Chapecoense vs Botafogo SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/10/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Arena Condá (Chapecó).

Serie B Superbet - Round 32
Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.88	0.85
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
80% (322/405)	83% (258/311)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88	0.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.05	0.37
Total shots
14	14
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
3	8
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
9	7
Shots outside the Box
5	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
19	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
6	6
Passes
80% (322/405)	83% (258/311)
Long passes
53% (42/79)	34% (13/38)
Passes in final third
55% (63/115)	79% (63/80)
Crosses
47% (8/17)	32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.50	0.76
Throw-ins
20	15
Fouls
6	6
Tackles
60% (3/5)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
26	40
Clearances
8	25
Interceptions
13	14
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
xGOT faced
0.37	1.05
Goals prevented
-0.63	1.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Gabriel Bispo 🟨,
34', Pedro Martins 🟨,
44', David Antunes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pedro Martins ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
46', David Antunes ↓, Everton ↑,
60', Italo ↓, Mailson ↑,
75', Pedro Perotti ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
78', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
78', Dramisino A. ↓, Marquinho ↑,
84', Gabriel Barros ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
84', Joao Paulo ↓, Marcinho ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Vilar ⚽, Jefferson Nem (A),
89', Jefferson Nem ↓, Rafael Milhorim ↑,
90', Wesley Dias ↓, Matheus Barbosa ↑,
90+1', Wallison 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Rafael Carvalheira ⚽,
90+6', Carrillo R. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Chapecoense
58.2%

Draw
25.1%

Botafogo SP
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

24.8%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

24.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Chapecoense - Botafogo SP Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)	3.7 ↓ (3.75)	5.61 ↓ (5.7)	7.1% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Botafogo SP?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chapecoense: 50.5% – 99.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2.
Chapecoense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Botafogo SP has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Chapecoense is considered a favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Botafogo SP?

Chapecoense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Chapecoense?

Botafogo SP has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Botafogo SP were as follows:

20.06.2025 Botafogo SP - Chapecoense 1:0

31.08.2024 Chapecoense - Botafogo SP 1:1

14.05.2024 Botafogo SP - Chapecoense 0:0

11.11.2023 Chapecoense - Botafogo SP 2:0

23.08.2023 Botafogo SP - Chapecoense 1:2

Latest results of Chapecoense

09.10.2025 Ferroviária - Chapecoense 0:1 ✺

06.10.2025 Brusque - Chapecoense 1:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:0 ✺

29.09.2025 Amazonas - Chapecoense 1:3 ✺

28.09.2025 Chapecoense - Santa Catarina 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Botafogo SP

07.10.2025 Botafogo SP - Paysandu 1:0 ✺

03.10.2025 Coritiba - Botafogo SP 2:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Botafogo SP - Ferroviária 1:2 ✺

24.09.2025 CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP 3:2 ✺

18.09.2025 Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario 1:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coritiba	32	16	8	8	34:21	13	56
2	Novorizontino	33	14	12	7	36:27	9	54
3	Criciuma	32	15	8	9	42:29	13	53
4	Goias	32	14	10	8	36:29	7	52
5	Chapecoense-SC	32	15	6	11	44:31	13	51
6	Remo	32	13	12	7	39:31	8	51
7	Athletico-PR	32	14	7	11	45:42	3	49
8	Cuiaba	32	13	10	9	38:35	3	49
9	CRB	32	14	5	13	38:33	5	47
10	Atletico GO	32	11	12	9	35:33	2	45
11	Avai	32	11	11	10	40:34	6	44
12	Vila Nova FC	32	11	10	11	32:33	-1	43
13	Operario-PR	32	10	9	13	32:36	-4	39
14	America MG	32	10	7	15	34:39	-5	37
15	Athletic Club	32	10	7	15	37:44	-7	37
16	Ferroviaria	32	8	13	11	36:42	-6	37
17	Volta Redonda	32	8	10	14	22:34	-12	34
18	Botafogo SP	32	8	9	15	27:47	-20	33
19	Amazonas	33	7	11	15	33:48	-15	32
20	Paysandu PA	32	5	11	16	28:40	-12	26

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )