Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
14/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
1935
Shots off target
817
Shooting PCT
10.53% (2/19)11.43% (4/35)
Blocked shots
1014
Goalkeeper Saves
3117
Saves PCT
91.18% (31/34)89.47% (17/19)
Penalties
45
PIM
1113
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/5)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)100% (5/5)
Hits
2624
Faceoffs Won
2021
Faceoffs %
48.7851.22
Giveaways
1413
Takeaways
49
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 2)
  • 00:36, 0 - 1, Svechnikov A. (G), Aho S. (A), Walker S. (A2)
  • 06:27, Svechnikov A. (2 min),
  • 10:40, Gourde Y. (2 min),
  • 14:29, Girgensons Z. (5 min),
  • 14:29, Jarvis S. (2 min),
  • 14:29, Jarvis S. (5 min),
  • 17:28, 0 - 2, Aho S. (G), Svechnikov A. (A), Miller K. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 04:32, Holmberg P. (2 min),
  • 04:32, Aho S. (2 min),
  • 09:05, Walker S. (2 min),
  • 09:20, Hagel B. (2 min),
  • 14:10, 1 - 2, Gourde Y. (G), Hedman V. (A), Holmberg P. (A2)
  • 15:31, 2 - 2, D'Astous C. (G), Point B. (A), Goncalves G. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 09:18, 2 - 3, Martinook J. (G), Ehlers N. (A), Reilly M. (A2)
  • 18:29, 2 - 4, Stankoven L. (G), Hall T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
41.8%
Draw
22.7%
Carolina Hurricanes
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 22.2% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 23.9% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Carolina Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Hurricanes than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning - Carolina Hurricanes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.19)
    4.12
    (4.26)
    2.64
    (2.73)
    6.5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Carolina Hurricanes?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Carolina will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 6.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M. (Muscle Injury) James D. (Leg Injury) Lilleberg E. (Face Injury)
    • There will not play in Carolina: Gostisbehere S. (Lower-Body Injury) Kochetkov P. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Carlile D. (Injury) Paul N. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 59:58. (average 3:2.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 3.3:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Carolina Hurricanes were as follows:
    26.02.2026 Carolina Hurricanes - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:4
    20.12.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Carolina Hurricanes 6:4
    26.09.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Carolina Hurricanes 6:5
    22.09.2025 Carolina Hurricanes - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:2
    11.03.2025 Carolina Hurricanes - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:1
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    Eastern Conference
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    1Carolina Hurricanes713213620252:21196
    2Buffalo Sabres72377820254:21196
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