Cittadella vs Carrarese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
05/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 32
  • Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyDAZN Italia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.57
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
67% (196/294)75% (328/435)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.040.19
Total shots
87
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1020
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
67% (196/294)75% (328/435)
Long passes
36% (19/53)38% (23/60)
Passes in final third
55% (67/121)67% (74/110)
Crosses
19% (4/21)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.07
Fouls
1510
Tackles
69% (9/13)50% (5/10)
Duels won
5160
Clearances Total
3032
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.190.04
Goals prevented
0.190.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Capradossi E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Rabbi S. , Diaw D. ,
  • 59', Okwonkwo O. , Pandolfi L. ,
  • 60', Cherubini L. , Melegoni F. ,
  • 60', Tronchin S. , Amatucci F. ,
  • 61', Milanese T. , Manzari G. ,
  • 74', Cicconi M. , Bouah D. ,
  • 74', Finotto M. , Shpendi S. ,
  • 79', Vita A. , Tessiore A. ,
  • 81', Giovane S. , Capezzi L. ,
  • 89', D'Alessio F. , Casolari F. ,
  • 90+1', Manzari G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cittadella
34.7%
Draw
30.1%
Carrarese
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 31.3% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7% 30.8% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Cittadella - Carrarese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.71
    (2.73)
    3.1
    (2.99)
    2.67
    (2.73)
    6.7%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cittadella - Carrarese?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11).
    • Cittadella is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Carrarese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Cittadella: Angeli M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Cecchetto A. (Inactive) Djibril A. (Injury) Negro S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Carrarese: Bleve M. (Knock) Coppolaro M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cittadella - Carrarese were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Carrarese - Cittadella 3:0
    Latest results of Cittadella
    29.03.2025 Cremonese - Cittadella 2:2
    15.03.2025 Cittadella - Sassuolo 1:2
    01.03.2025 Juve Stabia - Cittadella 0:1
    22.02.2025 Cittadella - Modena 0:2
    Latest results of Carrarese
    30.03.2025 Carrarese - Bari 2:1
    08.03.2025 Carrarese - Frosinone 0:1
    01.03.2025 Carrarese - Cremonese 2:2
    22.02.2025 Reggiana - Carrarese 2:2
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia31207463:263767
    2Monza31197549:252464
    3Frosinone311711359:312862
    4Palermo311610551:272458
    5Catanzaro301410648:351352
    6Modena30138940:241647
    7Juve Stabia31915735:37-242
    8Cesena311171338:46-840
    9Avellino311091236:49-1339
    10Sudtirol31814933:32138
    11Carrarese318121138:42-436
    12Padova318101332:42-1034
    13Mantova31971535:46-1134
    14Empoli317121239:45-633
    15Sampdoria317101429:42-1331
    16Bari317101430:47-1731
    17Entella317101428:45-1731
    18Spezia31791530:43-1330
    19Reggiana31791530:46-1630
    20Pescara316111441:54-1329

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation