Barnsley vs Rotherham United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Oakwell (Barnsley).

League One - Round 14
Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	0.14
Ball Possession
67%	33%
Total shots
19	4
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
11	3
Passes
83% (373/450)	65% (145/224)
Yellow Cards
4	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	0.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.35	0.22
Total shots
19	4
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
7	0
Shots inside the Box
11	1
Shots outside the Box
8	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
11	3
Touches in opposition box
26	2
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
11	15
Passes
83% (373/450)	65% (145/224)
Long passes
46% (32/69)	29% (17/58)
Passes in final third
69% (97/140)	51% (40/78)
Crosses
29% (9/31)	8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.71	0.08
Throw-ins
29	23
Fouls
15	11
Tackles
68% (13/19)	60% (12/20)
Duels won
56	41
Clearances
20	28
Interceptions
6	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.22	1.35
Goals prevented
-0.78	1.35

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Roberts M. 🟨,
45+2', Shepherd J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Benson J. ↓, Nombe S. ↑,
53', Rafferty J. ↓, Hall D. ↑,
55', Kelly P. 🟨,
63', Connell L. 🟨,
64', 0 - 1, Spence K. ⚽,
70', Bland J. ↓, Vickers C. ↑,
71', de Gevigney M. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
79', Hugill J. ↓, James R. ↑,
79', Kelly P. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
90', McWilliams S. ↓, Raggett S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Barnsley
50.1%

Draw
24.9%

Rotherham United
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

24.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

25.5%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Barnsley - Rotherham United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.84)	3.78 ↓ (3.83)	3.75 ↓ (3.76)	6.8% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Barnsley - Rotherham United?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barnsley will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barnsley will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 5.
Barnsley has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rotherham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Barnsley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Barnsley is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Barnsley: Gent G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jalo F. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Rotherham: Etete K. (Injury) Hatton B. (Hamstring Injury) Holmes T. (Knee Injury) Kaleta M. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Rotherham: Agbaire L. (International duty) Kayode J. (Knee Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Rotherham United?

Barnsley has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Barnsley?

Rotherham United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Rotherham United were as follows:

26.08.2025 Barnsley - Rotherham United 2:1

22.02.2025 Rotherham United - Barnsley 0:1

08.11.2024 Barnsley - Rotherham United 2:0

Latest results of Barnsley

21.10.2025 Barnsley - Manchester United U21 5:2 ✺

18.10.2025 Bradford City - Barnsley 2:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Barnsley 2:2 ✺

30.09.2025 Notts County - Barnsley 2:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Barnsley - Port Vale 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Rotherham United

18.10.2025 Rotherham United - Leyton Orient 1:0 ✺

11.10.2025 Northampton Town - Rotherham United 1:2 ✺

07.10.2025 Rotherham United - Oldham Athletic 3:2 ✺

02.10.2025 Rotherham United - Bradford City 2:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Mansfield Town - Rotherham United 2:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two