Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 23
- Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (371/446) | 71% (175/248) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (371/446) | 71% (175/248) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/47) | 36% (16/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (133/181) | 41% (21/51) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 28 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Meroni A. ⚽,
- 16', 1 - 1, Odenthal C. ⚽, Verreth M. (A),
- 32', Odenthal C. 🟨,
- 33', Ruocco F. 🟨,
- 35', Cella S. 🟨,
- 45+1', Trimboli S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', De Pieri G. ↓, Piscopo K. ↑,
- 57', Odenthal C. ↓, Mantovani V. ↑,
- 59', Mensah D. 🟨,
- 68', Moncini G. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
- 68', Rao E. ↓, Esteves T. ↑,
- 68', Meroni A. ↓, Radaelli N. ↑,
- 68', Marras T. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
- 72', Cerofolini M. 🟨,
- 77', Mensah D. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
- 77', Ruocco F. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
- 86', Braunoder M. ↓, Maggiore G. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Mancuso L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mantova
43.9% | Draw
30.6% | Bari
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Mantova have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Mantova - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13
(2.13) |
3.08 ↑
(2.95) |
3.65 ↓
(3.83) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mantova - Bari?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Bari will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mantova: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mantova (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Mantova has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Bari's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mantova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Mantova will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mantova: Bianay Balcot C.
(Injury)
Bonfanti N.
(Inactive)
Caprini M.
(Inactive)
Falletti C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bari: Artioli F.
(Inactive)
Darboe E.
(Thigh Injury)
Maggiore G.
(Inactive)
Nikolaou D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Mantova: Muci N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bari: Rao E.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Bari?
Mantova has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Mantova?
Bari has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Bari were as follows:
26.10.2025
Bari
-
Mantova
1:0
22.02.2025
Mantova
-
Bari
0:1
14.09.2024
Bari
-
Mantova
2:0
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
