Result
0:0
13/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 34
- Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (266/352) | 84% (349/416) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 31 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 46 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (266/352) | 84% (349/416) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (25/64) | 49% (19/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (97/140) | 80% (112/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 44% (15/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Favasuli C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pyyhtia N. ↓, Belardinelli L. ↑,
- 46', Vergani E. ↓, Merkaj S. ↑,
- 62', Molina S. 🟨,
- 63', Mallamo A. ↓, Casiraghi D. ↑,
- 63', El Kaouakibi H. ↓, Barreca A. ↑,
- 63', Maggiore G. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
- 74', Maita M. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
- 74', Favasuli C. ↓, Oliveri A. ↑,
- 74', Lasagna K. ↓, Bonfanti N. ↑,
- 84', Favilli A. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
- 87', Tait F. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
32.4% | Draw
28.7% | Bari
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bari's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bari, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↑
(2.61) |
3.26 ↑
(2.87) |
2.41 ↓
(2.95) |
6.5%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Bari will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bari: 26.9% – 73.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Bari (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 3.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Südtirol: Vimercati A.
(Injury)
Zedadka K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bari: Favasuli C.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Südtirol: Arrigoni T.
(Broken ankle)
- There are questionable in Bari: Lella N.
(Inactive)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Südtirol won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Bari?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Bari has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari were as follows:
21.12.2024
Bari
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
0:1
24.02.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Bari
1:0
09.12.2023
Bari
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:1
02.06.2023
Bari
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:0
29.05.2023
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Bari
1:0
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
