Result
5:4
26/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 2, Voyo |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Premier Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 33 | 28 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 15.15% (5/33) | 14.29% (4/28) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85.71% (24/28) | 84.85% (28/33) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 36 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 44.62 | 55.38 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (3 - 2)
- 01:43, 1 - 0, Ehlers N. (G), Miller K. (A), Martinook J. (A2)
- 02:56, 2 - 0, Stankoven L. (G), Hall T. (A), Chatfield J. (A2)
- 06:41, 3 - 0, Hall T. (G), Blake J. (A), Stankoven L. (A2)
- 16:30, 3 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Sabourin S. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
- 17:05, 3 - 2, Kucherov N. (G), Point B. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 01:58, 3 - 3, James D. (G), Guentzel J. (A), McDonagh R. (A2)
- 07:21, 4 - 3, Jarvis S. (G), Svechnikov A. (A),
- 13:56, Aho S. (2 min),
- 14:02, 4 - 4, Point B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
- 15:33, Kucherov N. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 02:34, Blake J. (2 min),
- 06:43, Goncalves G. (2 min),
- 07:17, 5 - 4, Aho S. (G), Jarvis S. (A), Svechnikov A. (A2)
Chances of winning
Carolina Hurricanes
45% | Draw
22.7% | Tampa Bay Lightning
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carolina Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Hurricanes than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Carolina Hurricanes - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.23) |
4.13 ↓
(4.25) |
2.9 ↑
(2.67) |
6.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Carolina Hurricanes - Tampa Bay Lightning?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Carolina will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carolina: 19% – 81%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5, 1st Period - Carolina (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Carolina Hurricanes will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Carolina (votes: 4 - 80%). Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carolina won 1.
- Carolina is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tampa Bay is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
- Carolina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Carolina: Kochetkov P.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cirelli A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Crozier M.
(Muscle Injury)
Paul N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Carolina: Robinson E.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carolina won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 55:56. (average 2.8:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carolina won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 2.9:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Carolina Hurricanes won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
Carolina Hurricanes has won 8 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Carolina Hurricanes?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 9 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Hurricanes - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
20.12.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Carolina Hurricanes
6:4
26.09.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Carolina Hurricanes
6:5
22.09.2025
Carolina Hurricanes
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
1:2
11.03.2025
Carolina Hurricanes
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
4:1
07.01.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Carolina Hurricanes
3:2
Latest results of Carolina Hurricanes
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche | 60 | 38 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 230:149 | 91 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars | 61 | 31 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 212:165 | 85 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild | 62 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 209:180 | 82 |
| 4 | Vegas Golden Knights | 62 | 21 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 205:197 | 72 |
| 5 | Anaheim Ducks | 61 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 24 | 205:212 | 71 |
| 6 | Utah Mammoth | 62 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 196:169 | 70 |
| 7 | Edmonton Oilers | 62 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 220:210 | 68 |
| 8 | Seattle Kraken | 61 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 173:179 | 67 |
| 9 | San Jose Sharks | 59 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 25 | 186:207 | 64 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Kings | 61 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 160:182 | 64 |
| 11 | Nashville Predators | 62 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 185:213 | 64 |
| 12 | Winnipeg Jets | 61 | 21 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 175:187 | 60 |
| 13 | Chicago Blackhawks | 61 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 163:195 | 56 |
| 14 | St. Louis Blues | 61 | 22 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 159:210 | 55 |
| 15 | Calgary Flames | 61 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 150:185 | 55 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 61 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 157:230 | 43 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | 61 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 214:175 | 84 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 60 | 29 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 211:162 | 80 |
| 3 | Buffalo Sabres | 62 | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 214:184 | 80 |
| 4 | Detroit Red Wings | 62 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 185:187 | 77 |
| 5 | Montreal Canadiens | 60 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 213:200 | 75 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 61 | 27 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 205:180 | 75 |
| 7 | New York Islanders | 63 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 23 | 186:182 | 75 |
| 8 | Boston Bruins | 61 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 205:194 | 73 |
| 9 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 61 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 196:193 | 72 |
| 10 | Ottawa Senators | 61 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 205:194 | 69 |
| 11 | Washington Capitals | 63 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 199:189 | 69 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Flyers | 61 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 177:191 | 67 |
| 13 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 63 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 200:221 | 65 |
| 14 | New Jersey Devils | 62 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 29 | 160:186 | 64 |
| 15 | Florida Panthers | 62 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 188:209 | 63 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 61 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 166:192 | 56 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
