Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
31/12/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 10
  • Referee: King A. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.781.83
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
17
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
83% (331/399)82% (354/432)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.781.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.471.82
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2015
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
119
Passes
83% (331/399)82% (354/432)
Long passes
38% (20/53)44% (28/63)
Passes in final third
64% (62/97)64% (79/124)
Crosses
25% (3/12)32% (9/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.95
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
911
Tackles
25% (3/12)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4644
Clearances
5026
Interceptions
147
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
1.820.47
Goals prevented
-0.18-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Ruhs M. , Long Ch. (A),
  • 26', Hore H. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Mauragis L. , McCalmont A. (A),
  • 32', Kennedy W. 🟨,
  • 45', Salas Y. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Valkanis M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Valkanis M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Kennedy W. , Theoharous C. ,
  • 67', Long Ch. , Vidic J. ,
  • 67', Bility H. , Dench M. ,
  • 75', Ruhs M. , Lauton J. ,
  • 76', McGarry J. , Vrakas G. ,
  • 81', McCalmont A. , Eames H. ,
  • 81', Hore H. , MacNicol Q. ,
  • 90+2', Brandtman B. , Steele H. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Vidic J. , O'Shea J. (A),
  • 90+5', Paull N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Central Coast Mariners
28.2%
Draw
27.2%
Brisbane Roar
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.4% 26.8% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 27.5% 43.7%

Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.31
(3.33)
3.44
(3.53)
2.12
(2.11)
6.5%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Central Coast will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Brisbane will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane: 56%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 1 - 50%). Brisbane (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 3.
    • Central Coast has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Brisbane has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Brisbane has had a series of away games.
    • Brisbane might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Central Coast: De Lima A. (Injury) Sainsbury T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N. (Muscle Injury) Ferkranus M. (Muscle Injury) Klein S. (Injury) Stajic M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brisbane: Lauton J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.5:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 1:2
    03.01.2025 Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners 1:3
    27.01.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 2:0
    21.12.2023 Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners 0:3
    12.11.2023 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 1:2
    Latest results of Brisbane Roar
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auckland FC1373319:13624
    2Sydney FC1271418:9922
    3Newcastle Jets1370626:24221
    4Brisbane Roar1463513:13021
    5Melbourne City1455414:12220
    6Macarthur FC1455415:18-320
    7Adelaide United1361620:20019
    8Wellington Phoenix1353521:22-118
    9Melbourne Victory1352616:18-217
    10Perth Glory1351716:18-216
    11Central Coast Mariners1333716:21-512
    12WS Wanderers1333710:16-612

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)