Result
3:2
07/02/2026 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 31
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (264/356) | 71% (275/388) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (264/356) | 71% (275/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (38/77) | 30% (22/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (62/100) | 56% (55/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 74 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 2.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.19 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Dalby S. ⚽, Dempsey K. (A),
- 19', 2 - 0, Dalby S. ⚽,
- 29', Dempsey K. 🟨,
- 32', 3 - 0, McAtee J. ⚽, Dalby S. (A),
- 45+2', Forino-Joseph C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Cleary R. ↓, Phillips A. ↑,
- 46', McGoldrick D. ↓, Kelly P. ↑,
- 46', O'Connell E. ↓, de Gevigney M. ↑,
- 46', Watson T. ↓, Ogbeta N. ↑,
- 57', 3 - 1, Connell L. ⚽, Banks S. (A),
- 60', 3 - 2, Phillips A. ⚽, Banks S. (A),
- 62', Dempsey K. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
- 62', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
- 70', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Christie C. ↑,
- 77', Johnston G. 🟨,
- 79', Bland J. 🟨,
- 81', Apter R. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
- 88', Shepherd J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bolton Wanderers
57.7% | Draw
23.1% | Barnsley
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Bolton Wanderers - Barnsley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.63) |
4.07 ↑
(3.86) |
4.86 ↑
(4.65) |
6.3%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Barnsley?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bolton Wanderers will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bolton Wanderers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 1.
- Bolton has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Barnsley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Barnsley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bolton is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Bolton: Cozier-Duberry A.
(Inactive)
Forss M.
(Inactive)
Sheehan J.
(Inactive)
Taylor R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Barnsley: Gent G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bolton: Kenny J.
(Calf Injury)
- We predict that Bolton will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Barnsley?
Bolton Wanderers has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Bolton Wanderers?
Barnsley has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Barnsley were as follows:
16.08.2025
Barnsley
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:1
12.04.2025
Barnsley
-
Bolton Wanderers
4:1
26.12.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Barnsley
1:2
07.05.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Barnsley
2:3
03.05.2024
Barnsley
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:3
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
Latest results of Barnsley
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
