Result
2:1
09/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 38
- Referee: Monaldi M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (428/494) | 75% (259/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (428/494) | 75% (259/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (24/47) | 46% (26/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (89/120) | 64% (59/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', Illanes J. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Mancuso L. ⚽, Mensah D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Schiavi N. ↓, Zuelli E. ↑,
- 46', Milanese T. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Finotto M. ⚽, Cicconi M. (A),
- 55', Cicconi M. 🟨,
- 55', Fiori A. ↓, Aramu M. ↑,
- 63', Cella S. 🟨,
- 65', Giovane S. ↓, Capezzi L. ↑,
- 67', Galuppini F. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
- 68', Mancuso L. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
- 76', Capezzi L. 🟨,
- 81', Bani C. ↓, Giordano S. ↑,
- 81', Mensah D. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
- 83', Shpendi S. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Debenedetti A. ⚽, Bragantini D. (A),
- 84', Debenedetti A. 🟨,
- 88', Guarino G. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
- 90+1', Bragantini D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mantova
45.1% | Draw
30.2% | Carrarese
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carrarese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carrarese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mantova - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.29) |
3.12 ↓
(3.29) |
3.78 ↑
(3.07) |
6.2%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mantova - Carrarese?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mantova: 43.5% – 83.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mantova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 12).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Mantova could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Mantova: Radaelli N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Fiorillo V.
(Red Card)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mantova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Carrarese?
Mantova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Mantova?
Carrarese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Carrarese were as follows:
20.10.2024
Carrarese
-
Mantova
1:1
Latest results of Mantova
Latest results of Carrarese
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
