Result
3:1
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 26
- Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (411/510) | 75% (269/358) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (411/510) | 75% (269/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/57) | 35% (23/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (86/136) | 62% (73/117) |
| Crosses |
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| 27% (4/15) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
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| 58% (7/12) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Morgan J. ⚽, Leonard H. (A),
- 44', Sheehan J. ↓, Christie C. ↑,
- 45', Gale T. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Erhahon E. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 0, Garbett M. ⚽, Collins A. (A),
- 58', Cozier-Duberry A. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Dalby S. ⚽, Conway M. (A),
- 66', 3 - 1, Lisbie K. ⚽, Johnston C. (A),
- 68', Dempsey K. ↓, Morley A. ↑,
- 71', Khela B. ↓, O'Brien-Brady D. ↑,
- 81', Kioso P. 🟨,
- 82', Morgan J. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
- 83', Lisbie K. ↓, Frith D. ↑,
- 90+2', Garbett M. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
- 90+2', Johnston C. ↓, Dornelly J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Peterborough United
31.2% | Draw
25.8% | Bolton Wanderers
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough United's performance.Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bolton Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolton Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↓
(3.85) |
3.6 ↑
(3.55) |
2.18 ↑
(1.87) |
7.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Bolton will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 35.2% – 92%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 1 - 50%). Bolton (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 0.
- Peterborough is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Bolton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bolton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Mendy J.
(Inactive)
Mills H.
(Inactive)
Okagbue D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:13. (average 1.8:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Bolton Wanderers?
Peterborough United has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Peterborough United?
Bolton Wanderers has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
04.10.2025
Bolton Wanderers
-
Peterborough United
2:1
26.04.2025
Peterborough United
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:1
26.10.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Peterborough United
1:0
27.04.2024
Peterborough United
-
Bolton Wanderers
3:3
23.09.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Peterborough United
1:1
Latest results of Peterborough United
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
