Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 11
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (364/451) | 82% (367/445) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (364/451) | 82% (367/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (21/64) | 39% (19/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (86/125) | 56% (49/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | -1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Burstow M. ⚽, Christie C. (A),
- 21', 2 - 0, Burstow M. ⚽, Cozier-Duberry A. (A),
- 26', Kioso P. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 1, Kioso P. ⚽, Leonard H. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Nevett G. 🟨,
- 63', Forss M. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
- 64', Gale T. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
- 72', Morgan J. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
- 72', Mendy J. ↓, Odoh A. ↑,
- 77', Erhahon E. ↓, Morley A. ↑,
- 83', Woods B. ↓, Khela B. ↑,
- 85', Burstow M. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
- 85', Christie C. ↓, Toal E. ↑,
- 87', Nevett G. ↓, Dornelly J. ↑,
- 88', Lisbie K. 🟨,
- 88', Sharman-Lowe T. 🟨,
- 90+5', Forino-Joseph C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bolton Wanderers 67.5% | Draw 20.1% | Peterborough United 12.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.41 ↓ (1.44) |
4.78 ↑ (4.66) |
7.9 ↑ (6.13) |
4.5% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Peterborough will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bolton (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 2.
- Bolton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Peterborough has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bolton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bolton is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
Forrester W.
(Hamstring Injury)
Osei-Tutu J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Frith D.
(Inactive)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Wallin O.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.2:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Peterborough United?
Bolton Wanderers has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Bolton Wanderers?
Peterborough United has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United were as follows:
26.04.2025
Peterborough United
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:1
26.10.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Peterborough United
1:0
27.04.2024
Peterborough United
-
Bolton Wanderers
3:3
23.09.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Peterborough United
1:1
11.02.2023
Peterborough United
-
Bolton Wanderers
0:5
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
Latest results of Peterborough United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Luton | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Barnsley | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | Wigan | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 |
| 15 | Rotherham | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Northampton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10:13 | -3 | 17 |
| 17 | Wycombe | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 16 |
| 18 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 19 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 | Burton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 15 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 12 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two