Result
2:2
12/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 33
- Referee: Monaldi M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (232/297) | 84% (351/418) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (232/297) | 84% (351/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (17/41) | 56% (28/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (56/78) | 66% (68/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (12/27) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.50 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 46 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 2.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', Pittarello F. 🟨,
- 33', Illanes J. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Cherubini L. ⚽, Zuelli E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 1 - 1, Compagnon M. ⚽, Iemmello P. (A),
- 55', Torregrossa E. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
- 56', Imperiale M. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 2, Pittarello F. ⚽, Pompetti M. (A),
- 69', Zuelli E. ↓, Shpendi S. ↑,
- 74', Guarino G. 🟨,
- 79', Illanes J. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 79', Cicconi M. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
- 79', Finotto M. ↓, Cerri L. ↑,
- 80', Petriccione J. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 2, Shpendi S. ⚽,
- 90+1', Ilie R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Zanon S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Compagnon M. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
- 90+2', Ilie R. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3nejrx96
Chances of winning
Carrarese
41% | Draw
29.5% | Catanzaro
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Carrarese - Catanzaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.4) |
3.16 ↑
(3) |
3.17 ↑
(3) |
6.6%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Catanzaro?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Belloni N.
(Inactive)
Bleve M.
(Knock)
Coppolaro M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Catanzaro: D'Alessandro M.
(Injury)
La Mantia A.
(Injury)
Matias Antonini
(Injury)
Pontisso S.
(Injury)
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Catanzaro?
Carrarese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Carrarese?
Catanzaro has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Catanzaro were as follows:
01.09.2024
Catanzaro
-
Carrarese
3:1
Latest results of Carrarese
Latest results of Catanzaro
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
