Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League Two - Round 20
Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.32	1.63
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
11	18
Shots on target
1	6
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	7
Passes
63% (208/331)	72% (268/372)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32	1.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.06	1.71
Total shots
11	18
Shots on target
1	6
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
5	6
Shots inside the Box
7	12
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
20	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
7	15
Passes
63% (208/331)	72% (268/372)
Long passes
22% (17/79)	30% (18/60)
Passes in final third
49% (58/118)	61% (69/114)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.43	0.59
Throw-ins
30	36
Fouls
15	7
Tackles
73% (11/15)	40% (4/10)
Duels won
45	51
Clearances
25	29
Interceptions
10	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.71	0.06
Goals prevented
-1.29	0.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 3)
16', 0 - 1, Snowdon J. ⚽,
27', Forde S. 🟨,
28', 0 - 2, Clarke O. ⚽, Munroe F. (A),
33', 0 - 3, Drinan A. ⚽, Snowdon J. (A),
34', Drinan A. 🟨,
36', Lopata K. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cavegn F. ↓, Morton C. ↑,
46', Forde S. ↓, Moore T. ↑,
46', Arnaoutis A. ↓, Sparkes J. ↑,
58', Drinan A. 🟨,
65', Cotterill J. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
68', Palmer O. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
68', Mabete F. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
76', Kilgour A. ↓, Howley R. ↑,
77', Snowdon J. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
77', Nichols T. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
80', Ball J. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
31.3%

Draw
27.6%

Swindon Town
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

26.7%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

25.6%

43.8%

Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.97)	3.36 ↓ (3.48)	2.28 ↑ (2.21)	6.9% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Swindon (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Swindon (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Swindon (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Swindon Town will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Swindon Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1.
Recent form of Bristol Rovers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Swindon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Swindon has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Wilson-Brown T. (Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Kilgour A. (Inactive) Omochere P. (Injury) Senior J. (Injury) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Swindon: Glatzel P. (Inactive) Tafazolli R. (Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Swindon Town?

Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Bristol Rovers?

Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town were as follows:

08.10.2024 Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers 4:0

18.10.2022 Bristol Rovers - Swindon Town 3:0

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

09.12.2025 Barnet - Bristol Rovers 4:0 ✺

06.12.2025 Port Vale - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

02.12.2025 Bristol Rovers - Cambridge United 3:2 ✺

29.11.2025 Bristol Rovers - Notts County 0:1 ✺

22.11.2025 Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Swindon Town

09.12.2025 Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town 0:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Swindon Town - Bolton Wanderers 4:0 ✺

02.12.2025 Swindon Town - Peterborough United 1:0 ✺

29.11.2025 Chesterfield - Swindon Town 1:2 ✺

22.11.2025 Swindon Town - Grimsby Town 2:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	26	15	7	4	44:27	17	52
2	Swindon	25	14	4	7	41:29	12	46
3	Walsall	25	14	4	7	35:24	11	46
4	Salford	25	14	4	7	38:33	5	46
5	MK Dons	26	12	8	6	48:28	20	44
6	Cambridge Utd	25	12	8	5	30:20	10	44
7	Notts Co	25	12	6	7	38:27	11	42
8	Chesterfield	26	10	11	5	42:35	7	41
9	Colchester	25	10	9	6	39:28	11	39
10	Crewe	26	11	6	9	42:34	8	39
11	Grimsby	25	10	7	8	36:30	6	37
12	Oldham	25	8	11	6	26:20	6	35
13	Barnet	25	9	8	8	32:27	5	35
14	Gillingham	25	8	11	6	34:30	4	35
15	Fleetwood	25	9	7	9	33:32	1	34
16	Accrington	25	9	6	10	27:28	-1	33
17	Tranmere	26	8	8	10	40:42	-2	32
18	Cheltenham	26	9	3	14	26:43	-17	30
19	Barrow	25	6	6	13	27:38	-11	24
20	Shrewsbury	25	5	7	13	22:41	-19	22
21	Bristol Rovers	25	6	3	16	21:45	-24	21
22	Crawley	26	4	7	15	29:47	-18	19
23	Harrogate	26	4	6	16	19:41	-22	18
24	Newport	25	4	5	16	26:46	-20	17

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League