Result
4:0
15/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 27
- Referee: Ben El Hadj Salem H. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | 5 GOLD Israel |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 6 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (364/438) | 82% (343/417) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 73% (60/82) | 49% (44/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 50% (4/8) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 64% (9/14) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Avom A. ⚽, Pagis P. (A),
- 38', Katseris P. 🟨,
- 39', Abergel L. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 0, Kroupi E. J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Boutrah A. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
- 46', Janneh J. ↓, Etoga L. ↑,
- 50', Talbi M. 🟨,
- 65', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Vincent C. ↑,
- 66', Cisse L. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
- 68', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 0, Katseris P. ⚽, Bamba M. (A),
- 76', Katseris P. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
- 77', Soumano S. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,
- 77', Sebas J. 🟨,
- 84', Pagis P. ↓, Fadiga B. ↑,
- 84', Meynadier T. ↓, Bohnert F. ↑,
- 88', 4 - 0, Yongwa D. ⚽, Bamba M. (A),
Chances of winning
Lorient
52.9% | Draw
27.2% | Bastia
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Lorient - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.72) |
3.46 ↓
(3.51) |
4.72 ↓
(4.99) |
6.6%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS 5
What is the prediction for Lorient - Bastia?
Users Predictions:
Lorient will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorient won 1.
- Recent matches Lorient is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Bastia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Bastia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Lorient is a favorite.
- There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N.
(Ankle Injury)
Diarra S.
(Injury)
Kalulu G.
(Injury)
Ponceau J.
(Injury)
Tosin A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bastia: Maggiotti J.
(Injury)
Mazikou S.
(Injury)
Roncaglia A.
(Inactive)
Tomi F.
(Injury)
Tramoni L.
(Inactive)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Lorient won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:15 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Bastia?
Lorient has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Lorient?
Bastia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Bastia were as follows:
23.11.2024
Bastia
-
Lorient
0:0
21.01.2023
Bastia
-
Lorient
1:2 pen.
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 44:27 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 37:26 | 11 | 47 |
| 4 | Red Star | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 44 |
| 5 | Reims | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 43 |
| 6 | Rodez | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 34:32 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 41 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 38:38 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 33 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:46 | -16 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 21:39 | -18 | 20 |
| 18 | Bastia | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
