Result
3:2
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 38
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (247/349) | 67% (198/297) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (247/349) | 67% (198/297) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (29/82) | 34% (25/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (65/127) | 44% (39/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 79 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.98 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Brown D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', 1 - 1, Ennis N. ⚽, Bowler J. (A),
- 59', 1 - 2, Walters R. ⚽, Shipley J. (A),
- 64', Randall J. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
- 65', Coulson H. ↓, Clarkson L. ↑,
- 65', Honeyman G. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
- 69', Shipley J. ↓, Garrity B. ↑,
- 69', Brown D. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
- 71', Ennis N. ↓, Bloxham T. ↑,
- 71', Ihiekwe M. ↓, Husband J. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 2, Fletcher A. ⚽, Bloxham T. (A),
- 74', Sherif M. 🟨,
- 76', Gordon L. 🟨,
- 79', Walters R. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
- 79', Gordon L. ↓, Headley J. ↑,
- 79', Sherif M. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Walters R. ⚽, Husband J. (A),
- 90+5', Magloire T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Blackpool
48.5% | Draw
27.9% | Port Vale
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blackpool's performance.Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Port Vale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Port Vale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Blackpool - Port Vale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.16) |
3.36 ↑
(3.3) |
3.96 ↑
(3.05) |
6.5%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Blackpool - Port Vale?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Blackpool will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Port Vale will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blackpool: 49.9% – 90.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Blackpool will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 1.
- Recent form of Blackpool has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Port Vale has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Port Vale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Blackpool has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
- Blackpool will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Blackpool: Finnigan R.
(Inactive)
Grant K.
(Inactive)
Horsfall F.
(Red Card)
Lyons A.
(Inactive)
Morgan A.
(Inactive)
Obafemi M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G.
(Injury)
Garrity B.
(Inactive)
Stockley J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Blackpool: Taylor D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Croasdale R.
(Inactive)
Heneghan B.
(Injury)
Humphreys C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Blackpool won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Blackpool won against Port Vale?
Blackpool has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Blackpool?
Port Vale has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Blackpool - Port Vale were as follows:
01.01.2026
Port Vale
-
Blackpool
5:1
12.08.2025
Blackpool
-
Port Vale
0:1
29.12.2023
Port Vale
-
Blackpool
3:0
15.08.2023
Blackpool
-
Port Vale
0:0
Latest results of Blackpool
Latest results of Port Vale
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
