Result
5:2
21/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 34
- Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 1.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (119/186) | 80% (371/463) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.81 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (119/186) | 80% (371/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (20/48) | 38% (23/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (56/104) | 72% (104/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 5% (1/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 2.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -2.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 15', Kellyman O. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Tolaj L. ⚽, Pepple A. (A),
- 31', 2 - 0, Pepple A. ⚽, Edwards J. (A),
- 33', 2 - 1, Kellyman O. ⚽,
- 34', 3 - 1, Pepple A. ⚽, Harding W. (A),
- 37', Watts C. 🟨,
- 43', 3 - 2, Kellyman O. ⚽, Ng P. (A),
- 44', Ross M. 🟨,
- 45+6', Osho G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Watts C. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
- 46', Turnbull D. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
- 62', Willock C. ↓, Ashford C. ↑,
- 62', Colwill J. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
- 67', Ng P. 🟨,
- 68', 4 - 2, Tolaj L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 70', Boateng M. 🟨,
- 72', Robertson A. 🟨,
- 76', Ng P. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
- 80', Wiredu B. ↓, Ibrahim B. ↑,
- 81', 5 - 2, Ross M. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
- 85', Tolaj L. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
- 86', Pepple A. ↓, Dale O. ↑,
- 88', Bagan J. ↓, Scanlon C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Plymouth Argyle
32.4% | Draw
25.8% | Cardiff City
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↓
(3.14) |
3.62 ↑
(3.4) |
2.23 ↑
(2.1) |
7.1%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Cardiff will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 2 - 50%). Cardiff (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Cardiff (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Cardiff (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cardiff (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 1.
- Recent performances by Plymouth have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cardiff is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B.
(Inactive)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cardiff: King E.
(Knee Injury)
Salech Y.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Plymouth: Ralls J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cardiff: Davies I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Cardiff City?
Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff City won against Plymouth Argyle?
Cardiff City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Cardiff City were as follows:
30.08.2025
Cardiff City
-
Plymouth Argyle
4:0
22.02.2025
Plymouth Argyle
-
Cardiff City
1:1
19.10.2024
Cardiff City
-
Plymouth Argyle
5:0
20.01.2024
Plymouth Argyle
-
Cardiff City
3:1
26.12.2023
Cardiff City
-
Plymouth Argyle
2:2
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
Latest results of Cardiff City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Wycombe | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 50:36 | 14 | 53 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 8 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 53:54 | -1 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 17 | Burton | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 35 |
| 23 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
