Cardiff City vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 7

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.66
Ball Possession
77%23%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
87% (519/596)52% (90/173)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.78
Total shots
209
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
4922
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
87% (519/596)52% (90/173)
Long passes
49% (20/41)31% (16/51)
Passes in final third
81% (213/262)44% (37/84)
Crosses
28% (9/32)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.490.39
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
1312
Tackles
60% (9/15)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4955
Clearances
2942
Interceptions
915
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
0.781.29
Goals prevented
-0.221.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
  • 38', Evans G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Tavares F. , Godwin-Malife U. ,
  • 66', Wintle R. , Kellyman O. ,
  • 67', Ashford C. , Robinson C. ,
  • 67', Ng P. , Kpakio R. ,
  • 69', Revan S. 🟨,
  • 74', McKiernan J. J. , Williams D. ,
  • 77', Turnbull D. , Colwill J. ,
  • 82', 0 - 1, Webster C. ,
  • 89', Fish W. , Nyakuhwa T. ,
  • 90+1', Kpakio R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Evans G. , Sibbick T. ,
  • 90+5', Salech Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
67%
Draw
19.7%
Burton Albion
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 21.8% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67% 20.3% 14.7%

Cardiff City - Burton Albion Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.42
(1.42)
4.85
(4.07)
6.9
(5.62)
5.5%
(12.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Burton Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 100%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Cardiff (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Cardiff (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to international match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4.
    • Cardiff is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Burton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cardiff is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Cardiff will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff26174545:261955
    2Lincoln26147542:281449
    3Bradford City25137535:27846
    4Stockport County26136737:32545
    5Bolton271110633:25843
    6Huddersfield271161046:38839
    7Luton26116937:32539
    8Stevenage25108727:23438
    9Wycombe2699834:29536
    10Mansfield24105934:28635
    11Reading2598833:31235
    12Peterborough261121333:35-235
    13Exeter251031228:23533
    14Plymouth261031333:39-633
    15Barnsley2295835:34132
    16Leyton Orient26951239:43-432
    17AFC Wimbledon25941227:34-731
    18Wigan2579926:28-230
    19Burton25861126:35-930
    20Blackpool26851332:39-729
    21Northampton25851223:30-729
    22Doncaster25751325:41-1626
    23Rotherham25661324:38-1424
    24Port Vale24461418:34-1618

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two