Result
1:1
24/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 32
- Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (151/209) | 83% (327/394) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (151/209) | 83% (327/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (26/66) | 33% (14/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (43/69) | 73% (117/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 38% (15/40) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Sow S. ⚽, Fakili I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Ackra A. 🟥,
- 52', Baallal A. 🟨,
- 58', Akueson G. ↓, Sebas J. ↑,
- 59', Boutrah A. ↓, Beliandjou R. ↑,
- 65', Guevara J. 🟨,
- 69', Ducrocq T. ↓, Merghem M. ↑,
- 75', Merghem M. 🟥,
- 83', Fakili I. ↓, Douane M. ↑,
- 83', Camblan A. ↓, Diop O. ↑,
- 85', Ariss Z. ↓, Zilliox N. ↑,
- 85', Roncaglia A. ↓, Janneh J. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Zaouai A. ⚽, Janneh J. (A),
Chances of winning
Clermont
35.3% | Draw
29% | Bastia
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Clermont - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.54) |
3.2 ↑
(3.1) |
2.62 ↓
(2.74) |
7.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Clermont - Bastia?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Bastia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- Clermont has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bastia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Clermont: Donavin M.
(Inactive)
Nsimba V.
(Inactive)
Tourraine M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bastia: Bathily Y.
(Injury)
Bohnert F.
(Yellow Cards)
Djedje D.
(Injury)
Parravicini N.
(Hernia)
Placide J.
(Inactive)
Vincent C.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Clermont won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Clermont won against Bastia?
Clermont has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Clermont?
Bastia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Clermont - Bastia were as follows:
31.10.2025
Bastia
-
Clermont
1:0
14.02.2025
Clermont
-
Bastia
1:1
18.10.2024
Bastia
-
Clermont
0:0
Latest results of Clermont
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 47:30 | 17 | 58 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53:36 | 17 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 54 |
| 5 | Reims | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Rodez | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 41:37 | 4 | 52 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 39:28 | 11 | 50 |
| 8 | Annecy | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 46:36 | 10 | 49 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:54 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Clermont | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Nancy | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
| 16 | Laval | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 28:43 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22:37 | -15 | 25 |
| 18 | Amiens | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 36:57 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
