Result
1:4
22/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 6', 0 - 1, Horta Leitao D. ⚽, Duda (A),
- 9', 1 - 1, Iheanacho S. ⚽, Rossi R. (A),
- 18', Alves K. 🟨,
- 32', Morgado T. 🟨,
- 41', Sambu B. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Horta Leitao D. ⚽,
- 45+6', 1 - 3, Souza E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 🟨,
- 53', Bandarra M. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
- 56', Moreira R. ↓, Ninte M. ↑,
- 61', Duda 🟨,
- 66', Andrey ↓, Neves L. ↑,
- 66', Niang M. ↓, So S. ↑,
- 67', Machado J. 🟨,
- 69', Duda ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
- 69', Souza E. ↓, Sambu M. ↑,
- 78', Matos R. ↓, Fati E. ↑,
- 84', Afonso A. ↓, Teixeira J. ↑,
- 84', Morgado T. ↓, Valente A. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 4, Horta Leitao D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mafra
33.9% | Draw
28.9% | Belenenses
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Mafra - Belenenses Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.61) |
3.17 ↑
(2.9) |
2.46 ↓
(2.75) |
9.3%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mafra - Belenenses?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Belenenses will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Mafra has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Belenenses is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Belenenses may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Mafra has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mafra won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Belenenses?
Mafra has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Mafra?
Belenenses has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Belenenses were as follows:
09.11.2025
Belenenses
-
Mafra
2:1
09.08.2025
Mafra
-
Belenenses
1:1
02.02.2024
Mafra
-
Belenenses
1:1
26.08.2023
Belenenses
-
Mafra
1:1
Latest results of Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Academica | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Amarante | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 7 | Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 8 | Mafra | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
