Result
3:1
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 26
- Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.89 |
| Ball possession |
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| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
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| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (411/510) | 75% (269/358) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 0.97 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.19 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
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| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 22 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
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| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
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| 81% (411/510) | 75% (269/358) |
| Long passes |
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| 39% (22/57) | 35% (23/66) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 63% (86/136) | 62% (73/117) |
| Crosses |
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| 27% (4/15) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.49 | 1.47 |
| Throw ins |
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| 29 | 16 |
| Fouls |
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| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
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| 58% (7/12) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
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| 48 | 62 |
| Clearances |
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| 22 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.04 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.04 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Morgan J. ⚽, Leonard H. (A),
- 44', Sheehan J. ↓, Christie C. ↑,
- 45', Gale T. ↓, Dalby S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Erhahon E. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 0, Garbett M. ⚽, Collins A. (A),
- 58', Cozier-Duberry A. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Dalby S. ⚽, Conway M. (A),
- 66', 3 - 1, Lisbie K. ⚽, Johnston C. (A),
- 68', Dempsey K. ↓, Morley A. ↑,
- 71', Khela B. ↓, O'Brien-Brady D. ↑,
- 81', Kioso P. 🟨,
- 82', Morgan J. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
- 83', Lisbie K. ↓, Frith D. ↑,
- 90+2', Garbett M. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
- 90+2', Johnston C. ↓, Dornelly J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Peterborough United 31.2% | Draw 25.8% | Bolton Wanderers 43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough United's performance.Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bolton Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolton Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.99 ↓ (3.85) |
3.6 ↑ (3.55) |
2.18 ↑ (1.87) |
7.2% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Bolton will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 1 - 50%). Bolton (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 0.
- Peterborough is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Bolton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bolton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Mendy J.
(Inactive)
Mills H.
(Inactive)
Okagbue D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:13. (average 1.8:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Bolton Wanderers?
Peterborough United has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Peterborough United?
Bolton Wanderers has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
04.10.2025
Bolton Wanderers
-
Peterborough United
2:1
26.04.2025
Peterborough United
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:1
26.10.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Peterborough United
1:0
27.04.2024
Peterborough United
-
Bolton Wanderers
3:3
23.09.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Peterborough United
1:1
Latest results of Peterborough United
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 7 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 50 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 53:53 | 0 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 40 |
| 17 | Burton | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 34 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two