Result
1:2
22/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (334/447) | 72% (284/395) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (334/447) | 72% (284/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/62) | 30% (20/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (69/104) | 59% (82/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 41% (9/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.38 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Inoue R. ↓, Hatanaka S. ↑,
- 55', 0 - 1, Germain R. ⚽,
- 59', Ohara M. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 64', Ohata A. ↓, Noborizato K. ↑,
- 64', Thiago Andrade ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
- 71', Suzuki A. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
- 71', Kawabe H. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
- 76', Kida H. ↓, Yengi K. ↑,
- 76', Sakata R. ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
- 79', Nakajima M. 🟨,
- 82', Yamasaki T. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
- 82', Germain R. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Sakuragawa S. ⚽,
- 90+7', 1 - 2, Higashi S. ⚽,
- 90+12', Kagawa S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka
26.1% | Draw
26.1% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima
47.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.62 ↓
(3.76) |
3.62 ↓
(3.84) |
1.98 ↑
(1.88) |
5.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 23.1% – 88.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 0.
- Cerezo Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Hiroshima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Cerezo Osaka has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Cerezo Osaka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
31.08.2025
Cerezo Osaka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:1
06.04.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:1
11.08.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:0
26.05.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:1
21.10.2023
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Cerezo Osaka
0:0
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
