Cardiff City vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Cardiff City - Burton Albion
Result
0:1
30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 7

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.66
Ball Possession
77%23%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
87% (519/596)52% (90/173)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.140.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.78
Total shots
209
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
4922
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
87% (519/596)52% (90/173)
Long passes
49% (20/41)31% (16/51)
Passes in final third
81% (213/262)44% (37/84)
Crosses
28% (9/32)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.490.39
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
1312
Tackles
60% (9/15)65% (13/20)
Duels won
4955
Clearances
2942
Interceptions
915
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
0.781.29
Goals prevented
-0.221.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
  • 38', Evans G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Tavares F. , Godwin-Malife U. ,
  • 66', Wintle R. , Kellyman O. ,
  • 67', Ashford C. , Robinson C. ,
  • 67', Ng P. , Kpakio R. ,
  • 69', Revan S. 🟨,
  • 74', McKiernan J. J. , Williams D. ,
  • 77', Turnbull D. , Colwill J. ,
  • 82', 0 - 1, Webster C. ,
  • 89', Fish W. , Nyakuhwa T. ,
  • 90+1', Kpakio R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Evans G. , Sibbick T. ,
  • 90+5', Salech Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
67%
Draw
19.7%
Burton Albion
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 21.8% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67% 20.3% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Cardiff City aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Cardiff City - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.42)
    4.85
    (4.07)
    6.9
    (5.62)
    5.5%
    (12.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Burton Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to international match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4.
    • Cardiff is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Burton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cardiff is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Cardiff will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1173120:13724
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham102269:15-68
    22Blackpool1022610:17-78
    23Burton92256:14-88
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two