Result
18/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Tondela
15.3% | Draw
23.3% | Braga
61.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Tondela - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.1 ↑
(4.98) |
4.04 ↑
(3.6) |
1.53 ↓
(1.68) |
6.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 0.
- Tondela is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Braga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tondela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Braga has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Braga is the clear favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 11:34. (average 0.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Braga?
Tondela has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Tondela?
Braga has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Braga were as follows:
10.08.2025
Braga
-
Tondela
3:0
Latest results of Tondela
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 17 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 36:4 | 32 | 49 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 47:9 | 38 | 42 |
| 3 | Benfica | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 36:11 | 25 | 39 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22:12 | 10 | 28 |
| 5 | Braga | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 31:18 | 13 | 27 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 27 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 25 |
| 8 | Famalicao | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:14 | 6 | 23 |
| 9 | Estoril | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 28:29 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
| 11 | Alverca | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:27 | -10 | 20 |
| 12 | Estrela | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 23:27 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:19 | -5 | 17 |
| 14 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17:32 | -15 | 14 |
| 16 | Arouca | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18:42 | -24 | 14 |
| 17 | Tondela | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12:29 | -17 | 12 |
| 18 | AFS | 17 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11:43 | -32 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
