Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Super League Beijing Guoan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Result
2:2
03/08/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
spainSpainGol Play, GolStadium

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.342.26
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
140
Passes
87% (545/629)70% (173/247)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.342.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.271.63
Total shots
208
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
70
Shots inside the Box
165
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
140
Touches in opposition box
3911
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
815
Passes
87% (545/629)70% (173/247)
Long passes
62% (33/53)35% (20/57)
Passes in final third
68% (103/151)48% (21/44)
Crosses
38% (13/34)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
2.090.63
Throw-ins
2918
Fouls
158
Tackles
69% (11/16)62% (13/21)
Duels won
5756
Clearances
450
Interceptions
521
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
1.631.27
Goals prevented
-0.37-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Quiles A. , Xadas (A),
  • 30', Salvador C. , Guo Hao ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Dawhan , Serginho (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Huang Jiahui , Wang Qiuming ,
  • 52', 1 - 2, Quiles A. ,
  • 55', Sun Ming-Him , Yang Zihao ,
  • 69', Lin Liangming , Muhmet N. ,
  • 69', Fan Shuangjie , Cao Yongjing ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Abreu F. , Muhmet N. (A),
  • 71', Ba Dun , Su Yuanjie ,
  • 71', Xie Weijun , Li Yongjia ,
  • 73', Chi Zhongguo 🟨,
  • 75', Chi Zhongguo , Guga ,
  • 76', Feng Boxuan , Bai Yang ,
  • 86', Serginho , Fang Hao ,
  • 86', Li Lei , Yang Liyu ,
  • 86', Ademi A. , Liu J. ,
  • 90+8', Yan Bingliang 🟨,

Chances of winning


Beijing Guoan
64.2%
Draw
20.1%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 18.9% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8% 18% 13%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beijing Guoan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Beijing Guoan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.39)
    4.7
    (4.95)
    6.01
    (6.91)
    6.6%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 79.4%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Beijing Guoan is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Bai Yang (Inactive) Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) He Yupeng (Inactive) Wang Gang (Yellow Cards) Zhang Yuan (Inactive) Zhang Yuning (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Fang Jingqi (Injury) Shi Yan (Injury) Wang Xianjun (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Spajic U. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Beijing Guoan won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Beijing Guoan 2:2
    21.07.2024 Beijing Guoan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 2:0
    30.04.2024 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Beijing Guoan 0:1
    09.08.2023 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Beijing Guoan 0:0
    10.05.2023 Beijing Guoan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1:1
    Latest results of Beijing Guoan
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Shenhua22154349:252449
    2Shanghai Port22146252:282448
    3Chengdu Rongcheng22145344:172747
    4Beijing Guoan21136247:262145
    5Shandong Taishan22114745:351037
    6Zhejiang Professional2397746:361034
    7Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2397730:32-234
    8Yunnan Yukun2285934:43-929
    9Dalian Yingbo2285921:32-1129
    10Qingdao West Coast2269729:34-527
    11Henan Songshan Longmen22641237:40-322
    12Wuhan Three Towns21561027:38-1121
    13Meizhou Hakka22451328:47-1917
    14Shenzhen Xinpengcheng22521526:50-2417
    15Qingdao Hainiu22361320:34-1415
    16Changchun Yatai22431518:36-1815

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