Belenenses vs Amarante – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Belenenses
51.9%
Draw
28.4%
Amarante
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 28.3% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 26.6% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Belenenses - Amarante Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.68)
    3.18
    (3)
    4.58
    (4)
    10.9%
    (17.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Belenenses may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Belenenses is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Amarante were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Amarante - Belenenses 1:4
    15.03.2025 Belenenses - Amarante 0:0
    Latest results of Belenenses
    Latest results of Amarante
    21.02.2026 Amarante - Mafra 1:0
    07.02.2026 Varzim - Amarante 2:1
    25.01.2026 Amarante - Trofense 1:1
    18.01.2026 Paredes - Amarante 0:0
    11.01.2026 Amarante - Braga B 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Varzim32014:226
    2Os Belenenses31205:415
    3Vitoria Guimaraes B31113:304
    4Academica21013:303
    5Amarante21012:203
    6Santarem21012:203
    7Mafra21011:103
    8Trofense30121:4-31

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