Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 31
- Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (357/444) | 75% (281/373) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (357/444) | 75% (281/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (14/42) | 32% (19/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (91/120) | 63% (86/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 6% (1/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.88 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Smith S. (Own goal),
- 19', Smith S. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, McCann C. ⚽, Earing J. (A),
- 38', Rose D. 🟨,
- 43', Iorpenda T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hall T. ↓, Tangen H. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 1, Dennis M. ⚽, Robertson S. (A),
- 66', Jones J. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 69', Smith S. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑,
- 76', Robertson S. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
- 76', Thompson J. ↓, Raglan C. ↑,
- 77', Earing J. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
- 77', Malcolm J. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
- 78', Dennis M. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
- 85', Norburn O. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
- 86', Anderson J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Notts County
58.9% | Draw
24.2% | Barrow
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)The chances for Barrow have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Notts County - Barrow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.55) |
3.87 ↑
(3.86) |
5.46 ↑
(5.45) |
7.3%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Notts County - Barrow?
Users Predictions:
Notts County will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 21).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 0.
- Notts County has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Barrow is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Barrow may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Notts County is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Notts County: Luker J.
(Inactive)
McDonald R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Barrow: Foley S.
(Surgery)
Hemmings K.
(Injury)
Walker T.
(Inactive)
Williams M.
(Inactive)
Winterbottom B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Gordon J.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Notts County will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Barrow?
Notts County has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Notts County?
Barrow has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Barrow were as follows:
16.08.2025
Barrow
-
Notts County
2:1
04.03.2025
Notts County
-
Barrow
1:2
22.10.2024
Barrow
-
Notts County
1:1
27.01.2024
Notts County
-
Barrow
1:1
07.10.2023
Barrow
-
Notts County
1:1
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
