Result
1:0
21/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 18
- Referee: King A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (490/547) | 75% (221/295) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (490/547) | 75% (221/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 35% (15/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (84/116) | 58% (34/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 0, Quintal T. ⚽, Okon-Engstler P. (A),
- 59', Valkanis D. 🟨,
- 61', Durrington J. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
- 61', Long Ch. ↓, Vidic J. ↑,
- 64', Lolley J. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
- 65', Maieroni N. 🟨,
- 69', D'Agostino N. 🟨,
- 73', Vrakas G. ↓, Brazete J. ↑,
- 76', Grant A. 🟨,
- 80', Stamatelopoulos A. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
- 80', D'Agostino N. ↓, Shaw E. ↑,
- 86', Quintal T. ↓, Walatee A. ↑,
- 86', Arslan A. ↓, Youlley R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sydney
56.6% | Draw
23.1% | Brisbane Roar
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sydney's performance.Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (-15.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sydney that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brisbane Roar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sydney - Brisbane Roar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.84) |
4.09 ↑
(3.52) |
4.62 ↑
(4.05) |
5.4%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sydney - Brisbane Roar?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Brisbane will win (votes: 7 - 35%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sydney: 33.2% – 76.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sydney (votes: 3 - 60%). Brisbane (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Sydney (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Sydney (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Sydney (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Brisbane (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sydney is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Sydney: Hoefsloot G.
(Wrist Injury)
Walatee A.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N.
(Muscle Injury)
Hore H.
(Inactive)
McGarry J.
(Yellow Cards)
Stajic M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Brisbane Roar?
Sydney has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brisbane Roar won against Sydney?
Brisbane Roar has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney - Brisbane Roar were as follows:
18.01.2025
Sydney
-
Brisbane Roar
3:4
01.11.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Sydney
2:3
10.03.2024
Sydney
-
Brisbane Roar
1:1
06.01.2024
Brisbane Roar
-
Sydney
1:2
27.10.2023
Brisbane Roar
-
Sydney
3:0
Latest results of Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Central Coast Mariners | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 25:31 | -6 | 25 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
