Belenenses vs Trofense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
07/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
46
Corner kicks
47
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
811
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
45
Corner kicks
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Joel 🟨,
  • 61', Ivandro , Oliveira J. ,
  • 64', Bruninho , David Rebelo ,
  • 64', Eduardo W. , Gastao J. ,
  • 72', Joel , Duarte E. ,
  • 75', Paulo D. 🟨,
  • 75', Valente A. , Cuca ,
  • 82', Bandarra M. , Machado J. ,
  • 82', Horta Leitao D. , Duda ,
  • 88', Diarra M. , Roka ,
  • 88', Feliz , Hachadi K. ,

Chances of winning


Belenenses
44.6%
Draw
30.4%
Trofense
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 27.9% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 27% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belenenses's form might have worsened.
  • Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belenenses, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trofense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Belenenses - Trofense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.77)
    3.03
    (3.27)
    3.68
    (4.48)
    8.6%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Belenenses - Trofense?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Belenenses is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Trofense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Belenenses is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Belenenses will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Belenenses won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Belenenses won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Trofense were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Belenenses - Trofense 3:0
    Latest results of Belenenses
    17.01.2026 Belenenses - 1 Dezembro 1:0
    11.01.2026 Caldas - Belenenses 1:2
    03.01.2026 Belenenses - Amora 3:1
    21.12.2025 Covilhã - Belenenses 0:4
    Latest results of Trofense
    25.01.2026 Amarante - Trofense 1:1
    18.01.2026 Trofense - Marco 09 0:1
    10.01.2026 Sanjoanense - Trofense 2:4
    20.12.2025 Varzim - Trofense 0:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B42116:337
    2Academica32016:426
    3Amarante32014:316
    4Varzim42024:5-16
    5Os Belenenses41216:605
    6Mafra31112:204
    7Santarem31023:5-23
    8Trofense40222:5-32

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