Result
0:2
17/01/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 18
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Bold+ |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kuwait | KTV Sport |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-america | Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 2.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (285/346) | 90% (539/601) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 2.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 49 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (285/346) | 90% (539/601) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (21/45) | 58% (22/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (34/55) | 80% (182/227) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, Barreiro L. ⚽, Sudakov G. (A),
- 25', 0 - 2, Ntoi A. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Schjelderup A. 🟨,
- 62', Schjelderup A. ↓, Lopes Cabral S. ↑,
- 66', Ntoi A. 🟨,
- 72', Ntoi A. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
- 73', Andre Luiz ↓, Pohlmann O. ↑,
- 73', Athanasiou N. ↓, Nikitscher T. ↑,
- 78', Prestianni G. ↓, Rego J. ↑,
- 80', Aguilera Zamora B. ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
- 80', Spikic D. ↓, Diogo Bezerra ↑,
- 90', Sudakov G. ↓, Manu ↑,
- 90+1', Dahl S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rio Ave
10.5% | Draw
17.8% | Benfica
71.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Rio Ave - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.96 ↑
(7.25) |
5.35 ↑
(4.55) |
1.31 ↓
(1.4) |
6.1%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rio Ave - Benfica?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Benfica will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 79.4% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Benfica (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Rio Ave (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benfica will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Rio Ave (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Benfica (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Benfica is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Bakoulas T.
(Knee Injury)
Richards O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Benfica: Bah A.
(Knee Injury)
Bruma
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Felix N.
(Knee Injury)
Lukebakio D.
(Broken ankle)
Soares S.
(Injury)
Veloso J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rio Ave: Rafael Lobato
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Benfica: Rios R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 20:51. (average 1:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Benfica?
Rio Ave has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Rio Ave?
Benfica has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Ave - Benfica were as follows:
23.09.2025
Benfica
-
Rio Ave
1:1
27.10.2024
Benfica
-
Rio Ave
5:0
17.05.2024
Rio Ave
-
Benfica
1:1
14.01.2024
Benfica
-
Rio Ave
4:1
02.04.2023
Rio Ave
-
Benfica
0:1
Latest results of Rio Ave
Latest results of Benfica
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
