Rotherham United vs Barnsley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 43
  • Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.141.13
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
29
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
32
Passes
74% (373/506)55% (142/259)
Yellow cards
04
Expected goals (xG)
1.141.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.783.13
Total shots
79
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
40
Blocked shots
10
Shots inside the box
75
Shots outside the box
04
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
269
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1310
Passes
74% (373/506)55% (142/259)
Long passes
41% (35/86)18% (13/71)
Passes in final third
57% (64/113)38% (36/96)
Crosses
19% (5/26)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.88
Throw ins
3731
Fouls
1013
Tackles
64% (7/11)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5648
Clearances
1822
Interceptions
1014
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
51
xGOT faced
3.130.78
Goals prevented
0.13-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Phillips A. , Kelly P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Biancheri G. , Martha A. ,
  • 46', Agbaire L. , Hall D. ,
  • 50', Yoganathan V. 🟨,
  • 58', Kelly L. , Watmore D. ,
  • 64', 0 - 2, Bradshaw T. , Bland J. (A),
  • 67', Benson J. , Hugill J. ,
  • 69', Banks S. , Cleary R. ,
  • 74', 0 - 3, Bradshaw T. , Phillips A. (A),
  • 78', Phillips A. , Watson T. ,
  • 78', Earl J. , Shepherd J. ,
  • 88', de Gevigney M. 🟨,
  • 89', Bradshaw T. , Farrell L. ,
  • 89', Kelly P. , Roberts M. ,
  • 90+4', O'Connell E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 3, Nombe S. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Rotherham United
36.3%
Draw
26.5%
Barnsley
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 26.7% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 26.1% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Rotherham United - Barnsley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.55)
    3.53
    (3.4)
    2.52
    (2.41)
    6.8%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Barnsley?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Barnsley will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rotherham (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Rotherham: Kayode J. (Knee Injury) Powell J. (Injury) Yearwood D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Barnsley: Chirewa T. (Ankle Injury) Earl J. (Broken Leg)
    • There are questionable in Rotherham: Adegboyega E. (Inactive) Agbaire L. (Inactive) Dawson C. (Inactive) Hugill J. (Inactive) Kaleta M. (Injury) McWilliams S. (Inactive) Spence K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Barnsley were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Barnsley - Rotherham United 0:1
    26.08.2025 Barnsley - Rotherham United 2:1
    22.02.2025 Rotherham United - Barnsley 0:1
    08.11.2024 Barnsley - Rotherham United 2:0
    Latest results of Rotherham United
    Latest results of Barnsley
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 42289579:364393
    2Cardiff41249876:423481
    3Bradford City422181352:46671
    4Bolton421816859:441570
    5Stockport County4019101159:50967
    6Stevenage4119101243:38567
    7Plymouth421961766:58863
    8Huddersfield4217111465:56962
    9Reading4316141362:55762
    10Luton4117101457:50761
    11Wycombe4316121563:511260
    12Barnsley4014121463:65-254
    13Mansfield4013141350:43753
    14Doncaster421581943:64-2153
    15Wigan4213131646:56-1052
    16Peterborough411562060:58251
    17Burton4313121846:56-1051
    18Blackpool431492051:65-1451
    19Leyton Orient421482057:66-950
    20AFC Wimbledon421482049:63-1450
    21Exeter4312112047:55-847
    22Rotherham419102236:62-2637
    23Northampton41982434:60-2635
    24Port Vale398102130:54-2434

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Qualified for Championship