Result
1:1
01/03/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 27
- Referee: Turrini N. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (178/262) | 71% (256/359) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (178/262) | 71% (256/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (18/59) | 42% (27/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (69/111) | 49% (48/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 33% (9/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Bragantini D. ⚽,
- 40', Kouda R. 🟨,
- 45+2', Schiavi N. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
- 45+3', Meroni A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Illanes J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rouhi J. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
- 53', Hasa L. 🟨,
- 55', Belloni N. 🟨,
- 60', Abiuso F. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
- 60', Rubino T. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 62', Mancuso L. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
- 62', Bragantini D. ↓, Ruocco F. ↑,
- 71', Mensah D. 🟨,
- 76', Radaelli N. ↓, Cella S. ↑,
- 77', Buso N. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Hasa L. ⚽, Zanon S. (A),
- 84', Hasa L. ↓, Parlanti G. ↑,
- 90+1', Zanon S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ruocco F. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Mantova
35.2% | Draw
30.6% | Carrarese
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mantova's form might have worsened.Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mantova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carrarese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mantova - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.23) |
3.07 ↓
(3.27) |
2.77 ↓
(3.17) |
6.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mantova - Carrarese?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 12).
- In recent matches, Mantova has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Carrarese has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Mantova: Bianay Balcot C.
(Injury)
Bonfanti N.
(Inactive)
Cella S.
(Inactive)
Falletti C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F.
(Inactive)
Bouah D.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mantova won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Mantova won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Carrarese?
Mantova has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Mantova?
Carrarese has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Carrarese were as follows:
27.12.2025
Carrarese
-
Mantova
0:0
09.05.2025
Mantova
-
Carrarese
2:1
20.10.2024
Carrarese
-
Mantova
1:1
Latest results of Mantova
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 67:28 | 39 | 71 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 64:32 | 32 | 68 |
| 3 | Monza | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Palermo | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 54:27 | 27 | 64 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 50:39 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | Modena | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 43:28 | 15 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 33 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Avellino | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37:53 | -16 | 39 |
| 12 | Mantova | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Padova | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 31:46 | -15 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Pescara | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46:59 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 | Spezia | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 32:49 | -17 | 30 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 31:52 | -21 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
