Result
0:1
19/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium, TyC Sports |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (248/323) | 84% (333/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (248/323) | 84% (333/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 57% (29/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (51/89) | 82% (97/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (20/32) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vera F. 🟨,
- 48', Costa A. 🟨,
- 57', Gimenez M. ↓, Cavani E. ↑,
- 57', Belmonte T. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
- 61', Millan L. ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, Angulo A. ⚽,
- 68', Zenon K. 🟨,
- 70', Zenon K. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
- 77', Vera F. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
- 77', Cabral L. ↓, Rodrigo Fernandez ↑,
- 79', Carlos Palacios ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
- 79', Delgado M. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
- 81', Battaglia R. 🟨,
- 82', Montiel S. ↓, Salle S. ↑,
- 85', Gimenez M. 🟨,
- 87', Galdames P. 🟨,
- 88', Rey R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Boca Juniors
39.6% | Draw
32.3% | Independiente
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Boca Juniors - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.32) |
2.94 ↓
(3.03) |
3.38 ↑
(3.38) |
5.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Independiente?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Boca Juniors (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Boca Juniors (1.58) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DC - Independiente (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Independiente (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Boca Juniors will win
(22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Boca Juniors will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Independiente (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.
- Boca Juniors is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Independiente has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Boca Juniors will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Independiente?
Boca Juniors has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Boca Juniors?
Independiente has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Independiente were as follows:
14.12.2024
Boca Juniors
-
Independiente
0:0
29.07.2023
Independiente
-
Boca Juniors
0:2
07.01.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Independiente
0:0
23.10.2022
Boca Juniors
-
Independiente
2:2
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lanus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Independiente | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Tigre | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | River Plate | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Huracan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Argentinos Jrs | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Banfield | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3:15 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
