Result
1:0
02/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 28
- Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 46 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (328/402) | 73% (248/342) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 71% (105/148) | 57% (54/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (10/25) | 29% (6/21) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 73% (16/22) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 27 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Bisoli D. 🟨,
- 28', Blin A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Ceccaroni P. 🟨,
- 63', D'Andrea L. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
- 64', Borrelli G. 🟨,
- 68', Blin A. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
- 69', Verre V. ↓, Segre J. ↑,
- 76', Calvani G. ↓, Papetti A. ↑,
- 76', Besaggio M. ↓, Bertagnoli M. ↑,
- 79', Di Francesco F. ↓, Lund K. ↑,
- 79', Pierozzi N. ↓, Diakite S. ↑,
- 82', Nuamah P. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
- 82', Borrelli G. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
- 83', Magnani G. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. (Pen),
- 90+1', Vasic A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Le Douaron J. ↓, Insigne R. ↑,
- 90+3', Papetti A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palermo
51.6% | Draw
27.9% | Brescia
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Palermo - Brescia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.81) |
3.41 ↑
(3.4) |
4.62 ↑
(4.41) |
5.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Palermo - Brescia?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 44.1% – 94.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Palermo won 1.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Palermo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Palermo is a favorite.
- There will not play in Palermo: Brunori M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Palermo: Di Bartolo F.
(Injury)
Di Mariano F.
(Injury)
Gomis A.
(Injury)
Henry T.
(Injury)
Nikolaou D.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Brescia: Cistana A.
(Injury)
Galazzi N.
(Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Palermo won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Brescia?
Palermo has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brescia won against Palermo?
Brescia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Brescia were as follows:
16.08.2024
Brescia
-
Palermo
1:0
02.03.2024
Brescia
-
Palermo
4:2
08.11.2023
Palermo
-
Brescia
1:0
19.05.2023
Palermo
-
Brescia
2:2
26.12.2022
Brescia
-
Palermo
1:1
Latest results of Palermo
Latest results of Brescia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
