Result
1:4
10/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Pereira R. ⚽,
- 5', 0 - 2, Tavares J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Bright ↓, Ribeiro O. ↑,
- 56', Okoli F. ↓, Zakari B. ↑,
- 63', Tavares J. ↓, Cuca ↑,
- 64', Antunes Tiago C. J. ↓, Cardoso F. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 3, Sambu M. ⚽,
- 72', Paulo D. ↓, Gabriel Passos ↑,
- 72', Sambu M. ↓, Ekanga Ondoa H. O. ↑,
- 77', Helder Pedro ↓, Sousa C. ↑,
- 77', Semedo K. ↓, Leandro M. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 3, Zakari B. ⚽,
- 82', Barros E. ↓, Maria G. ↑,
- 82', Morgado T. ↓, Fernandes X. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 4, Cuca ⚽,
Chances of winning
Amarante
29.4% | Draw
28.1% | Belenenses
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amarante's form might have worsened.Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belenenses's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amarante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belenenses, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Amarante - Belenenses Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↑
(2.4) |
3.27 ↑
(3.12) |
2.16 ↓
(2.84) |
9%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Amarante has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Belenenses is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Amarante won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Amarante won against Belenenses?
Amarante has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Amarante?
Belenenses has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amarante - Belenenses were as follows:
15.03.2025
Belenenses
-
Amarante
0:0
Latest results of Amarante
Latest results of Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trofense | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 8 |
| 2 | Braga B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | AD Marco 09 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Amarante | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Paredes | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | AD Fafe | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Caldas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Amora | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Academica | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Atletico CP | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Mafra | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Santarem | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Covilha | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
