Central Español vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
12/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 11
  • Referee: Silveira P. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
45
Corner kicks
32
Yellow cards
53
Red cards
10
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
66
Corner kicks
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Rodolfo (Own goal),
  • 43', Velazquez E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', Ferreira M. , Sosa L. ,
  • 57', Sosa L. 🟨,
  • 64', Montiel M. , Vera D. ,
  • 64', Aguilera M. , Sosa F. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Sosa F. ,
  • 67', Garcia D. , Cabrera E. ,
  • 67', Fernandez S. , Azambuja N. ,
  • 71', Alonso M. 🟨,
  • 76', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
  • 76', Azambuja N. 🟨,
  • 77', Alonso M. , Dupont J. ,
  • 77', Fernandez L. , Navarro S. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Tarragona R. ,
  • 83', Tarragona R. 🟨,
  • 86', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Villoldo A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Tarragona R. , Pino L. ,
  • 90+2', Peralta M. , Azambuja B. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Rodriguez S. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Central Español
29.6%
Draw
30.5%
Danubio
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.2% 29.8% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 29.3% 40.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Central Español - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.13
    (3.2)
    3.07
    (3.13)
    2.34
    (2.28)
    7.4%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Central Español - Danubio?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Central Español will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Danubio will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Danubio will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Central Español won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Central Español won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    Latest results of Danubio
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1494123:121131
    2Maldonado1482422:15726
    3Albion1474325:16925
    4Penarol1473420:14624
    5Defensor Sp1456312:9321
    6Central Esp1463521:22-121
    7Montevideo City1455420:15520
    8Liverpool M1455420:17320
    9Nacional1461722:21119
    10Danubio1446417:20-318
    11Cerro Largo1452714:16-217
    12Boston River1452713:18-517
    13Wanderers1452715:21-617
    14Juventud1433815:21-612
    15Progreso1424811:21-1010
    16CA Cerro142488:20-1210

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