Result
2:1
29/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 27
- Referee: Campos C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (319/385) | 83% (328/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (1/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (319/385) | 83% (328/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (23/57) | 42% (22/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (57/91) | 64% (54/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 55 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -1.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Morais T. ⚽, Andre Luiz (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Cassiano ⚽, Lelo L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Osundina K. ↓, Livolant J. ↑,
- 60', Neto M. ↓, Aguilera Zamora B. ↑,
- 60', Graca J. ↓, Kiko Bondoso ↑,
- 62', 2 - 1, Tchamba D. ⚽, Lelo L. (A),
- 68', Larrazabal G. 🟨,
- 69', Pablo Roberto 🟨,
- 73', Pohlmann O. ↓, Zoabi K. ↑,
- 74', Miguel Sousa ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
- 75', Pablo Roberto ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 80', Cassiano ↓, Caue ↑,
- 80', Larrazabal G. ↓, Geraldes A. ↑,
- 83', Novais J. ↓, Bakoulas T. ↑,
- 83', Vrousai M. ↓, Tome J. ↑,
- 86', Kluivert R. 🟨,
- 87', Andre Luiz (Pen),
- 90', Geraldes A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Caue 🟨,
- 90+1', Bakoulas T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Casa Pia
47.9% | Draw
28.5% | Rio Ave
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Casa Pia - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.16) |
3.32 ↑
(3.26) |
3.96 ↑
(3.39) |
5.4%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Rio Ave?
Users Predictions:
Casa Pia will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0.
- Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
- Casa Pia will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Clayton
(Red Card)
Medina T.
(Muscle Injury)
Petrasso F.
(Muscle Injury)
Tiknaz D. E.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:10 (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Rio Ave?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Casa Pia?
Rio Ave has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Rio Ave were as follows:
12.01.2025
Casa Pia
-
Rio Ave
1:3
02.11.2024
Rio Ave
-
Casa Pia
2:2
11.02.2024
Rio Ave
-
Casa Pia
1:0
02.09.2023
Casa Pia
-
Rio Ave
1:1
16.04.2023
Rio Ave
-
Casa Pia
1:1
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Rio Ave
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 30:4 | 26 | 40 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 38:7 | 31 | 35 |
| 3 | Benfica | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 30:8 | 22 | 32 |
| 4 | Braga | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:13 | 13 | 25 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 23 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 | Estoril | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 23:25 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 | Alverca | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 17 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17:22 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 13 | Nacional | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 | Estrela | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | Arouca | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:37 | -22 | 12 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14:28 | -14 | 10 |
| 17 | Tondela | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8:25 | -17 | 9 |
| 18 | AFS | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9:37 | -28 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
