Cardiff City vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Cardiff City - Burton Albion
Result
0:1
30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 7

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.66
Ball Possession
77%23%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
87% (519/596)52% (90/173)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.78
Total shots
209
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
4922
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
87% (519/596)52% (90/173)
Long passes
49% (20/41)31% (16/51)
Passes in final third
81% (213/262)44% (37/84)
Crosses
28% (9/32)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.490.39
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
1312
Tackles
60% (9/15)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4955
Clearances
2942
Interceptions
915
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
0.781.29
Goals prevented
-0.221.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
  • 38', Evans G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Tavares F. , Godwin-Malife U. ,
  • 66', Wintle R. , Kellyman O. ,
  • 67', Ashford C. , Robinson C. ,
  • 67', Ng P. , Kpakio R. ,
  • 69', Revan S. 🟨,
  • 74', McKiernan J. J. , Williams D. ,
  • 77', Turnbull D. , Colwill J. ,
  • 82', 0 - 1, Webster C. ,
  • 89', Fish W. , Nyakuhwa T. ,
  • 90+1', Kpakio R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Evans G. , Sibbick T. ,
  • 90+5', Salech Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
67%
Draw
19.7%
Burton Albion
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 21.8% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67% 20.3% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Cardiff City aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Cardiff City - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.42)
    4.85
    (4.07)
    6.9
    (5.62)
    5.5%
    (12.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Burton Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to international match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4.
    • Cardiff is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Burton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cardiff is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Cardiff will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1382321:111026
    2Stevenage1282218:10826
    3Bradford City1375123:16726
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1481519:15425
    6Lincoln1373318:11724
    7Bolton1465319:15423
    8Mansfield1354419:15419
    9Huddersfield1361618:18019
    10Luton1361615:15019
    11Barnsley1253418:17118
    12Doncaster1453613:19-618
    13Wigan1445517:18-117
    14Leyton Orient1452721:23-217
    15Rotherham1352613:16-317
    16Northampton1452710:13-317
    17Wycombe1444618:16216
    18Exeter1451814:14016
    19Reading1436515:19-415
    20Burton1343611:16-515
    21Port Vale1334611:12-113
    22Plymouth1341817:23-613
    23Blackpool1433813:22-912
    24Peterborough1331910:22-1210

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two