Melbourne City vs Brisbane Roar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
1:0
06/01/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 20
  • Referee: Danaskos T. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.750.37
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
86% (511/597)69% (199/289)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.750.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.700.37
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
54
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
279
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
86% (511/597)69% (199/289)
Long passes
41% (17/41)42% (28/66)
Passes in final third
75% (135/180)41% (35/85)
Crosses
19% (3/16)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.20
Throw-ins
2518
Fouls
1712
Tackles
64% (9/14)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4265
Clearances
2733
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.371.70
Goals prevented
0.370.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Caputo M. ⚽, Durakovic E. (A),
  • 29', Behich A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Lauton J. ↓, Dench M. ↑,
  • 68', Caputo M. ↓, Nabbout A. ↑,
  • 68', Long Ch. ↓, Vidic J. ↑,
  • 69', O'Shea J. ↓, Maieroni N. ↑,
  • 70', Maieroni N. 🟨,
  • 76', Ruhs M. ↓, Evagorou-Alao M. ↑,
  • 76', Vrakas G. ↓, Shaw E. ↑,
  • 78', Durakovic E. ↓, Wong L. ↑,
  • 79', Kuen A. ↓, Lopane A. ↑,
  • 84', Evagorou-Alao M. 🟨,
  • 88', Atkinson N. 🟨,
  • 90', Schreiber Z. ↓, Kutleshi B. ↑,
  • 90+1', Klein S. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Memeti M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Melbourne City
54%		Draw
25.9%		Brisbane Roar
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 27.1% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 28.9% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
    •

    Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.75 ↓
    (1.78)    		 3.6 ↑
    (3.4)    		 4.66 ↑
    (4.33)    		 6.4%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 18 - 60%). Brisbane will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 42.5% – 77.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Brisbane (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Brisbane (1.92) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Brisbane (3.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Brisbane (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Brisbane (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Brisbane (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Brisbane (4.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 6 - 30%). Brisbane (votes: 11 - 55%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 3.
    • Recent form of Melbourne City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Brisbane's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Melbourne City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Melbourne City has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Brisbane has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Melbourne City is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Melbourne City: Leckie M. (Hamstring Injury) Lopane A. (Ankle Injury) Mazzeo B. (Muscle Injury) Ochsenham D. (Inactive) Wong L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N. (Muscle Injury) Burke-Gilroy A. (Foot Injury) Ferkranus M. (Muscle Injury) Stajic M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:26. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:8. (average 2.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
    31.10.2025 Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City 0:0
    11.04.2025 Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar 3:2
    11.01.2025 Melbourne City - Brisbane Roar 1:0
    06.12.2024 Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City 1:4
    10.02.2024 Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City 5:1
    Latest results of Melbourne City
    03.01.2026 Melbourne City - Sydney 0:0 ✺
    28.12.2025 Melbourne City - Perth Glory 1:3 ✺
    23.12.2025 Melbourne City - Macarthur FC 1:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory 0:1 ✺
    10.12.2025 FC Seoul - Melbourne City 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Brisbane Roar
    03.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix 0:3 ✺
    31.12.2025 Central Coast Mariners - Brisbane Roar 1:2 ✺
    19.12.2025 Macarthur FC - Brisbane Roar 2:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar 0:0 ✺
    07.12.2025 Adelaide United - Brisbane Roar 0:1 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets19121641:291237
    2Auckland FC19105432:181435
    3Sydney FC19102726:18832
    4Adelaide United1993733:28530
    5Melbourne Victory1984728:24428
    6Macarthur FC1967624:28-425
    7Central Coast Mariners1865724:26-223
    8Brisbane Roar2065919:25-623
    9Melbourne City1957720:27-722
    10Perth Glory19631022:30-821
    11WS Wanderers1955921:26-520
    12Wellington Phoenix1955928:39-1120

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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