Peterborough United vs Bolton Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 26
  • Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.971.89
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
72
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
55
Passes
81% (411/510)75% (269/358)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.971.89
xG on target (xGOT)
2.191.04
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
36
Shots inside the box
1010
Shots outside the box
64
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2231
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
33
Free kicks
107
Passes
81% (411/510)75% (269/358)
Long passes
39% (22/57)35% (23/66)
Passes in final third
63% (86/136)62% (73/117)
Crosses
27% (4/15)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.491.47
Throw ins
2916
Fouls
710
Tackles
58% (7/12)50% (10/20)
Duels won
4862
Clearances
2226
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
1.042.19
Goals prevented
0.04-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Morgan J. , Leonard H. (A),
  • 44', Sheehan J. , Christie C. ,
  • 45', Gale T. , Dalby S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Erhahon E. , Simons X. ,
  • 54', 2 - 0, Garbett M. , Collins A. (A),
  • 58', Cozier-Duberry A. , Forss M. ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Dalby S. , Conway M. (A),
  • 66', 3 - 1, Lisbie K. , Johnston C. (A),
  • 68', Dempsey K. , Morley A. ,
  • 71', Khela B. , O'Brien-Brady D. ,
  • 81', Kioso P. 🟨,
  • 82', Morgan J. , Aderoju O. ,
  • 83', Lisbie K. , Frith D. ,
  • 90+2', Garbett M. , Hayes C. ,
  • 90+2', Johnston C. , Dornelly J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Peterborough United
31.2%
Draw
25.8%
Bolton Wanderers
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.1% 26.2% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4% 25.9% 49.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough United's performance.
  • Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bolton Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolton Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.99
    (3.85)
    3.6
    (3.55)
    2.18
    (1.87)
    7.2%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Bolton will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 1 - 50%). Bolton (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 0.
    • Peterborough is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Bolton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bolton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mendy J. (Inactive) Mills H. (Inactive) Okagbue D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:13. (average 1.8:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United 2:1
    26.04.2025 Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers 1:1
    26.10.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United 1:0
    27.04.2024 Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers 3:3
    23.09.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United 1:1
    Latest results of Peterborough United
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln39259574:344084
    2Cardiff39238873:413277
    3Bolton391715755:391666
    4Bradford City391981249:44565
    5Stockport County371791151:48360
    6Stevenage381791241:38360
    7Plymouth391851660:54659
    8Reading3915131157:51658
    9Huddersfield391691459:51857
    10Wycombe3915111355:431256
    11Luton3915101452:49355
    12Peterborough381551857:52550
    13Barnsley3713111359:60-150
    14AFC Wimbledon381481649:55-650
    15Mansfield3712131247:41649
    16Leyton Orient381461855:62-748
    17Doncaster381381741:59-1847
    18Burton3912101744:54-1046
    19Wigan3811121541:51-1045
    20Exeter391191942:52-1042
    21Blackpool391191946:63-1742
    22Rotherham38992035:58-2336
    23Northampton39982233:56-2335
    24Port Vale367101929:49-2031

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two