Result
0:1
30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.14 | 0.66 |
Ball Possession |
---|
77% | 23% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
8 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
87% (519/596) | 52% (90/173) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.14 | 0.66 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.29 | 0.78 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
8 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
49 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
87% (519/596) | 52% (90/173) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (20/41) | 31% (16/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
81% (213/262) | 44% (37/84) |
Crosses |
---|
28% (9/32) | 20% (2/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.49 | 0.39 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (9/15) | 65% (13/20) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 55 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 42 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 15 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.78 | 1.29 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.22 | 1.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
- 38', Evans G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Tavares F. ↓, Godwin-Malife U. ↑,
- 66', Wintle R. ↓, Kellyman O. ↑,
- 67', Ashford C. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
- 67', Ng P. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
- 69', Revan S. 🟨,
- 74', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
- 77', Turnbull D. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 1, Webster C. ⚽,
- 89', Fish W. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
- 90+1', Kpakio R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Evans G. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
- 90+5', Salech Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cardiff City 67% | Draw 19.7% | Burton Albion 13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)The ML Model estimate for Cardiff City aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Cardiff City - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.42 (1.42) |
4.85 ↑ (4.07) |
6.9 ↑ (5.62) |
5.5% (12.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Burton Albion?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to international match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4.
- Cardiff is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Burton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cardiff is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Cardiff will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Burton Albion?
Cardiff City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Cardiff City?
Burton Albion has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Burton Albion were as follows:
Latest results of Cardiff City
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
2 | Stevenage | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
3 | Lincoln | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 21 |
4 | Cardiff | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | 9 | 20 |
5 | Huddersfield | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Luton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
8 | Stockport County | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
9 | Barnsley | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Doncaster | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
11 | Bolton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
12 | Mansfield | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 14 |
13 | Northampton | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 13 |
14 | Wigan | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
15 | Plymouth | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 12 |
16 | Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
17 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
18 | Exeter | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
19 | Reading | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
20 | Wycombe | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
21 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
22 | Blackpool | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
23 | Burton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two