (11/13)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
46	49
Clearances
50	19
Interceptions
4	3
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	4
xGOT faced
2.51	0.71
Goals prevented
0.51	-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Ntoi A. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Clayton ⚽, Andre Luiz (A),
44', Ponck 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Grau J. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Perea O. ⚽,
56', Petrasso F. 🟨,
60', Grau J. 🟨,
64', Abbey N. 🟨,
66', Abbey N. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
67', Ntoi A. ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
67', Neiva G. ↓, Bane S. ↑,
76', Algobia A. ↓, Galletto T. ↑,
76', Kiki ↓, Rivas L. ↑,
77', Rivas L. 🟨,
79', Aguilera Zamora B. ↓, Zoabi K. ↑,
83', Semedo R. 🟨,
83', Pohlmann O. ↓, Graca J. ↑,
85', Perea O. ↓, Akinsola T. ↑,
85', Tomane ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
89', Liavas G. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Clayton (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Devenish C. 🟨,
90+8', Zoabi K. 🟨,
90+9', Clayton 🟨,

Chances of winning

AVS
30.5%

Draw
28.7%

Rio Ave
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

28.8%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

29.6%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-3%)

AVS - Rio Ave Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.92)	3.29 ↑ (3.28)	2.33 ↓ (2.43)	5.5% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for AVS - Rio Ave?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. AVS will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AVS: 13.8% – 69.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 11).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
AVS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in AVS: Molina G. (Inactive)
There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T. (Knee Injury) Rafael Lobato (Inactive)
There are questionable in AVS: Santos A. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Rio Ave: Richards O. (Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AVS won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, AVS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Rio Ave?

AVS has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against AVS?

Rio Ave has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Rio Ave were as follows:

16.02.2025 Rio Ave - AVS 1:1

14.09.2024 AVS - Rio Ave 1:0

Latest results of AVS

28.11.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - AVS 4:0 ✺

22.11.2025 AVS - Académico de Viseu 1:0 ✺

09.11.2025 AVS - Gil Vicente 1:1 ✺

02.11.2025 AVS - Tondela 2:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Santa Clara - AVS 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Rio Ave

30.11.2025 Rio Ave - Santa Clara 1:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Alverca - Rio Ave 1:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Rio Ave - Estoril Praia 0:4 ✺

25.10.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Rio Ave 1:2 ✺

19.10.2025 Sintrense - Rio Ave 3:2 ✺

Liga Portugal Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Porto	23	20	2	1	44:7	37	62
2	Sporting CP	23	18	4	1	59:12	47	58
3	Benfica	23	16	7	0	49:13	36	55
4	Braga	23	12	6	5	48:22	26	42
5	Gil Vicente	23	11	7	5	34:21	13	40
6	Famalicao	23	10	5	8	29:21	8	35
7	Estoril	23	9	6	8	46:39	7	33
8	Moreirense	23	10	3	10	29:33	-4	33
9	Vitoria Guimaraes	23	9	4	10	27:34	-7	31
10	Alverca	23	7	5	11	23:38	-15	26
11	Arouca	23	7	5	11	31:49	-18	26
12	Estrela	23	5	8	10	26:41	-15	23
13	Casa Pia	23	5	7	11	25:43	-18	22
14	Nacional	23	5	6	12	27:34	-7	21
15	Rio Ave	23	4	8	11	23:44	-21	20
16	Santa Clara	23	4	6	13	18:29	-11	18
17	Tondela	23	4	6	13	17:36	-19	18
18	AFS	23	1	5	17	18:57	-39	8

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Liga Portugal (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2