Result
0:0
05/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 32
- Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (196/294) | 75% (328/435) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (196/294) | 75% (328/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (19/53) | 38% (23/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (67/121) | 67% (74/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.07 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 60 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Capradossi E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Rabbi S. ↓, Diaw D. ↑,
- 59', Okwonkwo O. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
- 60', Cherubini L. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 60', Tronchin S. ↓, Amatucci F. ↑,
- 61', Milanese T. ↓, Manzari G. ↑,
- 74', Cicconi M. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 74', Finotto M. ↓, Shpendi S. ↑,
- 79', Vita A. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
- 81', Giovane S. ↓, Capezzi L. ↑,
- 89', D'Alessio F. ↓, Casolari F. ↑,
- 90+1', Manzari G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cittadella 34.7% | Draw 30.1% | Carrarese 35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Cittadella - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.71 ↓ (2.73) |
3.1 ↑ (2.99) |
2.67 ↓ (2.73) |
6.7% (6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cittadella - Carrarese?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11).
- Cittadella is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Carrarese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Cittadella: Angeli M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Cecchetto A.
(Inactive)
Djibril A.
(Injury)
Negro S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Bleve M.
(Knock)
Coppolaro M.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
How many head-to-head matches has Cittadella won against Carrarese?
Cittadella has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Cittadella?
Carrarese has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cittadella - Carrarese were as follows:
26.10.2024
Carrarese
-
Cittadella
3:0
Latest results of Cittadella
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 63:26 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | Monza | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 59:31 | 28 | 62 |
| 4 | Palermo | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 58 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:24 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 | Cesena | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Avellino | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36:49 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Padova | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Mantova | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Bari | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Entella | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28:45 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41:54 | -13 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation