Central Coast Mariners vs Brisbane Roar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Central Coast Stadium (Gosford).

A-League - Round 29
Referee: Abraham B. (Aus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.75	1.53
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
26	14
Shots on target
5	8
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
10	3
Passes
83% (388/466)	85% (353/414)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75	1.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.56	2.34
Total shots
26	14
Shots on target
5	8
Shots off target
10	2
Blocked Shots
11	4
Shots inside the Box
10	7
Shots outside the Box
16	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	2
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
10	3
Touches in opposition box
34	24
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
10	9
Passes
83% (388/466)	85% (353/414)
Long passes
36% (15/42)	44% (21/48)
Passes in final third
68% (98/144)	75% (69/92)
Crosses
13% (3/24)	60% (6/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.00	1.24
Throw-ins
23	28
Fouls
9	10
Tackles
70% (14/20)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
52	52
Clearances
18	38
Interceptions
6	3
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	4
xGOT faced
2.34	0.56
Goals prevented
0.34	-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, De Lima A. ⚽, Brandtman B. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Klein S. ⚽, Burke-Gilroy A. (A),
25', Bility H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Abubakar A. ↓, Brazete J. ↑,
46', Kuol A. ↓, Duarte N. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Klein S. ⚽, Hore H. (A),
60', Herrington D. ↓, Theoharous C. ↑,
68', Berenguer F. ↓, Halloran B. ↑,
71', De Lima A. ↓, Vitor Feijao ↑,
71', Brandtman B. ↓, Di Pizio M. ↑,
73', Halloran B. 🟨,
83', Hore H. ↓, Shour W. ↑,
83', Burke-Gilroy A. ↓, Zabala L. ↑,
85', Hore H. 🟨,
90+2', Brazete J. ↓, Zimarino A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Central Coast Mariners
28.7%

Draw
25.4%

Brisbane Roar
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

25.5%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

24.9%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.82)	3.73 ↑ (3.7)	2.09 ↓ (2.31)	5% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Central Coast will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Brisbane will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Central Coast: 19.1% – 73.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Brisbane could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.
Recently, Brisbane had a set of home games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:26 (average 1.4:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams, Central Coast won 3 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17 (average 1.6:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Brisbane Roar?

Central Coast Mariners has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Central Coast Mariners?

Brisbane Roar has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar were as follows:

03.01.2025 Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners 1:3

27.01.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 2:0

21.12.2023 Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners 0:3

12.11.2023 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 1:2

01.04.2023 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 4:1

Latest results of Central Coast Mariners

20.04.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners 6:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Melbourne City - Central Coast Mariners 1:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Perth Glory 3:1 ✺

16.03.2025 Auckland FC - Central Coast Mariners 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Brisbane Roar

26.04.2025 Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix 1:0 ✺

22.04.2025 Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United 1:1 ✺

17.04.2025 Brisbane Roar - Western United 2:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar 3:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Brisbane Roar - Macarthur FC 1:5 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

Quarter-finals

1	Melbourne City (2)	Bye
2	Western United (3)	Adelaide United (6)	3 : 2
3	Auckland FC (1)	Bye
4	WS Wanderers (4)	Melbourne Victory (5)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Melbourne City (2)	Western United (3)	1 : 1, 3 : 0
2	Auckland FC (1)	Melbourne Victory (5)	0 : 2, 1 : 0

Final

1

Melbourne City (2)

Melbourne Victory (5)

1 : 0