Result
1:3
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 43
- Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (373/506) | 55% (142/259) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 3.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (373/506) | 55% (142/259) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (35/86) | 18% (13/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (64/113) | 38% (36/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.13 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', O'Keeffe C. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Phillips A. ⚽, Kelly P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Biancheri G. ↓, Martha A. ↑,
- 46', Agbaire L. ↓, Hall D. ↑,
- 50', Yoganathan V. 🟨,
- 58', Kelly L. ↓, Watmore D. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 2, Bradshaw T. ⚽, Bland J. (A),
- 67', Benson J. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
- 69', Banks S. ↓, Cleary R. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 3, Bradshaw T. ⚽, Phillips A. (A),
- 78', Phillips A. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
- 78', Earl J. ↓, Shepherd J. ↑,
- 88', de Gevigney M. 🟨,
- 89', Bradshaw T. ↓, Farrell L. ↑,
- 89', Kelly P. ↓, Roberts M. ↑,
- 90+4', O'Connell E. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Nombe S. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Rotherham United 36.3% | Draw 26.5% | Barnsley 37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Rotherham United - Barnsley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.58 ↑ (2.55) |
3.53 ↑ (3.4) |
2.52 ↑ (2.41) |
6.8% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rotherham United - Barnsley?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Barnsley will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rotherham (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Rotherham: Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
Powell J.
(Injury)
Yearwood D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Barnsley: Chirewa T.
(Ankle Injury)
Earl J.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Rotherham: Adegboyega E.
(Inactive)
Agbaire L.
(Inactive)
Dawson C.
(Inactive)
Hugill J.
(Inactive)
Kaleta M.
(Injury)
McWilliams S.
(Inactive)
Spence K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Rotherham United won against Barnsley?
Rotherham United has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Rotherham United?
Barnsley has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rotherham United - Barnsley were as follows:
25.10.2025
Barnsley
-
Rotherham United
0:1
26.08.2025
Barnsley
-
Rotherham United
2:1
22.02.2025
Rotherham United
-
Barnsley
0:1
08.11.2024
Barnsley
-
Rotherham United
2:0
Latest results of Rotherham United
Latest results of Barnsley
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship