Belenenses vs Mafra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
144
Shots on target
81
Corner Kicks
85
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
144
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+3', Ferreira J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Nuno Tomas ,
  • 61', Goncalves V. , Moreira R. ,
  • 61', Iheanacho S. , Ninte M. ,
  • 66', Bandarra M. 🟨,
  • 68', Ninte M. 🟨,
  • 72', Souza E. , Paredes J. ,
  • 76', Horta Leitao D. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Niang M. ,
  • 79', Valente A. , Afonso A. ,
  • 85', Camara M. 🟨,
  • 87', Pinto R. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Morgado T. ,
  • 89', Horta Leitao D. , Machado J. ,
  • 90', Bandarra M. , Teixeira J. ,

Chances of winning


Belenenses
45.9%
Draw
28.9%
Mafra
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 27.7% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 28.6% 22.2%

Belenenses - Mafra Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.01
(1.85)
3.2
(3.3)
3.67
(4)
8.2%
(9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Belenenses - Mafra?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Belenenses (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Belenenses has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mafra is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Belenenses has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Belenenses is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Mafra were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Mafra - Belenenses 1:1
    02.02.2024 Mafra - Belenenses 1:1
    26.08.2023 Belenenses - Mafra 1:1
    Latest results of Belenenses
    26.10.2025 1 Dezembro - Belenenses 0:1
    19.10.2025 Belenenses - Estoril Praia 1:2
    11.10.2025 Belenenses - Covilhã 3:0
    04.10.2025 Belenenses - Caldas 0:2
    Latest results of Mafra
    02.11.2025 Mafra - Atlético CP 1:0
    11.10.2025 Mafra - Amora 2:0
    05.10.2025 Mafra - 1 Dezembro 3:1
    28.09.2025 Caldas - Mafra 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amarante ✔ 1784518:16228
    2Trofense1776422:14827
    3Vitoria Guimaraes B1775517:14326
    4Varzim1767423:16725
    5Paredes1759320:11924
    6Braga B1766514:15-124
    7AD Fafe1765621:19223
    8AD Marco 09 ✔ 1747614:19-519
    9Sao Joao Ver ✔ 1728710:24-1414
    10Sanjoanense ✔ 1727818:29-1113


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Os Belenenses ✔ 17122326:141238
    2Mafra ✔ 1787226:18831
    3Academica1777329:171228
    4Santarem1757513:13022
    5Atletico CP1764715:15022
    6Lusitano GC1763818:18021
    7Amora1746717:22-518
    8Caldas ✔ 1753916:23-718
    91u00ba Dezembro ✔ 1737712:20-816
    10Covilha ✔ 1728710:22-1214

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Amarante is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
    AD Marco 09 is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    Sao Joao Ver is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    Os Belenenses is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
    Mafra is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
    Caldas is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    1u00ba Dezembro is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    Covilha is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )