Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 3
- Referee: Marsden P. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (219/302) | 85% (485/571) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (219/302) | 85% (485/571) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (23/66) | 29% (16/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (75/120) | 72% (96/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (17/19) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Walker T. ⚽,
- 45+2', Luker J. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Aljofree S. ↓, Platt M. ↑,
- 56', Bennetts K. ↓, Tsaroulla N. ↑,
- 64', Earing J. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
- 75', Gordon K. ↓, Cotter B. ↑,
- 77', Walker T. ↓, Foley S. ↑,
- 77', Mahoney C. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
- 82', Canavan N. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 1, Dennis M. ⚽, Tsaroulla N. (A),
- 90+2', Bedeau J. 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 1, Shipley L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Barrow
33.9% | Draw
30.2% | Notts County
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2%)
Barrow - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↓
(2.88) |
3.11 ↓
(3.25) |
2.6 ↑
(2.53) |
6.8%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barrow - Notts County?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Notts County will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barrow (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 1.
- In recent matches, Barrow has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Notts County is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Notts County: Robertson S.
(Inactive)
Tsaroulla N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Williams M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Bennetts K.
(Injury)
Jarvis W.
(Inactive)
Jatta A.
(Inactive)
Ness L.
(Inactive)
Traore M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Notts County?
Barrow has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Barrow?
Notts County has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Notts County were as follows:
04.03.2025
Notts County
-
Barrow
1:2
22.10.2024
Barrow
-
Notts County
1:1
27.01.2024
Notts County
-
Barrow
1:1
07.10.2023
Barrow
-
Notts County
1:1
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
