Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 3
- Referee: Dowle K. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (330/470) | 58% (181/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (330/470) | 58% (181/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (26/85) | 38% (34/90) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (112/205) | 45% (38/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 55% (17/31) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 84 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 62 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | 0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Evans J. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Appere L. ⚽, Morrison M. (A),
- 39', Morrison M. ↓, Jobe M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 1, Duke-McKenna S. ⚽, Cass L. (A),
- 66', Kaikai S. ↓, Kachunga E. ↑,
- 70', Knight B. 🟨,
- 74', Bennett L. ↓, Gibbons J. ↑,
- 74', McLoughlin S. ↓, Mpanzu P. ↑,
- 78', Smith R. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
- 78', Duke-McKenna S. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
- 86', Evans J. ↓, Fox B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cambridge United
54.8% | Draw
25.9% | Harrogate Town
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Cambridge United - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.82) |
3.6 ↑
(3.54) |
4.77 ↑
(4.23) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Harrogate Town?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Cambridge is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Harrogate has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Harrogate has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Cambridge is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cambridge: Lavery S.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Sutton L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Thomson G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Bennett M.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 3:3).
- Including home match between the teams, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Harrogate Town?
Cambridge United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Cambridge United?
Harrogate Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Harrogate Town were as follows:
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
