Boca Juniors vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Boca Juniors - Independiente
Result
0:1
19/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium, TyC Sports
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.67
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
77% (248/323)84% (333/396)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.84
Total shots
813
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
1612
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
77% (248/323)84% (333/396)
Long passes
48% (23/48)57% (29/51)
Passes in final third
57% (51/89)82% (97/118)
Crosses
19% (5/27)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.58
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
1411
Tackles
63% (20/32)69% (9/13)
Duels won
6545
Clearances
2228
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.840.34
Goals prevented
-0.160.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Vera F. 🟨,
  • 48', Costa A. 🟨,
  • 57', Gimenez M. , Cavani E. ,
  • 57', Belmonte T. , Herrera A. ,
  • 61', Millan L. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Angulo A. ,
  • 68', Zenon K. 🟨,
  • 70', Zenon K. , Zeballos E. ,
  • 77', Vera F. , Galdames P. ,
  • 77', Cabral L. , Rodrigo Fernandez ,
  • 79', Carlos Palacios , Velasco A. ,
  • 79', Delgado M. , Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ,
  • 81', Battaglia R. 🟨,
  • 82', Montiel S. , Salle S. ,
  • 85', Gimenez M. 🟨,
  • 87', Galdames P. 🟨,
  • 88', Rey R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
39.6%
Draw
32.3%
Independiente
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 31.2% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 30.5% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Boca Juniors - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.32)
    2.94
    (3.03)
    3.38
    (3.38)
    5.6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.61%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Boca Juniors will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.
    • Boca Juniors is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Independiente has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Boca Juniors will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Independiente were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Boca Juniors - Independiente 0:0
    29.07.2023 Independiente - Boca Juniors 0:2
    07.01.2023 Boca Juniors - Independiente 0:0
    23.10.2022 Boca Juniors - Independiente 2:2
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    10.05.2025 Boca Juniors - Lanús 1:0
    04.05.2025 Tigre - Boca Juniors 1:1
    27.04.2025 River Plate - Boca Juniors 2:1
    12.04.2025 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 1:3
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1363415:13221
    2Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    3Argentinos Jrs1353515:10518
    4Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    5Belgrano1346313:10318
    6Racing Club1353514:13118
    7Boca Juniors1245319:10917
    8Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    9Barracas Central1145213:11217
    10Tigre1245311:9217
    11Banfield1352612:18-617
    12Huracan124446:10-416
    13Ind. Rivadavia1326511:14-312
    14Newells Old Boys1325611:21-1011
    15Aldosivi132385:15-109


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus1382315:9626
    2Velez Sarsfield1374219:91025
    3Dep. Riestra1273217:9824
    4Rosario Central1266014:6824
    5River Plate1363420:12821
    6San Martin S.J1345410:11-117
    7San Lorenzo124449:9016
    8Atl. Tucuman1243513:13015
    9Sarmiento Junin124359:13-415
    10Instituto123637:11-415
    11Talleres Cordoba133557:12-514
    12Gimnasia L.P134188:16-813
    13Platense1225511:17-611
    14Godoy Cruz131759:16-710
    15Independiente120666:13-76

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)