Result
18/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Brisbane Roar
28.7% | Draw
25.9% | Melbourne City
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brisbane Roar's performance.Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brisbane Roar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↓
(4.25) |
3.66 ↓
(3.74) |
2.1 ↑
(1.78) |
5.6%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 0.
- Recent performances by Brisbane have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Melbourne City is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Melbourne City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Brisbane has had a series of home games.
- Melbourne City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 24:41. (average 1.2:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Melbourne City?
Brisbane Roar has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Brisbane Roar?
Melbourne City has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City were as follows:
06.01.2026
Melbourne City
-
Brisbane Roar
1:0
31.10.2025
Brisbane Roar
-
Melbourne City
0:0
11.04.2025
Melbourne City
-
Brisbane Roar
3:2
11.01.2025
Melbourne City
-
Brisbane Roar
1:0
06.12.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Melbourne City
1:4
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Latest results of Melbourne City
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets ✔ | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 44 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 41 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:23 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:38 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 27 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Newcastle Jets is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
