Result
1:2
31/12/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 10
- Referee: King A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Australia | Paramount+ |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (331/399) | 82% (354/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (331/399) | 82% (354/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/53) | 44% (28/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (62/97) | 64% (79/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 32% (9/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 50 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Ruhs M. ⚽, Long Ch. (A),
- 26', Hore H. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Mauragis L. ⚽, McCalmont A. (A),
- 32', Kennedy W. 🟨,
- 45', Salas Y. 🟨,
- 45+2', Valkanis M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Valkanis M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Kennedy W. ↓, Theoharous C. ↑,
- 67', Long Ch. ↓, Vidic J. ↑,
- 67', Bility H. ↓, Dench M. ↑,
- 75', Ruhs M. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
- 76', McGarry J. ↓, Vrakas G. ↑,
- 81', McCalmont A. ↓, Eames H. ↑,
- 81', Hore H. ↓, MacNicol Q. ↑,
- 90+2', Brandtman B. ↓, Steele H. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Vidic J. ⚽, O'Shea J. (A),
- 90+5', Paull N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Central Coast Mariners 28.2% | Draw 27.2% | Brisbane Roar 44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.31 ↓ (3.33) |
3.44 ↓ (3.53) |
2.12 ↑ (2.11) |
6.5% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Central Coast will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Brisbane will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane: 56% – 94%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 1 - 50%). Brisbane (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 3.
- Central Coast has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Brisbane has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Brisbane has had a series of away games.
- Brisbane might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Central Coast: De Lima A.
(Injury)
Sainsbury T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N.
(Muscle Injury)
Ferkranus M.
(Muscle Injury)
Klein S.
(Injury)
Stajic M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Brisbane: Lauton J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.5:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Brisbane Roar?
Central Coast Mariners has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Central Coast Mariners?
Brisbane Roar has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
02.05.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Brisbane Roar
1:2
03.01.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:3
27.01.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Brisbane Roar
2:0
21.12.2023
Brisbane Roar
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:3
12.11.2023
Central Coast Mariners
-
Brisbane Roar
1:2
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18:9 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Newcastle Jets | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 21 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 20 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
| 7 | Adelaide United | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Central Coast Mariners | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)