Result
2:2
27/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 North-central-america | Centro America TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Messiniti N. ⚽,
- 5', 1 - 1, Banegas A. ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 1, Castillo R. ⚽,
- 45+1', Barrios A. ↓, Oliva E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ramirez L. ↓, Bernardez C. ↑,
- 46', Suazo O. ↓, Card S. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 2, Martinez W. ⚽,
- 60', Espinal M. 🟨,
- 61', Fernandez J. ↓, Sacaza C. ↑,
- 61', Castillo R. ↓, Vega Orellana A. N. ↑,
- 69', Oliva E. 🟥,
- 71', Portillo A. ↓, Matute C. ↑,
- 77', Ramirez D. ↓, Sorto Caballero T. A. ↑,
- 77', Martinez W. ↓, Monico D. ↑,
- 81', Rivera J. 🟨,
- 82', Orellana A. 🟥,
- 85', Martinez Hernandez F. E. ↓, Arriaga Chavez J. A. ↑,
- 86', Castillo I. ↓, Bueso J. ↑,
- 87', Banegas A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
CD Marathón
73.3% | Draw
17.9% | Victoria La Ceiba
8.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+1%)
CD Marathón - Victoria La Ceiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.31) |
5.45 ↑
(4.5) |
11.83 ↑
(8.85) |
8.1%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 2.
- Marathón is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Victoria La Ceiba is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Marathón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marathón is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marathón won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Victoria La Ceiba?
CD Marathón has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Victoria La Ceiba won against CD Marathón?
Victoria La Ceiba has won 5 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CD Marathón - Victoria La Ceiba were as follows:
24.07.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
CD Marathón
0:3
10.05.2025
CD Marathón
-
Victoria La Ceiba
0:1
07.05.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
CD Marathón
0:0
13.03.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
CD Marathón
1:4
25.01.2025
CD Marathón
-
Victoria La Ceiba
0:1
Latest results of CD Marathón
Latest results of Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 28:14 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Marathon | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Olancho | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 26:17 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Motagua | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:19 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Platense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 9 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Choloma | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12:32 | -20 | 7 |
| 11 | Victoria | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
