Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 34
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sport 2 |
 Bulgaria | Ring |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 3, SportKlub 3 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 South-america | Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tabii, TRT Spor |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (263/340) | 82% (402/491) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (263/340) | 82% (402/491) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (26/72) | 53% (25/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (68/108) | 65% (97/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 47 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 2.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | 1.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Zalazar R. (Pen),
- 33', Kokcu O. 🟨,
- 45+3', Otamendi N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Chissumba 🟨,
- 54', Moutinho J. 🟨,
- 57', Racic U. 🟨,
- 59', Schjelderup A. ↓, Di Maria A. ↑,
- 59', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Bruma ↑,
- 60', Florentino ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Di Maria A. (A),
- 66', Moutinho J. 🟨,
- 72', Zalazar R. ↓, Vitor Carvalho ↑,
- 72', Racic U. ↓, Gorby ↑,
- 73', Patrao A. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
- 73', Araujo T. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
- 76', Niakate S. ↓, Robson Bambu ↑,
- 87', Kokcu O. ↓, Cabral A. ↑,
- 90+2', Gomez V. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Braga
17.6% | Draw
21.3% | Benfica
61% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braga's form might have worsened.Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Braga - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.34 ↑
(4.13) |
4.42 ↑
(4.03) |
1.56 ↓
(1.76) |
5.6%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Braga - Benfica?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Benfica will win
(18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 1.
- In recent matches, Braga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Benfica is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Benfica is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Braga: Noro J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Benfica: Bah A.
(Knee Injury)
Manu
(Knee Injury)
Sanches R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Benfica: Amdouni Z.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Braga won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:39. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Benfica?
Braga has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Braga?
Benfica has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Benfica were as follows:
26.02.2025
Benfica
-
Braga
1:0
08.01.2025
Benfica
-
Braga
3:0
04.01.2025
Benfica
-
Braga
1:2
27.04.2024
Benfica
-
Braga
3:1
10.01.2024
Benfica
-
Braga
3:2
Latest results of Benfica
