Result
1:0
26/10/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 9
- Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 22% | 78% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (146/196) | 93% (662/714) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (146/196) | 93% (662/714) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (8/31) | 74% (25/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 39% (12/31) | 79% (124/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 27% (7/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Paoletti F. 🟨,
- 22', Pucino R. 🟨,
- 35', Paoletti F. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 0, Moncini G. ⚽,
- 61', Trimboli S. 🟨,
- 64', Bonfanti N. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
- 64', Artioli F. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
- 65', Verreth M. ↓, Darboe E. ↑,
- 65', Castrovilli G. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
- 76', Wieser D. 🟨,
- 79', Bragantini D. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
- 79', Ruocco F. ↓, Caprini M. ↑,
- 80', Moncini G. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
- 80', Meroni A. ↓, Mavraj I. ↑,
- 84', Caprini M. 🟨,
- 85', Galuppini F. 🟨,
- 89', Antonucci M. ↓, Braunoder M. ↑,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2vmhx574
Chances of winning
Bari
44.2% | Draw
29.3% | Mantova
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Bari - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↑
(1.96) |
3.24 ↑
(3.18) |
3.56 ↓
(3.84) |
6.3%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bari - Mantova?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).
- Bari has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mantova is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Bari will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bari: Bellomo N.
(Inactive)
Nikolaou D.
(Injury)
Nikolaou D.
(Red Card)
Sibilli G.
(Inactive)
Vicari F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Mantova: Castellini A.
(Injury)
Paoletti F.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bari won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Bari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Mantova?
Bari has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Bari?
Mantova has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Mantova were as follows:
22.02.2025
Mantova
-
Bari
0:1
14.09.2024
Bari
-
Mantova
2:0
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21:8 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Monza | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 22 |
| 4 | Cesena | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 5 | Venezia | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:12 | 8 | 19 |
| 6 | Palermo | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 19 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Avellino | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Catanzaro | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Padova | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 14 | Entella | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | Bari | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 | Sudtirol | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
| 17 | Mantova | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:18 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Spezia | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Pescara | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15:23 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
