Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
2:2
10/04/2026 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 24
  • Referee: Shakespear N. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV Asia
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV, Vidio
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 4
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandSPOTV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 4
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamSPOTV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.361.12
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
515
Shots on target
46
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
110
Passes
81% (319/394)82% (312/380)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
0.361.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.321.47
Total shots
515
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
17
Blocked shots
02
Shots inside the box
310
Shots outside the box
25
Hit the woodwork
02
Headed goals
12
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
825
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1510
Passes
81% (319/394)82% (312/380)
Long passes
36% (17/47)53% (31/59)
Passes in final third
54% (37/68)71% (87/123)
Crosses
17% (2/12)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.210.75
Throw ins
1824
Fouls
1015
Tackles
53% (10/19)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4743
Clearances
3226
Interceptions
72
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
1.470.32
Goals prevented
-0.53-1.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Klein S. ⚽, McGarry J. (A),
  • 12', Donachie J. 🟨,
  • 25', Klein S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', James Ngor S. ↓, Blair N. ↑,
  • 46', Brandtman B. ↓, Donnell C. ↑,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Mantell J. ⚽, Eames H. (A),
  • 58', 2 - 1, Blair N. ⚽, Mauragis L. (A),
  • 61', Mauragis L. 🟨,
  • 61', Ruhs M. 🟨,
  • 63', Thom N. ↓, MacNicol Q. ↑,
  • 63', Ruhs M. ↓, Hore H. ↑,
  • 70', Mauragis L. ↓, Steele H. ↑,
  • 73', O'Shea J. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
  • 81', Lavale O. ↓, De Lima A. ↑,
  • 81', Vrakas G. ↓, Halloran B. ↑,
  • 85', Auglah A. ↓, Paull N. ↑,
  • 87', Blair N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Lauton J. ⚽,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Central Coast Mariners
31.4%		Draw
26.7%		Brisbane Roar
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 26.9% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 25.9% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Coast Mariners's form might have worsened.
  • Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane Roar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Coast Mariners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Roar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.99 ↑
    (2.51)    		 3.53 ↑
    (3.42)    		 2.29 ↓
    (2.53)    		 5.5%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Central Coast will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Brisbane will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 10)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 3.
    • Central Coast has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Brisbane's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Central Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Brisbane has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Central Coast: Clark S. (Injury) Di Pizio M. (Injury) McCalmont A. (Inactive) Sainsbury T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Theoharous C. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N. (Muscle Injury) Bility H. (Inactive) D'Agostino N. (Knee Injury) Long Ch. (Ankle Injury) Stajic M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Central Coast: Nasso J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.5:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
    07.02.2026 Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners 1:2
    31.12.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 1:2
    02.05.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 1:2
    03.01.2025 Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners 1:3
    27.01.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 2:0
    Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
    07.04.2026 Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners 2:1 ✺
    04.04.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory 2:2 ✺
    21.03.2026 Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners 4:1 ✺
    14.03.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Adelaide United 1:1 ✺
    04.03.2026 Macarthur FC - Central Coast Mariners 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Brisbane Roar
    02.04.2026 Brisbane Roar - Sydney 0:0 ✺
    21.03.2026 Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix 1:2 ✺
    13.03.2026 Brisbane Roar - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:2 ✺
    28.02.2026 Brisbane Roar - Perth Glory 1:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Sydney - Brisbane Roar 1:0 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets ✔ 24142849:371244
    2Auckland FC24118540:261441
    3Sydney FC24114931:23837
    4Adelaide United24107741:34737
    5Melbourne Victory24106840:31936
    6Melbourne City2498729:29035
    7Macarthur FC2487932:41-931
    8Wellington Phoenix24861034:43-930
    9Central Coast Mariners2478934:38-429
    10Perth Glory24761130:38-827
    11Brisbane Roar24681024:31-726
    12WS Wanderers24561326:39-1321

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