Result
1:2
07/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 16
- Referee: Keevers L. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (267/347) | 82% (385/470) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (267/347) | 82% (385/470) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (24/57) | 34% (22/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (45/95) | 55% (51/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 33% (4/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', James Ngor S. 🟨,
- 39', Maieroni N. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, D'Agostino N. ⚽,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Di Pizio M. ⚽, Mauragis L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', James Ngor S. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
- 68', Lavale O. ↓, Blair N. ↑,
- 70', D'Agostino N. ↓, Vidic J. ↑,
- 70', Vrakas G. ↓, Shaw E. ↑,
- 77', Auglah A. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
- 77', Donnell C. ↓, Eames H. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Roux S. ⚽,
- 86', Ruhs M. ↓, Halloran B. ↑,
- 87', Ludwik A. ↓, MacNicol Q. ↑,
- 90+3', Di Pizio M. ↓, Herrington D. ↑,
- 90+8', Valkanis D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brisbane Roar
55.2% | Draw
24.2% | Central Coast Mariners
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.78) |
3.88 ↑
(3.5) |
4.61 ↑
(4.25) |
5.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Central Coast (3.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Central Coast (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Central Coast (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Central Coast (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Brisbane Roar will win
(47 of 55 users predict this - 85.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.13% – 94.77%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brisbane Roar will win (37 of 37 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 41 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 37 - 90.2%). Central Coast (votes: 4 - 9.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2.
- Brisbane is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Central Coast has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Brisbane is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N.
(Muscle Injury)
Brazete J.
(Inactive)
Long Ch.
(Red Card)
Stajic M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Central Coast: Brandtman B.
(Inactive)
Paull N.
(Red Card)
Sainsbury T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Central Coast Mariners?
Brisbane Roar has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Brisbane Roar?
Central Coast Mariners has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
31.12.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Brisbane Roar
1:2
02.05.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Brisbane Roar
1:2
03.01.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:3
27.01.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Brisbane Roar
2:0
21.12.2023
Brisbane Roar
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:3
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
