Result
3:0
13/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 3
- Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.15 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (269/326) | 84% (396/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.15 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.92 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (269/326) | 84% (396/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (26/51) | 64% (32/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (91/122) | 66% (67/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 0% (0/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 3.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', Dorval M. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Gliozzi E. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', 2 - 0, Gliozzi E. (Pen),
- 56', Partipilo A. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
- 57', Pagano R. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
- 59', Braunoder M. 🟨,
- 67', Pyyhtia N. ↓, Sersanti A. ↑,
- 67', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
- 71', Braunoder M. ↓, Maggiore G. ↑,
- 74', Sersanti A. 🟨,
- 78', Di Mariano F. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
- 79', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 81', Dorval M. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
- 88', Santoro S. ↓, Magnino L. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 0, Mendes P. ⚽, Defrel G. (A),
Chances of winning
Modena
46.6% | Draw
28.5% | Bari
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Modena's performance.Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bari might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Modena that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Modena - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.46) |
3.3 ↑
(3.1) |
3.73 ↑
(3) |
5.6%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Modena - Bari?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Bari will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 2.
- Modena is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bari is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Modena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Modena: Caso G.
(Inactive)
Ponsi F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Bari: Gytkjaer C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Modena won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Bari?
Modena has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Modena?
Bari has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Bari were as follows:
25.04.2025
Bari
-
Modena
1:2
23.08.2024
Modena
-
Bari
2:1
01.04.2024
Modena
-
Bari
1:1
21.10.2023
Bari
-
Modena
1:1
06.05.2023
Modena
-
Bari
1:1
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Palermo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Cesena | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Modena | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Avellino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Sudtirol | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Venezia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Monza | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 | Catanzaro | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Reggiana | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Pescara | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Empoli | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Mantova | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Spezia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
| 19 | Bari | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
