Result
1:2
15/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 25
- Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (310/410) | 68% (237/346) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (310/410) | 68% (237/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (22/66) | 44% (31/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (52/85) | 62% (109/175) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.48 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Verdi S. 🟨,
- 15', Kofler R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Verdi S. ↓, Merkaj S. ↑,
- 46', Crnigoj D. ↓, Tait F. ↑,
- 46', Mantovani V. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
- 46', Piscopo K. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
- 48', 0 - 1, Merkaj S. ⚽,
- 57', Tronchin S. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
- 60', Molina S. 🟨,
- 69', Cuni M. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
- 69', Traore D. ↓, Artioli F. ↑,
- 69', Molina S. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
- 75', 0 - 2, Mane M. (Own goal),
- 79', Cavuoti N. ↓, Esteves T. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Rao E. ⚽, Cistana A. (A),
- 81', Pecorino E. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bari
29.5% | Draw
31.7% | Südtirol-Alto Adige
38.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bari's form might have worsened.Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Südtirol-Alto Adige's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Südtirol-Alto Adige, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↑
(2.4) |
2.96 ↓
(3.13) |
2.42 ↓
(2.9) |
6.4%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Bari will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Südtirol will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Südtirol (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Südtirol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bari won 1.
- Bari has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Südtirol is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Bari: Darboe E.
(Thigh Injury)
Nikolaou D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M.
(Inactive)
Martini J.
(Injury)
Pietrangeli N.
(Inactive)
Zedadka K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bari: Artioli F.
(Inactive)
De Pieri G.
(Inactive)
Traore D.
(Injury)
Verreth M.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bari won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bari won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Bari has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Bari?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bari - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
13.12.2025
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Bari
0:0
13.05.2025
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Bari
0:0
21.12.2024
Bari
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
0:1
24.02.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Bari
1:0
09.12.2023
Bari
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:1
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 54:25 | 29 | 57 |
| 2 | Monza | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 41:20 | 21 | 57 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 36:22 | 14 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 29:36 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 18 | Entella | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
