Bastia vs Clermont – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
31/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 13
  • Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.36
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
84% (328/392)76% (257/337)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.880.13
Total shots
138
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1410
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
84% (328/392)76% (257/337)
Long passes
51% (24/47)41% (28/68)
Passes in final third
57% (54/94)62% (49/79)
Crosses
29% (5/17)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.32
Throw-ins
1730
Fouls
1711
Tackles
64% (9/14)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4538
Clearances
3020
Interceptions
1410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.130.88
Goals prevented
0.13-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Ackra A. , Baallal A. ,
  • 17', Bamba K. 🟨,
  • 17', Guidi D. 🟨,
  • 36', Camblan A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Bohnert F. , Parravicini N. ,
  • 60', Roncaglia A. 🟨,
  • 60', Parravicini N. 🟨,
  • 67', Socka Bongue L. , Fakili I. ,
  • 70', Vincent C. , Etoga L. ,
  • 70', Tomi F. , Karamoko I. ,
  • 73', Sebas J. , Ble M. ,
  • 73', Ducrocq T. , Petrignani M. ,
  • 76', Nsimba V. 🟨,
  • 81', Bamba K. , Diop O. ,
  • 81', Astic J. , Bellache Y. ,
  • 82', Coulibaly I. , Konate C. O. ,
  • 84', 1 - 0, Guidi D. , Petrignani M. (A),
  • 90+3', Olmeta L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bastia
53.2%
Draw
27.2%
Clermont
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 26.4% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 25.6% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Bastia - Clermont Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.74)
    3.42
    (3.5)
    4.67
    (4.53)
    7.8%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Bastia - Clermont?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Clermont will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 4 - 50%). Clermont (votes: 4 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Clermont (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Clermont (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 14).
    • Bastia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Clermont's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bastia is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G. (Knee Injury) Bathily Y. (Injury) Boutrah A. (Injury) Djedje D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Clermont: Caufriez M. (Inactive) Diedhiou F. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Inactive) Douane M. (Knee Injury) Gastien J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Clermont were as follows:
    14.02.2025 Clermont - Bastia 1:1
    18.10.2024 Bastia - Clermont 0:0
    Latest results of Bastia
    28.10.2025 Nancy - Bastia 2:0
    17.10.2025 Troyes - Bastia 1:0
    03.10.2025 Bastia - Dunkerque 0:0
    26.09.2025 Grenoble - Bastia 0:0
    23.09.2025 Bastia - Rodez 2:3
    Latest results of Clermont
    28.10.2025 Clermont - Montpellier 1:1
    24.10.2025 Guingamp - Clermont 0:1
    17.10.2025 Clermont - Annecy 0:1
    03.10.2025 Pau - Clermont 3:1
    26.09.2025 Clermont - Le Mans 1:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes27166544:271754
    2St Etienne27155746:291750
    3Le Mans271211437:261147
    4Red Star27128731:27444
    5Reims271110639:261343
    6Rodez271110634:32243
    7Montpellier271251033:25841
    8Dunkerque27109842:291339
    9Annecy271161035:30539
    10Guingamp27109838:38039
    11Pau FC27108940:44-438
    12Boulogne27961230:38-833
    13Grenoble27612924:30-630
    14Clermont27771330:36-628
    15Nancy27761424:40-1627
    16Amiens27651630:46-1623
    17Laval273111321:39-1820
    18Bastia273101414:30-1619

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National