Result
2:2
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 30
- Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (193/294) | 77% (351/457) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (193/294) | 77% (351/457) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (44/82) | 40% (31/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (76/136) | 69% (105/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 4% (1/24) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
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| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | -1.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Beesley J. ⚽,
- 17', Kpakio R. 🟨,
- 30', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
- 32', Williams D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kpakio R. ↓, Bagan J. ↑,
- 46', Adom K. ↓, Shade T. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Robertson A. ⚽, Ng P. (A),
- 50', Williams D. ↓, Evans G. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 2, Robertson A. ⚽,
- 67', Kellyman O. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
- 68', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
- 68', Revan S. ↓, Armer J. ↑,
- 74', Robertson A. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
- 74', Willock C. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Lofthouse K. ⚽,
- 81', Chauke K. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
- 87', Robinson C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
22.4% | Draw
25.5% | Cardiff City
52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Burton Albion - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.18 ↑
(4.05) |
3.68 ↑
(3.55) |
1.8 ↑
(1.79) |
6.7%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Cardiff City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Cardiff City will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
- In recent matches, Burton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cardiff is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cardiff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Burton has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cardiff is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Sraha J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cardiff: Colwill R.
(Ankle Injury)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Burton: Webster C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Salech Y.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Burton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Cardiff City?
Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Burton Albion?
Cardiff City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Cardiff City were as follows:
30.09.2025
Cardiff City
-
Burton Albion
0:1
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
