Bolton Wanderers vs Peterborough United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United
Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 11
  • Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.00
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
81% (364/451)82% (367/445)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.59
Total shots
199
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
3114
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
79
Passes
81% (364/451)82% (367/445)
Long passes
33% (21/64)39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
69% (86/125)56% (49/87)
Crosses
35% (6/17)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.78
Throw-ins
2922
Fouls
97
Tackles
78% (14/18)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4940
Clearances
2320
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.590.77
Goals prevented
-0.41-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Burstow M. , Christie C. (A),
  • 21', 2 - 0, Burstow M. , Cozier-Duberry A. (A),
  • 26', Kioso P. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 1, Kioso P. , Leonard H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Nevett G. 🟨,
  • 63', Forss M. , Dalby S. ,
  • 64', Gale T. , Cissoko I. ,
  • 72', Morgan J. , Lisbie K. ,
  • 72', Mendy J. , Odoh A. ,
  • 77', Erhahon E. , Morley A. ,
  • 83', Woods B. , Khela B. ,
  • 85', Burstow M. , Randall J. ,
  • 85', Christie C. , Toal E. ,
  • 87', Nevett G. , Dornelly J. ,
  • 88', Lisbie K. 🟨,
  • 88', Sharman-Lowe T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Forino-Joseph C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
67.5%
Draw
20.1%
Peterborough United
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.8% 20% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67% 19.3% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.44)
    4.78
    (4.66)
    7.9
    (6.13)
    4.5%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Peterborough will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bolton (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 2.
    • Bolton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Peterborough has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bolton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bolton is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Forrester W. (Hamstring Injury) Osei-Tutu J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Frith D. (Inactive) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Wallin O. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bolton won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bolton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.2:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers 1:1
    26.10.2024 Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United 1:0
    27.04.2024 Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers 3:3
    23.09.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United 1:1
    11.02.2023 Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers 0:5
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage1081117:8925
    2Bradford City1173120:13724
    3Cardiff1172219:91023
    4Lincoln1163217:10721
    5AFC Wimbledon1170416:12421
    6Huddersfield1161417:13419
    7Stockport County1154217:14319
    8Bolton1145216:11517
    9Barnsley1052316:14217
    10Doncaster1152411:12-117
    11Luton1151514:13116
    12Mansfield1143416:14215
    13Northampton104247:8-114
    14Wigan1134415:16-113
    15Plymouth1141616:19-313
    16Port Vale1133510:10012
    17Exeter1140711:12-112
    18Leyton Orient1132616:22-611
    19Reading1024411:15-410
    20Wycombe1123613:15-29
    21Burton102357:15-89
    22Rotherham102269:15-68
    23Blackpool1122710:19-98
    24Peterborough112188:20-127

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two