Result
3:2
11/04/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 6 |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (567/631) | 79% (263/334) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (567/631) | 79% (263/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (30/44) | 33% (16/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (208/246) | 67% (60/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.18 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Abubakar A. ⚽, Jelacic K. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Talbot C. ↓, Ugarkovic S. ↑,
- 50', Ludwik A. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Tilio M. ⚽, Ferreyra G. (A),
- 61', 2 - 1, Caputo M. ⚽,
- 63', Halloran B. ↓, Amanatidis N. ↑,
- 63', Ludwik A. ↓, Herrington L. ↑,
- 63', Berenguer F. ↓, Brazete J. ↑,
- 69', Ugarkovic S. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 2, Jelacic K. ⚽, Brazete J. (A),
- 72', Caputo M. ↓, Cohen Y. ↑,
- 72', Kuen A. ↓, Leckie M. ↑,
- 73', Shour W. ↓, Zabala L. ↑,
- 82', Lopane A. ↓, Wong L. ↑,
- 82', Abubakar A. ↓, Zimarino A. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 2, Ferreyra G. ⚽, Cohen Y. (A),
- 86', Ferreyra G. 🟨,
- 90', Klein S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Leckie M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Bility H. 🟨,
- 90+4', Atkinson N. 🟨,
- 90+5', Tilio M. ↓, Politidis H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne City
67.6% | Draw
19.3% | Brisbane Roar
13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.44) |
4.93 ↑
(4.7) |
7.14 ↑
(6.74) |
6%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Brisbane will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 3 - 60%). Brisbane (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Melbourne City won 4.
- Melbourne City is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Brisbane is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Melbourne City is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Melbourne City: Jeggo J.
(Muscle Injury)
Leckie M.
(Calf Injury)
Nabbout A.
(Knee Injury)
Necovski J.
(Knee Injury)
Nieuwenhuizen J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Brisbane: Brown C.
(Injury)
Warland B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Melbourne City: Souprayen S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Brisbane: Hore H.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Melbourne City to win the game is with odds 1.43.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Melbourne City won 14 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 40:24 (average 2:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Melbourne City won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 24:6 (average 2.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Brisbane Roar?
Melbourne City has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Melbourne City?
Brisbane Roar has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
11.01.2025
Melbourne City
-
Brisbane Roar
1:0
06.12.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Melbourne City
1:4
10.02.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Melbourne City
5:1
28.12.2023
Melbourne City
-
Brisbane Roar
8:1
11.03.2023
Melbourne City
-
Brisbane Roar
2:1
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
