Result
1:2
17/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 5
- Referee: Volek S. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (284/352) | 75% (217/291) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 2.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (284/352) | 75% (217/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 43% (26/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (62/96) | 59% (64/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Gning A. ⚽, Buzek A. (A),
- 21', Okeke N. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Matousek J. ⚽, Kadlec A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Yusuf 🟨,
- 61', Matousek J. ↓, Ristovski M. ↑,
- 64', Conde O. ↓, Chytry J. ↑,
- 64', Planka D. ↓, Samko D. ↑,
- 64', Traore A. ↓, Ayaosi E. ↑,
- 67', Kadlec A. 🟨,
- 78', Gning A. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,
- 79', Cermak A. ↓, Hruby R. ↑,
- 80', Yusuf ↓, Plestil D. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Drchal V. ⚽, Sinyavskiy V. (A),
- 85', Buzek A. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
- 90+3', Reichl M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Kadlec A. ↓, Kareem P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Karviná
47.2% | Draw
26.5% | Bohemians 1905
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karviná's performance.Bohemians 1905 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bohemians 1905 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karviná that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bohemians 1905 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bohemians 1905 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Karviná - Bohemians 1905 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.31) |
3.68 ↑
(3.43) |
3.76 ↑
(2.95) |
3.4%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Karviná - Bohemians 1905?
Users Predictions:
Karviná will win
(18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Karviná will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Bohemians has had a series of home games.
- Karviná might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Karviná: Singhateh E.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Bohemians: Sinyavskiy V.
(Red Card)
Smrz V.
(Doping)
- There are questionable in Karviná: Sigut S.
(Health problems)
Vallo K.
(Health problems)
- There are questionable in Bohemians: Sakala B.
(Injury)
Zeman V.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:27. (average 0.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Bohemians 1905?
Karviná has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bohemians 1905 won against Karviná?
Bohemians 1905 has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karviná - Bohemians 1905 were as follows:
14.12.2024
Bohemians 1905
-
Karviná
3:3
17.08.2024
Karviná
-
Bohemians 1905
1:2
16.05.2024
Bohemians 1905
-
Karviná
1:3
20.04.2024
Karviná
-
Bohemians 1905
1:1
11.11.2023
Bohemians 1905
-
Karviná
1:0
Latest results of Karviná
Latest results of Bohemians 1905
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sparta Prague | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16:7 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Slavia Prague | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Zlin | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Plzen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 12 |
| 7 | Karvina | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | Liberec | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Bohemians | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Hradec Kralove | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Dukla Prague | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Slovacko | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 5 |
| 13 | Ostrava | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Mlada Boleslav | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Teplice | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
| 16 | FK Pardubice | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:15 | -9 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
