Result
1:2
07/12/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Cayarga B. ⚽,
- 24', Carracedo O. ↓, Diaz V. ↑,
- 28', 0 - 2, Rubio R. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 2, Huidobro J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Bautista K. 🟨,
- 55', Bautista K. 🟨,
- 59', Rubio R. ↓, El Arbaoui Y. ↑,
- 59', Cayarga B. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
- 59', Huidobro J. 🟨,
- 63', Munoz I. ↓, Torra M. ↑,
- 63', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
- 63', Sabin ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 71', Campabadal E. ↓, Chukwuma E. ↑,
- 71', Ortega G. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
- 71', de Leon J. ↓, Mandiang S. ↑,
- 71', de Jesus B. ↓, Pedernales I. ↑,
- 78', Arana M. 🟨,
- 85', 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
- 90+7', Lopez O. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Barakaldo
47.9% | Draw
28.2% | Real Avilés
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Real Avilés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Barakaldo - Real Avilés Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.85) |
3.25 ↓
(3.37) |
3.83 ↓
(4.18) |
9.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Real Avilés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Barakaldo is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Barakaldo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Barakaldo won against Real Avilés?
Barakaldo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Avilés won against Barakaldo?
Real Avilés has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - Real Avilés were as follows:
17.08.2024
Barakaldo
-
Real Avilés
1:4
Latest results of Barakaldo
Latest results of Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 49:17 | 32 | 60 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 50 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:30 | 0 | 43 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | Zamora | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Real Madrid B | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Lugo | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Racing Club Ferrol | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 40 |
| 12 | Unionistas | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:36 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 40:48 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 30 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 29 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:33 | -15 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
