Boca Juniors vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA Club World Cup
Football FIFA Club World Cup Boca Juniors - Benfica
Result
2:2
16/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FIFA Club World Cup - Round 1
  • Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.77
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
71% (195/274)85% (351/414)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.421.73
Total shots
108
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
813
Passes
71% (195/274)85% (351/414)
Long passes
34% (20/58)65% (28/43)
Passes in final third
48% (31/64)76% (93/123)
Crosses
33% (4/12)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.62
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
138
Tackles
65% (13/20)50% (10/20)
Duels won
5157
Clearances
3329
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
1.731.42
Goals prevented
-0.27-0.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 20', Herrera A. ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Blanco L. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, Battaglia R. ⚽, Costa A. (A),
  • 45', Herrera A. 🟥,
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Di Maria A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Dahl S. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
  • 58', Velasco A. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
  • 61', Bruma ↓, Akturkoglu K. ↑,
  • 61', Sanches R. ↓, Kokcu O. ↑,
  • 65', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
  • 66', Carlos Palacios ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
  • 66', Carlos Palacios 🟨,
  • 67', Carreras A. 🟨,
  • 72', Belotti A. 🟥,
  • 77', Di Maria A. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
  • 83', Pavlidis V. 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 2, Otamendi N. ⚽, Kokcu O. (A),
  • 85', Costa A. 🟨,
  • 88', Figal J. 🟥,
  • 90', Florentino ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
17.6%		Draw
24.2%		Benfica
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.4% 25.4% 53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21% 25% 54.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
    •

    Boca Juniors - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.49 ↑
    (4.42)    		 3.95 ↑
    (3.73)    		 1.65 ↓
    (1.78)    		 4.1%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 8 - 10.8%). Benfica will win (votes: 56 - 75.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 13.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 65.9% – 85.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
    • AH +1 - Benfica (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benfica will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Benfica is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Manu (Knee Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    19.05.2025 Boca Juniors - Independiente 0:1 ✺
    10.05.2025 Boca Juniors - Lanús 1:0 ✺
    04.05.2025 Tigre - Boca Juniors 1:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 River Plate - Boca Juniors 2:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Benfica
    25.05.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:3 ✺
    17.05.2025 Braga - Benfica 1:1 ✺
    10.05.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Estoril Praia - Benfica 1:2 ✺
    27.04.2025 Benfica - AVS 6:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)4 : 0

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)PSG (B1)3 : 0
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