Bari vs Mantova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Bari - Mantova
26/10/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Bari
47.2%
Draw
29%
Mantova
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 29% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 24.1% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bari that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mantova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bari - Mantova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.96)
    3.23
    (3.18)
    3.94
    (3.84)
    6.9%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Bari has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mantova is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Bari might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bari won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Mantova were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Mantova - Bari 0:1
    14.09.2024 Bari - Mantova 2:0
    Latest results of Bari
    18.10.2025 Reggiana - Bari 3:1
    04.10.2025 Bari - Padova 2:1
    30.09.2025 Virtus Entella - Bari 2:2
    27.09.2025 Bari - Sampdoria 1:1
    19.09.2025 Palermo - Bari 2:0
    Latest results of Mantova
    04.10.2025 Avellino - Mantova 0:0
    30.09.2025 Juve Stabia - Mantova 2:1
    27.09.2025 Mantova - Frosinone 1:5
    20.09.2025 Mantova - Modena 1:3
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena853014:41018
    2Palermo844010:4616
    3Frosinone842213:8514
    4Cesena842213:11214
    5Monza84228:6214
    6Juve Stabia834110:8213
    7Venezia733110:5512
    8Reggiana833213:11212
    9Avellino833211:11012
    10Carrarese825113:9411
    11Sudtirol824212:11110
    12Entella82339:11-29
    13Empoli723210:13-39
    14Padova72237:9-28
    15Catanzaro70617:8-16
    16Pescara813413:16-36
    17Bari81348:15-76
    18Sampdoria81258:13-55
    19Mantova81256:14-85
    20Spezia80355:13-83

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation