Bolton Wanderers vs Peterborough United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton).

League One - Round 11
Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.89	1.00
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
7	1
Passes
81% (364/451)	82% (367/445)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89	1.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.77	0.59
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
7	4
Shots inside the Box
10	7
Shots outside the Box
9	2
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
7	1
Touches in opposition box
31	14
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	5
Free Kicks
7	9
Passes
81% (364/451)	82% (367/445)
Long passes
33% (21/64)	39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
69% (86/125)	56% (49/87)
Crosses
35% (6/17)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.65	0.78
Throw-ins
29	22
Fouls
9	7
Tackles
78% (14/18)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
49	40
Clearances
23	20
Interceptions
12	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.59	0.77
Goals prevented
-0.41	-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Burstow M. ⚽, Christie C. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Burstow M. ⚽, Cozier-Duberry A. (A),
26', Kioso P. 🟨,
41', 2 - 1, Kioso P. ⚽, Leonard H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Nevett G. 🟨,
63', Forss M. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
64', Gale T. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
72', Morgan J. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
72', Mendy J. ↓, Odoh A. ↑,
77', Erhahon E. ↓, Morley A. ↑,
83', Woods B. ↓, Khela B. ↑,
85', Burstow M. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
85', Christie C. ↓, Toal E. ↑,
87', Nevett G. ↓, Dornelly J. ↑,
88', Lisbie K. 🟨,
88', Sharman-Lowe T. 🟨,
90+5', Forino-Joseph C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bolton Wanderers
67.5%

Draw
20.1%

Peterborough United
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

20%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

19.3%

14.7%

Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)	4.78 ↑ (4.66)	7.9 ↑ (6.13)	4.5% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Peterborough will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 46.4% – 99%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bolton (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 2.
Bolton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Peterborough has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Bolton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Bolton is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Forrester W. (Hamstring Injury) Osei-Tutu J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Frith D. (Inactive) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Wallin O. (Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.2:0.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Peterborough United?

Bolton Wanderers has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Bolton Wanderers?

Peterborough United has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United were as follows:

26.04.2025 Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers 1:1

26.10.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United 1:0

27.04.2024 Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers 3:3

23.09.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United 1:1

11.02.2023 Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers 0:5

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

27.09.2025 Northampton Town - Bolton Wanderers 2:0 ✺

23.09.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Manchester City U21 3:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Wigan Athletic 4:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Leyton Orient - Bolton Wanderers 1:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Bolton Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Peterborough United

30.09.2025 Peterborough United - Aston Villa U21 4:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Peterborough United - Lincoln City 0:3 ✺

20.09.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Peterborough United 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Peterborough United - Wycombe Wanderers 2:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Huddersfield Town - Peterborough United 3:2 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stockport County	15	8	4	3	22:17	5	28
2	Lincoln	16	8	4	4	20:15	5	28
3	Bradford City	15	7	6	2	24:18	6	27
4	Bolton	15	7	5	3	23:15	8	26
5	Cardiff	14	8	2	4	22:14	8	26
6	Stevenage	13	8	2	3	18:11	7	26
7	AFC Wimbledon	15	8	1	6	19:20	-1	25
8	Luton	15	7	2	6	18:15	3	23
9	Mansfield	15	6	4	5	22:17	5	22
10	Huddersfield	14	7	1	6	21:19	2	22
11	Rotherham	16	6	4	6	18:18	0	22
12	Burton	16	6	4	6	16:19	-3	22
13	Barnsley	13	6	3	4	20:18	2	21
14	Wycombe	16	5	5	6	22:17	5	20
15	Northampton	15	6	2	7	12:14	-2	20
16	Leyton Orient	16	6	2	8	24:28	-4	20
17	Wigan	15	4	6	5	18:19	-1	18
18	Reading	15	4	6	5	16:19	-3	18
19	Doncaster	16	5	3	8	15:23	-8	18
20	Exeter	16	5	2	9	16:17	-1	17
21	Blackpool	16	4	3	9	16:24	-8	15
22	Port Vale	16	3	5	8	11:19	-8	14
23	Peterborough	14	4	1	9	15:22	-7	13
24	Plymouth	15	4	1	10	18:28	-10	13

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two