Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
China | K-Ball |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (253/348) | 76% (255/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (253/348) | 76% (255/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 20% (11/54) | 45% (23/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (95/136) | 65% (105/161) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 2.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 1.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Fernandes L. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Shiotani T. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,
- 46', Maeda N. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 57', Yoshino K. 🟨,
- 62', Higashi S. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
- 66', Thiago Andrade ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
- 66', Shibayama M. ↓, Rafael Ratao ↑,
- 72', Tanaka S. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Kinoshita K. ⚽, Kim Ju-Sung (A),
- 78', Germain R. 🟨,
- 83', Nakajima Y. 🟨,
- 88', Kagawa S. ↓, Kida H. ↑,
- 90+2', Germain R. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka 29.5% | Draw 28% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima 42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.17 ↓ (3.27) |
3.38 ↓ (3.55) |
2.22 ↑ (2.13) |
6.2% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 0.
- Recent performances by Cerezo Osaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hiroshima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Hiroshima could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Noborizato K.
(Knee Injury)
Takahashi N.
(Foot Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Cerezo Osaka has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Cerezo Osaka?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
06.04.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:1
11.08.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:0
26.05.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:1
21.10.2023
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Cerezo Osaka
0:0
22.10.2022
Cerezo Osaka
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 62 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 14 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 35 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29:59 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 35 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 32:58 | -26 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League