Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Home Park (Plymouth).

League One - Round 34
Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.81	1.49
Ball possession
29%	71%
Total shots
16	18
Shots on target
9	6
Big chances
5	3
Corner kicks
3	8
Passes
64% (119/186)	80% (371/463)
Yellow cards
3	4
Expected goals (xG)
2.81	1.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.81	2.17
Total shots
16	18
Shots on target
9	6
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked shots
2	7
Shots inside the box
10	10
Shots outside the box
6	8
Hit the woodwork
0	2
Headed goals
2	0
Big chances
5	3
Corner kicks
3	8
Touches in opposition box
20	27
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
10	23
Passes
64% (119/186)	80% (371/463)
Long passes
42% (20/48)	38% (23/60)
Passes in final third
54% (56/104)	72% (104/144)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	5% (1/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.24	0.58
Throw ins
29	30
Fouls
23	10
Tackles
68% (15/22)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
54	65
Clearances
34	25
Interceptions
12	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	3
xGOT faced
2.17	2.81
Goals prevented
0.17	-2.19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 2)
15', Kellyman O. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Tolaj L. ⚽, Pepple A. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Pepple A. ⚽, Edwards J. (A),
33', 2 - 1, Kellyman O. ⚽,
34', 3 - 1, Pepple A. ⚽, Harding W. (A),
37', Watts C. 🟨,
43', 3 - 2, Kellyman O. ⚽, Ng P. (A),
44', Ross M. 🟨,
45+6', Osho G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Watts C. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
46', Turnbull D. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
62', Willock C. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
62', Colwill J. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
67', Ng P. 🟨,
68', 4 - 2, Tolaj L. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Boateng M. 🟨,
72', Robertson A. 🟨,
76', Ng P. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
80', Wiredu B. ↓, Ibrahim B. ↑,
81', 5 - 2, Ross M. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
85', Tolaj L. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
86', Pepple A. ↓, Dale O. ↑,
88', Bagan J. ↓, Scanlon C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Plymouth Argyle
32.4%

Draw
25.8%

Cardiff City
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

27%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.8%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.14)	3.62 ↑ (3.4)	2.23 ↑ (2.1)	7.1% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Cardiff will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 2 - 50%). Cardiff (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cardiff (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Cardiff (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cardiff (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 1.
Recent performances by Plymouth have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cardiff is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Cardiff: King E. (Knee Injury) Salech Y. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Plymouth: Ralls J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Cardiff: Davies I. (Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Cardiff City?

Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Plymouth Argyle?

Cardiff City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City were as follows:

30.08.2025 Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle 4:0

22.02.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City 1:1

19.10.2024 Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle 5:0

20.01.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City 3:1

26.12.2023 Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle 2:2

Latest results of Plymouth Argyle

17.02.2026 Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle 1:3 ✺

14.02.2026 Blackpool - Plymouth Argyle 0:4 ✺

07.02.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Lincoln City 1:4 ✺

31.01.2026 Stockport County - Plymouth Argyle 2:1 ✺

27.01.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Cardiff City

17.02.2026 Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon 4:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Cardiff City - Luton Town 3:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Rotherham United - Cardiff City 0:3 ✺

31.01.2026 Burton Albion - Cardiff City 2:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Cardiff City - Barnsley 4:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	42	28	9	5	79:36	43	93
2	Cardiff	41	24	9	8	76:42	34	81
3	Bradford City	42	21	8	13	52:46	6	71
4	Bolton	42	18	16	8	59:44	15	70
5	Stockport County	40	19	10	11	59:50	9	67
6	Stevenage	41	19	10	12	43:38	5	67
7	Plymouth	42	19	6	17	66:58	8	63
8	Huddersfield	42	17	11	14	65:56	9	62
9	Reading	43	16	14	13	62:55	7	62
10	Luton	41	17	10	14	57:50	7	61
11	Wycombe	43	16	12	15	63:51	12	60
12	Barnsley	40	14	12	14	63:65	-2	54
13	Mansfield	40	13	14	13	50:43	7	53
14	Doncaster	42	15	8	19	43:64	-21	53
15	Wigan	42	13	13	16	46:56	-10	52
16	Peterborough	41	15	6	20	60:58	2	51
17	Burton	43	13	12	18	46:56	-10	51
18	Blackpool	43	14	9	20	51:65	-14	51
19	Leyton Orient	42	14	8	20	57:66	-9	50
20	AFC Wimbledon	42	14	8	20	49:63	-14	50
21	Exeter	43	12	11	20	47:55	-8	47
22	Rotherham	41	9	10	22	36:62	-26	37
23	Northampton	41	9	8	24	34:60	-26	35
24	Port Vale	39	8	10	21	30:54	-24	34

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Qualified for Championship