Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
1:2
07/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 16
  • Referee: Keevers L. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.670.49
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
22
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
12
Passes
77% (267/347)82% (385/470)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.670.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.381.62
Total shots
126
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
73
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
55
Shots outside the box
71
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
135
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free kicks
918
Passes
77% (267/347)82% (385/470)
Long passes
42% (24/57)34% (22/64)
Passes in final third
47% (45/95)55% (51/93)
Crosses
17% (2/12)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.310.33
Throw ins
2523
Fouls
189
Tackles
67% (4/6)33% (4/12)
Duels won
4150
Clearances
2028
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
01
xGOT faced
1.620.38
Goals prevented
-0.38-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', James Ngor S. 🟨,
  • 39', Maieroni N. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, D'Agostino N. ⚽,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Di Pizio M. ⚽, Mauragis L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', James Ngor S. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
  • 68', Lavale O. ↓, Blair N. ↑,
  • 70', D'Agostino N. ↓, Vidic J. ↑,
  • 70', Vrakas G. ↓, Shaw E. ↑,
  • 77', Auglah A. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
  • 77', Donnell C. ↓, Eames H. ↑,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Roux S. ⚽,
  • 86', Ruhs M. ↓, Halloran B. ↑,
  • 87', Ludwik A. ↓, MacNicol Q. ↑,
  • 90+3', Di Pizio M. ↓, Herrington D. ↑,
  • 90+8', Valkanis D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Brisbane Roar
55.2%		Draw
24.2%		Central Coast Mariners
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 26.4% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 25.9% 21.2%

Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.71 ↓
(1.78)		 3.88 ↑
(3.5)		 4.61 ↑
(4.25)		 5.9%
(8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Central Coast (3.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Central Coast (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Central Coast (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Central Coast (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Brisbane Roar will win (47 of 55 users predict this - 85.45%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.13% – 94.77%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Brisbane Roar will win (37 of 37 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 41 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 37 - 90.2%). Central Coast (votes: 4 - 9.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2.
    • Brisbane is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Central Coast has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Brisbane is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N. (Muscle Injury) Brazete J. (Inactive) Long Ch. (Red Card) Stajic M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Central Coast: Brandtman B. (Inactive) Paull N. (Red Card) Sainsbury T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
    31.12.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 1:2
    02.05.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 1:2
    03.01.2025 Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners 1:3
    27.01.2024 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 2:0
    21.12.2023 Brisbane Roar - Central Coast Mariners 0:3
    Latest results of Brisbane Roar
    31.01.2026 Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar 4:1 ✺
    24.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United 2:3 ✺
    16.01.2026 Perth Glory - Brisbane Roar 1:2 ✺
    09.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Auckland FC 0:2 ✺
    06.01.2026 Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
    01.02.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne Victory 1:0 ✺
    23.01.2026 Auckland FC - Central Coast Mariners 2:2 ✺
    17.01.2026 Central Coast Mariners - Macarthur FC 1:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Perth Glory - Central Coast Mariners 3:0 ✺
    04.01.2026 Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners 0:4 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets16100637:28930
    2Auckland FC1684423:17628
    3Sydney FC1581622:15725
    4Macarthur FC1767424:23125
    5Melbourne Victory1672723:21223
    6Adelaide United1672726:26023
    7Melbourne City1757519:21-222
    8Brisbane Roar1763817:22-521
    9Perth Glory1662820:22-220
    10Central Coast Mariners1654721:24-319
    11Wellington Phoenix1654726:31-519
    12WS Wanderers1644813:21-816

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