Result
1:0
20/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 13
- Referee: Gomes A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (472/550) | 78% (253/325) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (472/550) | 78% (253/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 40% (26/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (80/116) | 66% (57/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (9/38) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Dramisino A. ↓, Marquinho ↑,
- 59', Giovanni Augusto 🟨,
- 67', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
- 68', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
- 73', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
- 76', Risso G. ↓, Jean Victor ↑,
- 77', Jefferson Nem ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
- 80', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Marcinho ↑,
- 82', Jeferson ↓, Wallison ↑,
- 88', Robinho ↓, Willian Lins ↑,
- 89', Clar W. ↓, Mancha ↑,
- 89', Bruno Matias ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
- 90+4', Pedro Perotti 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Bruno Leonardo (Own goal),
- 90+5', Wallison 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botafogo SP
38.4% | Draw
32.3% | Chapecoense
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo SP's performance.Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chapecoense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo SP that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chapecoense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Botafogo SP - Chapecoense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(3.24) |
2.86 ↓
(3.07) |
3.19 ↑
(2.25) |
7.4%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Chapecoense?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 50%). Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Botafogo SP: Abdulai S.
(Yellow Cards)
Alisson Cassiano
(Injury)
Jean Victor
(Injury)
Jonathan Cafu
(Yellow Cards)
Matheus Barbosa
(Injury)
Matheus Costa
(Injury)
Rafael Milhorim
(Yellow Cards)
Wesley Dias
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Carrillo R.
(Inactive)
Gustavo Bochecha
(Inactive)
Matheus Regis
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
Getulio
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Chapecoense?
Botafogo SP has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Botafogo SP?
Chapecoense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Chapecoense were as follows:
31.08.2024
Chapecoense
-
Botafogo SP
1:1
14.05.2024
Botafogo SP
-
Chapecoense
0:0
11.11.2023
Chapecoense
-
Botafogo SP
2:0
23.08.2023
Botafogo SP
-
Chapecoense
1:2
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Latest results of Chapecoense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 42 |
| 2 | Goias | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 36 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | Remo | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 4 | 33 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 27:20 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Avai | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 32 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 31 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 20:20 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 | CRB | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:21 | 2 | 28 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 26 |
| 13 | Athletico-PR | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27:31 | -4 | 26 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 23:28 | -5 | 24 |
| 16 | America MG | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 22 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 22 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 14:30 | -16 | 21 |
| 19 | Paysandu PA | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 21 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
