Result
1:2
25/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 35
- Referee: Aureliano G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 2.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (365/423) | 81% (311/386) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 2.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (365/423) | 81% (311/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (13/32) | 40% (21/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (110/147) | 67% (74/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (10/32) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.55 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Defrel G. ⚽,
- 17', Maita M. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 2, Palumbo A. (Pen),
- 25', Oliveri A. 🟨,
- 31', Maggiore G. 🟨,
- 41', Palumbo A. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 2, Lasagna K. ⚽,
- 44', Vicari F. 🟨,
- 45+1', Zaro G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Palumbo A. ↓, Kamate I. ↑,
- 46', Maita M. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
- 63', Oliveri A. ↓, Bonfanti N. ↑,
- 63', Caso G. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
- 63', Cotali M. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
- 67', Defrel G. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 71', Lasagna K. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
- 71', Falletti C. ↓, Pereiro G. ↑,
- 71', Maggiore G. ↓, Bellomo N. ↑,
- 81', Di Pardo A. 🟥,
- 90', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Ponsi F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bari
40% | Draw
30.6% | Modena
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Bari - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.28) |
3.07 ↓
(3.45) |
3.19 ↑
(2.88) |
6.2%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bari - Modena?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bari: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bari (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bari won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Modena: Dellavalle A.
(Injury)
Pergreffi A.
(Knee Injury)
Vulikic S.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Bari won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:17 (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:4 (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Modena?
Bari has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Bari?
Modena has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Modena were as follows:
23.08.2024
Modena
-
Bari
2:1
01.04.2024
Modena
-
Bari
1:1
21.10.2023
Bari
-
Modena
1:1
06.05.2023
Modena
-
Bari
1:1
11.12.2022
Bari
-
Modena
4:1
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
