Cardiff City vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Cardiff City - Burton Albion
Result
0:1
30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 7

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.66
Ball Possession
77%23%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
87% (519/596)52% (90/173)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.78
Total shots
209
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
4922
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
87% (519/596)52% (90/173)
Long passes
49% (20/41)31% (16/51)
Passes in final third
81% (213/262)44% (37/84)
Crosses
28% (9/32)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.490.39
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
1312
Tackles
60% (9/15)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4955
Clearances
2942
Interceptions
915
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
0.781.29
Goals prevented
-0.221.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
  • 38', Evans G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Tavares F. , Godwin-Malife U. ,
  • 66', Wintle R. , Kellyman O. ,
  • 67', Ashford C. , Robinson C. ,
  • 67', Ng P. , Kpakio R. ,
  • 69', Revan S. 🟨,
  • 74', McKiernan J. J. , Williams D. ,
  • 77', Turnbull D. , Colwill J. ,
  • 82', 0 - 1, Webster C. ,
  • 89', Fish W. , Nyakuhwa T. ,
  • 90+1', Kpakio R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Evans G. , Sibbick T. ,
  • 90+5', Salech Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
67%
Draw
19.7%
Burton Albion
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 21.8% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67% 20.3% 14.7%

Cardiff City - Burton Albion Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.42
(1.42)
4.85
(4.07)
6.9
(5.62)
5.5%
(12.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Burton Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to international match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4.
    • Cardiff is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Burton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cardiff is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Cardiff will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stockport County1584322:17528
    2Lincoln1684420:15528
    3Bradford City1576224:18627
    4Bolton1575323:15826
    5Cardiff1482422:14826
    6Stevenage1382318:11726
    7AFC Wimbledon1581619:20-125
    8Luton1572618:15323
    9Mansfield1564522:17522
    10Huddersfield1471621:19222
    11Rotherham1664618:18022
    12Burton1664616:19-322
    13Barnsley1363420:18221
    14Wycombe1655622:17520
    15Northampton1562712:14-220
    16Leyton Orient1662824:28-420
    17Wigan1546518:19-118
    18Reading1546516:19-318
    19Doncaster1653815:23-818
    20Exeter1652916:17-117
    21Blackpool1643916:24-815
    22Port Vale1635811:19-814
    23Peterborough1441915:22-713
    24Plymouth15411018:28-1013

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two