Boca Juniors vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Boca Juniors - Independiente
Result
0:1
19/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium, TyC Sports
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.67
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
77% (248/323)84% (333/396)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.340.84
Total shots
813
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
1612
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
77% (248/323)84% (333/396)
Long passes
48% (23/48)57% (29/51)
Passes in final third
57% (51/89)82% (97/118)
Crosses
19% (5/27)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.58
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
1411
Tackles
63% (20/32)69% (9/13)
Duels won
6545
Clearances
2228
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.840.34
Goals prevented
-0.160.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Vera F. 🟨,
  • 48', Costa A. 🟨,
  • 57', Gimenez M. , Cavani E. ,
  • 57', Belmonte T. , Herrera A. ,
  • 61', Millan L. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Angulo A. ,
  • 68', Zenon K. 🟨,
  • 70', Zenon K. , Zeballos E. ,
  • 77', Vera F. , Galdames P. ,
  • 77', Cabral L. , Rodrigo Fernandez ,
  • 79', Carlos Palacios , Velasco A. ,
  • 79', Delgado M. , Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ,
  • 81', Battaglia R. 🟨,
  • 82', Montiel S. , Salle S. ,
  • 85', Gimenez M. 🟨,
  • 87', Galdames P. 🟨,
  • 88', Rey R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
39.6%
Draw
32.3%
Independiente
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 31.2% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 30.5% 27.4%

Boca Juniors - Independiente Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.38
(2.32)
2.94
(3.03)
3.38
(3.38)
5.6%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.61%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Boca Juniors will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.
    • Boca Juniors is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Independiente has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Boca Juniors will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Independiente were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Boca Juniors - Independiente 0:0
    29.07.2023 Independiente - Boca Juniors 0:2
    07.01.2023 Boca Juniors - Independiente 0:0
    23.10.2022 Boca Juniors - Independiente 2:2
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    10.05.2025 Boca Juniors - Lanús 1:0
    04.05.2025 Tigre - Boca Juniors 1:1
    27.04.2025 River Plate - Boca Juniors 2:1
    12.04.2025 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 1:3
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors1575326:121426
    2Union de Santa Fe1566320:13724
    3Central Cordoba1457216:10622
    4Barracas Central1557318:16222
    5Racing Club1564515:13222
    6Estudiantes L.P1463516:15121
    7Banfield1462614:19-520
    8Belgrano1447313:10319
    9Tigre1447313:11219
    10Defensa y Justicia1554614:17-319
    11Huracan155469:14-519
    12Argentinos Jrs1453615:12318
    13Newells Old Boys1535713:22-914
    14Ind. Rivadavia1426612:17-512
    15Aldosivi143388:16-812


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central ✔ 1587018:71131
    2Dep. Riestra ✔ 1483318:10827
    3Lanus ✔ 1583417:12527
    4Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1474319:10925
    5San Lorenzo1565412:10223
    6River Plate1563620:15521
    7Talleres Cordoba155559:12-320
    8San Martin S.J1547411:12-119
    9Sarmiento Junin1444610:15-516
    10Gimnasia L.P145189:16-716
    11Atl. Tucuman1443714:18-415
    12Instituto143658:15-715
    13Independiente1426612:13-112
    14Platense1526712:22-1012
    15Godoy Cruz141859:16-711

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Dep. Riestra is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)