Burton Albion vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent).

League One - Round 30
Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.79	0.57
Ball possession
40%	60%
Total shots
10	7
Shots on target
2	3
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
4	4
Passes
66% (193/294)	77% (351/457)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.79	0.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.47	1.10
Total shots
10	7
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked shots
5	1
Shots inside the box
7	2
Shots outside the box
3	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
18	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
10	11
Passes
66% (193/294)	77% (351/457)
Long passes
54% (44/82)	40% (31/78)
Passes in final third
56% (76/136)	69% (105/153)
Crosses
4% (1/24)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.55	0.48
Throw ins
26	30
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
67% (12/18)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
53	48
Clearances
20	42
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	0
xGOT faced
1.10	0.47
Goals prevented
-0.90	-1.53

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Beesley J. ⚽,
17', Kpakio R. 🟨,
30', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
32', Williams D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kpakio R. ↓, Bagan J. ↑,
46', Adom K. ↓, Shade T. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Robertson A. ⚽, Ng P. (A),
50', Williams D. ↓, Evans G. ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Robertson A. ⚽,
67', Kellyman O. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
68', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
68', Revan S. ↓, Armer J. ↑,
74', Robertson A. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
74', Willock C. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Lofthouse K. ⚽,
81', Chauke K. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
87', Robinson C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Burton Albion
22.4%

Draw
25.5%

Cardiff City
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

25.9%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

25.2%

52.8%

Burton Albion - Cardiff City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (4.05)	3.68 ↑ (3.55)	1.8 ↑ (1.79)	6.7% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Cardiff City?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
In recent matches, Burton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cardiff is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Cardiff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Burton has had a series of away games.
In this match, Cardiff is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Inactive) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Sraha J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Cardiff: Colwill R. (Ankle Injury) King E. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Burton: Webster C. (Injury)
There are questionable in Cardiff: Salech Y. (Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Burton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Cardiff City?

Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Burton Albion?

Cardiff City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Cardiff City were as follows:

30.09.2025 Cardiff City - Burton Albion 0:1

Latest results of Burton Albion

27.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 2:1 ✺

22.01.2026 Lincoln City - Burton Albion 2:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Burton Albion - Huddersfield Town 3:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Boreham Wood - Burton Albion 0:5 ✺

04.01.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Burton Albion 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Cardiff City

27.01.2026 Cardiff City - Barnsley 4:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Cardiff City - Stockport County 1:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Bradford City - Cardiff City 1:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Leyton Orient - Cardiff City 1:1 ✺

04.01.2026 Cardiff City - Wigan Athletic 1:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	30	19	6	5	55:29	26	63
2	Lincoln	30	18	7	5	52:30	22	61
3	Bolton	31	15	10	6	41:29	12	55
4	Stockport County	30	15	8	7	42:35	7	53
5	Huddersfield	31	14	7	10	53:42	11	49
6	Bradford City	29	14	7	8	37:33	4	49
7	Luton	30	13	6	11	40:35	5	45
8	Peterborough	31	14	2	15	45:41	4	44
9	Wycombe	30	11	10	9	40:31	9	43
10	Reading	30	11	10	9	43:39	4	43
11	Stevenage	29	11	9	9	31:30	1	42
12	Mansfield	29	10	9	10	37:32	5	39
13	Exeter	29	11	5	13	33:30	3	38
14	AFC Wimbledon	29	11	5	13	32:38	-6	38
15	Barnsley	27	10	7	10	44:46	-2	37
16	Plymouth	30	11	4	15	37:46	-9	37
17	Blackpool	30	9	6	15	37:44	-7	33
18	Leyton Orient	30	9	6	15	40:49	-9	33
19	Northampton	30	9	6	15	29:39	-10	33
20	Doncaster	30	9	6	15	33:50	-17	33
21	Burton	30	8	8	14	33:45	-12	32
22	Wigan	30	7	10	13	31:42	-11	31
23	Rotherham	29	8	7	14	31:43	-12	31
24	Port Vale	28	5	7	16	22:40	-18	22

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two