Result
2:1
29/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 27
- Referee: Campos C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.86 | 2.11 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
83% (319/385) | 83% (328/397) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.86 | 2.11 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.73 | 1.32 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 11 |
Through passes |
---|
100% (2/2) | 100% (1/1) |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 19 |
Passes |
---|
83% (319/385) | 83% (328/397) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (23/57) | 42% (22/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (57/91) | 64% (54/85) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (6/18) | 33% (3/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.22 | 1.27 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
82% (9/11) | 56% (10/18) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 55 |
Clearances Total |
---|
24 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.32 | 0.73 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.32 | -1.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Morais T. ⚽, Andre Luiz (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Cassiano ⚽, Lelo L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Osundina K. ↓, Livolant J. ↑,
- 60', Neto M. ↓, Aguilera Zamora B. ↑,
- 60', Graca J. ↓, Kiko Bondoso ↑,
- 62', 2 - 1, Tchamba D. ⚽, Lelo L. (A),
- 68', Larrazabal G. 🟨,
- 69', Pablo Roberto 🟨,
- 73', Pohlmann O. ↓, Zoabi K. ↑,
- 74', Miguel Sousa ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
- 75', Pablo Roberto ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 80', Cassiano ↓, Caue ↑,
- 80', Larrazabal G. ↓, Geraldes A. ↑,
- 83', Novais J. ↓, Bakoulas T. ↑,
- 83', Vrousai M. ↓, Tome J. ↑,
- 86', Kluivert R. 🟨,
- 87', Andre Luiz (Pen),
- 90', Geraldes A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Caue 🟨,
- 90+1', Bakoulas T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Casa Pia 47.9% | Draw 28.5% | Rio Ave 23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Casa Pia - Rio Ave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2 ↓ (2.16) |
3.32 ↑ (3.26) |
3.96 ↑ (3.39) |
5.4% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Casa Pia - Rio Ave?
Users Predictions:
Casa Pia will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 0.
- Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
- Casa Pia will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Injury)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Rio Ave: Clayton
(Red Card)
Medina T.
(Muscle Injury)
Petrasso F.
(Muscle Injury)
Tiknaz D. E.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:10 (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Rio Ave?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Ave won against Casa Pia?
Rio Ave has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casa Pia - Rio Ave were as follows:
12.01.2025
Casa Pia
-
Rio Ave
1:3
02.11.2024
Rio Ave
-
Casa Pia
2:2
11.02.2024
Rio Ave
-
Casa Pia
1:0
02.09.2023
Casa Pia
-
Rio Ave
1:1
16.04.2023
Rio Ave
-
Casa Pia
1:1
Latest results of Casa Pia
Latest results of Rio Ave