Amarante vs Belenenses – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Amarante - Belenenses
Result
1:4
10/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
73
Total shots
76
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
31
Corner Kicks
73
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Pereira R. ,
  • 5', 0 - 2, Tavares J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Bright , Ribeiro O. ,
  • 56', Okoli F. , Zakari B. ,
  • 63', Tavares J. , Cuca ,
  • 64', Antunes Tiago C. J. , Cardoso F. ,
  • 70', 0 - 3, Sambu M. ,
  • 72', Paulo D. , Gabriel Passos ,
  • 72', Sambu M. , Ekanga Ondoa H. O. ,
  • 77', Helder Pedro , Sousa C. ,
  • 77', Semedo K. , Leandro M. ,
  • 81', 1 - 3, Zakari B. ,
  • 82', Barros E. , Maria G. ,
  • 82', Morgado T. , Fernandes X. ,
  • 86', 1 - 4, Cuca ,

Chances of winning


Amarante
29.4%
Draw
28.1%
Belenenses
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 29.4% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 30% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amarante's form might have worsened.
  • Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belenenses's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amarante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belenenses, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Amarante - Belenenses Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.13
    (2.4)
    3.27
    (3.12)
    2.16
    (2.84)
    9%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Amarante has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Belenenses is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Amarante won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amarante - Belenenses were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Belenenses - Amarante 0:0
    Latest results of Amarante
    03.05.2025 Atlético CP - Amarante 3:1
    26.04.2025 Amarante - Lusitânia 1:1
    19.04.2025 Amarante - 1 Dezembro 1:1
    13.04.2025 Fafe - Amarante 1:1
    06.04.2025 Amarante - Varzim 2:1
    Latest results of Belenenses
    04.05.2025 Belenenses - Fafe 3:2
    26.04.2025 Varzim - Belenenses 0:0
    13.04.2025 Belenenses - 1 Dezembro 2:0
    05.04.2025 Atlético CP - Belenenses 2:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B32012:206
    2Varzim32015:146
    3Trofense31202:025
    4Sanjoanense21102:024
    5Amarante21013:303
    6AD Marco 0920200:002
    7Paredes30211:2-12
    8Vitoria Guimaraes B20112:3-11
    9AD Fafe20111:3-21
    10Sao Joao Ver20110:4-41


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    11u00ba Dezembro32103:127
    2Os Belenenses32103:127
    3Caldas22003:126
    4Santarem31112:204
    5Amora31111:104
    6Lusitano GC31024:313
    7Academica21012:203
    8Covilha30122:4-21
    9Mafra20112:5-31
    10Atletico CP20020:2-20

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