Casa Pia vs Rio Ave – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Casa Pia - Rio Ave
Result
2:1
29/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 27
  • Referee: Campos C. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.862.11
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
83% (319/385)83% (328/397)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
0.862.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.731.32
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
1711
Through passes
100% (2/2)100% (1/1)
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1219
Passes
83% (319/385)83% (328/397)
Long passes
40% (23/57)42% (22/52)
Passes in final third
63% (57/91)64% (54/85)
Crosses
33% (6/18)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.221.27
Fouls
1912
Tackles
82% (9/11)56% (10/18)
Duels won
3955
Clearances Total
2425
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.320.73
Goals prevented
0.32-1.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Morais T. , Andre Luiz (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Cassiano , Lelo L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Osundina K. , Livolant J. ,
  • 60', Neto M. , Aguilera Zamora B. ,
  • 60', Graca J. , Kiko Bondoso ,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Tchamba D. , Lelo L. (A),
  • 68', Larrazabal G. 🟨,
  • 69', Pablo Roberto 🟨,
  • 73', Pohlmann O. , Zoabi K. ,
  • 74', Miguel Sousa , Mohamed I. ,
  • 75', Pablo Roberto , Pereira H. ,
  • 80', Cassiano , Caue ,
  • 80', Larrazabal G. , Geraldes A. ,
  • 83', Novais J. , Bakoulas T. ,
  • 83', Vrousai M. , Tome J. ,
  • 86', Kluivert R. 🟨,
  • 87', Andre Luiz (Pen),
  • 90', Geraldes A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Caue 🟨,
  • 90+1', Bakoulas T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Casa Pia
47.9%
Draw
28.5%
Rio Ave
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 28.8% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 28.4% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Casa Pia - Rio Ave Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.16)
    3.32
    (3.26)
    3.96
    (3.39)
    5.4%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Rio Ave?
  • Users Predictions: Casa Pia will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Casa Pia will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki (Injury) Mendes C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rio Ave: Clayton (Red Card) Medina T. (Muscle Injury) Petrasso F. (Muscle Injury) Tiknaz D. E. (Yellow Cards)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:10 (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Rio Ave were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Casa Pia - Rio Ave 1:3
    02.11.2024 Rio Ave - Casa Pia 2:2
    11.02.2024 Rio Ave - Casa Pia 1:0
    02.09.2023 Casa Pia - Rio Ave 1:1
    16.04.2023 Rio Ave - Casa Pia 1:1
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    Latest results of Rio Ave
    10.03.2025 Famalicão - Rio Ave 1:0
    02.03.2025 Rio Ave - Braga 2:1
    22.02.2025 Estoril Praia - Rio Ave 2:1
    16.02.2025 Rio Ave - AVS 1:1
    10.02.2025 Arouca - Rio Ave 1:1
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1AFSVizela2 : 2, 3 : 0