Central Español vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
12/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 11
  • Referee: Silveira P. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
45
Corner kicks
32
Yellow cards
53
Red cards
10
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
66
Corner kicks
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Rodolfo (Own goal),
  • 43', Velazquez E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', Ferreira M. , Sosa L. ,
  • 57', Sosa L. 🟨,
  • 64', Montiel M. , Vera D. ,
  • 64', Aguilera M. , Sosa F. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Sosa F. ,
  • 67', Garcia D. , Cabrera E. ,
  • 67', Fernandez S. , Azambuja N. ,
  • 71', Alonso M. 🟨,
  • 76', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
  • 76', Azambuja N. 🟨,
  • 77', Alonso M. , Dupont J. ,
  • 77', Fernandez L. , Navarro S. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Tarragona R. ,
  • 83', Tarragona R. 🟨,
  • 86', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Villoldo A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Tarragona R. , Pino L. ,
  • 90+2', Peralta M. , Azambuja B. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Rodriguez S. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Central Español
29.6%
Draw
30.5%
Danubio
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.2% 29.8% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 29.3% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Central Español - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.13
    (3.2)
    3.07
    (3.13)
    2.34
    (2.28)
    7.4%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Central Español - Danubio?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Central Español will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Danubio will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Danubio will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Central Español won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Central Español won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    Latest results of Danubio
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1182120:101026
    2Maldonado1171319:12722
    3Penarol1171317:10722
    4Central Esp1153316:13318
    5Liverpool M1144315:13216
    6Albion1144314:12216
    7Defensor Sp114439:7216
    8Nacional1151516:15116
    9Montevideo City1143414:12215
    10Danubio1135314:15-114
    11Cerro Largo1142513:14-114
    12Wanderers1142512:17-514
    13Boston River113269:13-411
    14CA Cerro112366:15-99
    15Juventud1121810:17-77
    16Progreso111469:18-97

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