Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+3', Ferreira J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, Nuno Tomas ⚽,
- 61', Goncalves V. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
- 61', Iheanacho S. ↓, Ninte M. ↑,
- 66', Bandarra M. 🟨,
- 68', Ninte M. 🟨,
- 72', Souza E. ↓, Paredes J. ↑,
- 76', Horta Leitao D. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Niang M. ⚽,
- 79', Valente A. ↓, Afonso A. ↑,
- 85', Camara M. 🟨,
- 87', Pinto R. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 1, Morgado T. ⚽,
- 89', Horta Leitao D. ↓, Machado J. ↑,
- 90', Bandarra M. ↓, Teixeira J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Belenenses
45.9% | Draw
28.9% | Mafra
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belenenses, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-3%)
Belenenses - Mafra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.85) |
3.2 ↓
(3.3) |
3.67 ↓
(4) |
8.2%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Belenenses - Mafra?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Belenenses (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Belenenses has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mafra is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Belenenses has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Belenenses is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Belenenses won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Mafra?
Belenenses has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Belenenses?
Mafra has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Mafra were as follows:
09.08.2025
Mafra
-
Belenenses
1:1
02.02.2024
Mafra
-
Belenenses
1:1
26.08.2023
Belenenses
-
Mafra
1:1
Latest results of Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Academica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Amarante | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
