Result
1:0
20/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 13
- Referee: Gomes A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.54 | 0.36 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
13 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
86% (472/550) | 78% (253/325) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.54 | 0.36 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.68 | 0.47 |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
13 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
86% (472/550) | 78% (253/325) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (22/45) | 40% (26/65) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (80/116) | 66% (57/87) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (9/38) | 18% (3/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.71 | 0.34 |
Throw-ins |
---|
29 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
83% (5/6) | 67% (10/15) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 48 |
Clearances |
---|
15 | 46 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.47 | 0.68 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.47 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Dramisino A. ↓, Marquinho ↑,
- 59', Giovanni Augusto 🟨,
- 67', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
- 68', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
- 73', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
- 76', Risso G. ↓, Jean Victor ↑,
- 77', Jefferson Nem ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
- 80', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 82', Jeferson ↓, Wallison ↑,
- 88', Robinho ↓, Willian Lins ↑,
- 89', Clar W. ↓, Mancha ↑,
- 89', Bruno Matias ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
- 90+4', Pedro Perotti 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Bruno Leonardo (Own goal),
- 90+5', Wallison 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo SP 38.4% | Draw 32.3% | Chapecoense 29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo SP's performance.Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chapecoense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo SP that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chapecoense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Botafogo SP - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.43 ↓ (3.24) |
2.86 ↓ (3.07) |
3.19 ↑ (2.25) |
7.4% (8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Chapecoense?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 50%). Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Botafogo SP: Abdulai S.
(Yellow Cards)
Alisson Cassiano
(Injury)
Jean Victor
(Injury)
Jonathan Cafu
(Yellow Cards)
Matheus Barbosa
(Injury)
Matheus Costa
(Injury)
Rafael Milhorim
(Yellow Cards)
Wesley Dias
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Carrillo R.
(Inactive)
Gustavo Bochecha
(Inactive)
Matheus Regis
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
Getulio
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Chapecoense?
Botafogo SP has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Botafogo SP?
Chapecoense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Chapecoense were as follows:
31.08.2024
Chapecoense
-
Botafogo SP
1:1
14.05.2024
Botafogo SP
-
Chapecoense
0:0
11.11.2023
Chapecoense
-
Botafogo SP
2:0
23.08.2023
Botafogo SP
-
Chapecoense
1:2
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 36 |
2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
3 | Novorizontino | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 34 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Cuiaba | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 28 |
6 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
8 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
9 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
15 | America MG | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 18:24 | -6 | 20 |
16 | Paysandu PA | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 19 |
17 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
18 | Amazonas | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
19 | Volta Redonda | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
20 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )