Plymouth Argyle vs Cardiff City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Home Park (Plymouth).

League One - Round 34
Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.81	1.49
Ball possession
29%	71%
Total shots
16	18
Shots on target
9	6
Big chances
5	3
Corner kicks
3	8
Passes
64% (119/186)	80% (371/463)
Yellow cards
3	4
Expected goals (xG)
2.81	1.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.81	2.17
Total shots
16	18
Shots on target
9	6
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked shots
2	7
Shots inside the box
10	10
Shots outside the box
6	8
Hit the woodwork
0	2
Headed goals
2	0
Big chances
5	3
Corner kicks
3	8
Touches in opposition box
20	27
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
10	23
Passes
64% (119/186)	80% (371/463)
Long passes
42% (20/48)	38% (23/60)
Passes in final third
54% (56/104)	72% (104/144)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	5% (1/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.24	0.58
Throw ins
29	30
Fouls
23	10
Tackles
68% (15/22)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
54	65
Clearances
34	25
Interceptions
12	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	3
xGOT faced
2.17	2.81
Goals prevented
0.17	-2.19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 2)
15', Kellyman O. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Tolaj L. ⚽, Pepple A. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Pepple A. ⚽, Edwards J. (A),
33', 2 - 1, Kellyman O. ⚽,
34', 3 - 1, Pepple A. ⚽, Harding W. (A),
37', Watts C. 🟨,
43', 3 - 2, Kellyman O. ⚽, Ng P. (A),
44', Ross M. 🟨,
45+6', Osho G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Watts C. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
46', Turnbull D. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
62', Willock C. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
62', Colwill J. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
67', Ng P. 🟨,
68', 4 - 2, Tolaj L. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Boateng M. 🟨,
72', Robertson A. 🟨,
76', Ng P. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
80', Wiredu B. ↓, Ibrahim B. ↑,
81', 5 - 2, Ross M. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
85', Tolaj L. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
86', Pepple A. ↓, Dale O. ↑,
88', Bagan J. ↓, Scanlon C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Plymouth Argyle
32.4%

Draw
25.8%

Cardiff City
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

27%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.8%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.14)	3.62 ↑ (3.4)	2.23 ↑ (2.1)	7.1% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Cardiff will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 40% – 93.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 2 - 50%). Cardiff (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Cardiff (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Cardiff (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cardiff (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 1.
Recent performances by Plymouth have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cardiff is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Cardiff: King E. (Knee Injury) Salech Y. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Plymouth: Ralls J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Cardiff: Davies I. (Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Cardiff City?

Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Plymouth Argyle?

Cardiff City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City were as follows:

30.08.2025 Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle 4:0

22.02.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City 1:1

19.10.2024 Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle 5:0

20.01.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City 3:1

26.12.2023 Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle 2:2

Latest results of Plymouth Argyle

17.02.2026 Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle 1:3 ✺

14.02.2026 Blackpool - Plymouth Argyle 0:4 ✺

07.02.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Lincoln City 1:4 ✺

31.01.2026 Stockport County - Plymouth Argyle 2:1 ✺

27.01.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Cardiff City

17.02.2026 Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon 4:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Cardiff City - Luton Town 3:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Rotherham United - Cardiff City 0:3 ✺

31.01.2026 Burton Albion - Cardiff City 2:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Cardiff City - Barnsley 4:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two