Barakaldo vs Real Avilés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/12/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
121
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Total shots
176
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
113
Corner Kicks
121

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Cayarga B. ,
  • 24', Carracedo O. , Diaz V. ,
  • 28', 0 - 2, Rubio R. ,
  • 40', 1 - 2, Huidobro J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', Bautista K. 🟨,
  • 55', Bautista K. 🟨,
  • 59', Rubio R. , El Arbaoui Y. ,
  • 59', Cayarga B. , Hernandez R. ,
  • 59', Huidobro J. 🟨,
  • 63', Munoz I. , Torra M. ,
  • 63', Galarza A. , Valino A. ,
  • 63', Sabin , Perez E. ,
  • 71', Campabadal E. , Chukwuma E. ,
  • 71', Ortega G. , Gomez A. ,
  • 71', de Leon J. , Mandiang S. ,
  • 71', de Jesus B. , Pedernales I. ,
  • 78', Arana M. 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,
  • 90+7', Lopez O. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barakaldo
47.9%
Draw
28.2%
Real Avilés
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 27.6% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 27.4% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Barakaldo - Real Avilés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.85)
    3.25
    (3.37)
    3.83
    (4.18)
    9.3%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Real Avilés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Barakaldo is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Barakaldo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - Real Avilés were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Barakaldo - Real Avilés 1:4
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    23.11.2025 Barakaldo - Ferrol 2:1
    15.11.2025 Osasuna B - Barakaldo 2:0
    09.11.2025 Barakaldo - Ponferradina 0:0
    31.10.2025 Lugo - Barakaldo 2:2
    Latest results of Real Avilés
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife25183445:133257
    2Celta Vigo B25146541:301148
    3Pontevedra251010532:201240
    4Ath Bilbao B25116828:28039
    5AD Merida25115935:33238
    6Real Madrid B25115932:33-138
    7Barakaldo25910633:27637
    8Lugo25910625:22337
    9Racing Club Ferrol251141029:28137
    10Ponferradina25106927:22536
    11Unionistas25106934:30436
    12Zamora2598832:30235
    13Real Aviles25941237:43-631
    14Arenas Getxo25931328:36-830
    15Ourense CF25771128:31-328
    16Cacereno25691022:31-927
    17CF Talavera25741425:36-1125
    18Arenteiro25661323:31-824
    19Guadalajara25661322:39-1724
    20Osasuna B25481317:32-1520

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