Bari vs Modena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio San Nicola (Bari).

Serie B - Round 33
Referee: Arena A. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	LAB Channel
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	Sport TV1
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.17	1.48
Ball possession
38%	62%
Total shots
12	19
Shots on target
8	6
Big chances
5	4
Corner kicks
4	7
Passes
70% (180/258)	81% (323/398)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.17	1.48
xG on target (xGOT)
2.90	2.36
Total shots
12	19
Shots on target
8	6
Shots off target
4	9
Blocked shots
0	4
Shots inside the box
10	13
Shots outside the box
2	6
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
5	4
Corner kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
17	33
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
14	2
Passes
70% (180/258)	81% (323/398)
Long passes
34% (24/70)	36% (15/42)
Passes in final third
62% (56/90)	73% (121/166)
Crosses
20% (2/10)	20% (6/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.21	1.22
Throw ins
12	22
Fouls
2	14
Tackles
50% (6/12)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
50	47
Clearances
41	21
Interceptions
7	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	6
xGOT faced
2.36	2.90
Goals prevented
1.36	0.90

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Moncini G. (Penalty Awarded),
31', 2 - 0, Adorni D. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wiafe S. ↓, Massolin Y. ↑,
46', Zampano F. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
48', Gliozzi E. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
59', Maggiore G. 🟨,
62', Artioli F. ↓, Braunoder M. ↑,
69', Moncini G. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
69', Rao E. ↓, Dorval M. ↑,
75', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Cotali M. ↑,
79', Adorni D. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Cuni M. ⚽, Dorval M. (A),
87', Esteves T. ↓, Verreth M. ↑,
87', Maggiore G. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
88', Gerli F. 🟨,
90', 3 - 1, Ambrosino G. ⚽, Beyuku G. (A),
90+7', Mantovani V. 🟨,
90+7', Massolin Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Bari
22.4%

Draw
27.6%

Modena
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

27.3%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

26.4%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Bari have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+2%)

Bari - Modena Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↓ (4.18)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)	1.88 ↑ (1.86)	6.7% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bari - Modena?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Modena will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 23.1% – 88.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Modena has had a series of home games.
In this match, Modena is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Bari: Bellomo N. (Red Card) Burgio R. (Inactive) Darboe E. (Thigh Injury) Mantovani V. (Inactive) Sibilli G. (Suspended) Verreth M. (Injury)
There will not play in Modena: Pyyhtia N. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Modena: Zanimacchia L. (Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bari won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Modena?

Bari has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Bari?

Modena has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Modena were as follows:

13.09.2025 Modena - Bari 3:0

25.04.2025 Bari - Modena 1:2

23.08.2024 Modena - Bari 2:1

01.04.2024 Modena - Bari 1:1

21.10.2023 Bari - Modena 1:1

Latest results of Bari

22.03.2026 Bari - Carrarese 0:3 ✺

18.03.2026 Frosinone - Bari 2:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Bari - Reggiana 4:1 ✺

08.03.2026 Pescara - Bari 4:0 ✺

04.03.2026 Bari - Empoli 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Modena

21.03.2026 Modena - Mantova 2:1 ✺

13.03.2026 Modena - Spezia 3:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Modena - Cesena 0:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Virtus Entella - Modena 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Modena - Padova 1:2 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	33	21	8	4	67:28	39	71
2	Frosinone	34	19	12	3	65:33	32	69
3	Monza	33	19	9	5	51:27	24	66
4	Palermo	34	18	11	5	55:28	27	65
5	Catanzaro	32	14	11	7	50:39	11	53
6	Modena	32	14	8	10	43:28	15	50
7	Juve Stabia	33	10	15	8	39:41	-2	45
8	Cesena	33	12	8	13	42:48	-6	44
9	Carrarese	33	10	12	11	44:43	1	42
10	Sudtirol	33	8	15	10	35:36	-1	39
11	Avellino	33	10	9	14	37:53	-16	39
12	Mantova	33	10	7	16	37:48	-11	37
13	Sampdoria	33	9	10	14	32:43	-11	37
14	Empoli	33	8	12	13	43:48	-5	36
15	Padova	33	8	10	15	32:45	-13	34
16	Entella	33	8	10	15	31:46	-15	34
17	Bari	33	8	10	15	33:51	-18	34
18	Pescara	33	7	11	15	46:59	-13	32
19	Spezia	33	7	9	17	32:49	-17	30
20	Reggiana	33	7	9	17	31:52	-21	30

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation