Toronto Maple Leafs vs Carolina Hurricanes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
3:4 OT
20/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Action, Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandTVP Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1, Voyo
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Premier Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2636
Shots off target
721
Shooting PCT
11.54% (3/26)11.11% (3/36)
Blocked shots
1020
Goalkeeper Saves
3323
Saves PCT
88.89% (33/36)88.46% (23/26)
Penalties
42
PIM
104
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
01
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)100% (2/2)
Hits
2120
Faceoffs Won
2725
Faceoffs %
51.9248.08
Giveaways
1410
Takeaways
55
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 03:07, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
  • 11:48, 1 - 0, Joshua D. (G), Groulx B. (A), Maccelli M. (A2)
  • 14:16, Robertson N. (2 min),
  • 14:39, Nikishin A. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 3)
  • 01:57, Carlo B. (2 min),
  • 05:57, 1 - 1, Staal J. (G), Jarvis S. (A), Aho S. (A2)
  • 12:35, 1 - 2, Robinson E. (Penalty Shot),
  • 13:47, 2 - 2, Tavares J. (G), Jarnkrok C. (A), McCabe J. (A2)
  • 16:14, Walker S. (2 min),
  • 17:40, 2 - 3, Miller K. (G),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 10:10, Cowan E. (2 min),
  • 13:50, 3 - 3, Nylander W. (G), Maccelli M. (A),
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 00:41, 3 - 4, Nikishin A. (G), Jarvis S. (A), Aho S. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
24.9%		Draw
21.1%		Carolina Hurricanes
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 22.2% 46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 21.9% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto Maple Leafs's form might have worsened.
  • Carolina Hurricanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carolina Hurricanes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carolina Hurricanes than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carolina Hurricanes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Toronto Maple Leafs - Carolina Hurricanes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.77 ↑
    (3.05)    		 4.45 ↑
    (4.37)    		 1.75 ↓
    (2.11)    		 6.1%
    (3.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Carolina Hurricanes?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Carolina will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Carolina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Carolina is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Matthews A. (Knee Injury) Tanev C. (Abdominal strain)
    • There will not play in Carolina: Kochetkov P. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Carolina: Gostisbehere S. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 74:66. (average 3.7:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 48:40. (average 4.4:3.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Carolina Hurricanes were as follows:
    04.12.2025 Carolina Hurricanes - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:5
    09.11.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Carolina Hurricanes 4:5
    13.04.2025 Carolina Hurricanes - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:4
    22.02.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Carolina Hurricanes 6:3
    09.01.2025 Carolina Hurricanes - Toronto Maple Leafs 6:3
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    17.03.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders 1:3 ✺
    15.03.2026 Minnesota Wild - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:4 ✺
    14.03.2026 Buffalo Sabres - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:2 ✺
    12.03.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Anaheim Ducks 6:4 ✺
    10.03.2026 Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Carolina Hurricanes
    18.03.2026 Carolina Hurricanes - Pittsburgh Penguins 6:5 ✺
    17.03.2026 Columbus Blue Jackets - Carolina Hurricanes 5:1 ✺
    14.03.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Carolina Hurricanes 2:4 ✺
    12.03.2026 Carolina Hurricanes - St. Louis Blues 1:3 ✺
    10.03.2026 Carolina Hurricanes - Pittsburgh Penguins 5:4 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 784661016293:198114
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 7936111220267:218106
    3Minnesota Wild ✔ 7930151222265:230102
    4Utah Mammoth783210630258:22490
    5Edmonton Oilers793191029275:26590
    6Anaheim Ducks792517532263:27789
    7Vegas Golden Knights782881626249:24188
    8Nashville Predators7927101032239:26084
    9Los Angeles Kings7719131926211:23683
    10Winnipeg Jets782871231224:23682
    11San Jose Sharks782512734237:28081
    12St. Louis Blues782941233208:24478
    13Seattle Kraken772571134214:24875
    14Calgary Flames78257937203:25073
    15Chicago Blackhawks792171437204:26370
    16Vancouver Canucks77157847202:29752


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes ✔ 793714622288:235108
    2Buffalo Sabres ✔ 80418823280:236106
    3Montreal Canadiens ✔ 7933141022275:246104
    4Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ 79399625282:223102
    5Pittsburgh Penguins793471622285:25298
    6Boston Bruins7931121026264:24696
    7Ottawa Senators793661027269:24194
    8Philadelphia Flyers7925151227236:23892
    9New York Islanders792914531231:23291
    10Detroit Red Wings793011929234:24191
    11Columbus Blue Jackets7927121228245:24690
    12Washington Capitals79346930252:24089
    13New Jersey Devils792812336221:24483
    14Florida Panthers79298438234:27178
    15Toronto Maple Leafs792391433245:28478
    16New York Rangers79249937232:24375

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Minnesota Wild is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
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