Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Hiroshima Big Arch (Hiroshima).

J1 League - Round 9
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.28	1.48
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
81% (376/464)	81% (388/481)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28	1.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.96	1.19
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
5	10
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
7	10
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
27	27
Offsides
0	4
Free Kicks
9	10
Passes
81% (376/464)	81% (388/481)
Long passes
46% (35/76)	29% (14/48)
Passes in final third
66% (99/151)	74% (96/130)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.52	1.40
Fouls
10	9
Tackles
41% (9/22)	78% (18/23)
Duels won
51	56
Clearances Total
13	27
Interceptions
11	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
1.19	1.96
Goals prevented
0.19	-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Sasaki S. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Fernandes L. ⚽, Kitano S. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Arai N. ⚽, Germain R. (A),
22', Rafael Ratao 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Germain V. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
46', Arai N. ↓, Shiotani T. ↑,
56', Noborizato K. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
57', Suga D. 🟨,
58', Suga D. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
62', Fernandes L. ↓, Homma S. ↑,
62', Thiago Andrade ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
66', Maeda N. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
80', Nakano S. 🟨,
80', Rafael Ratao ↓, Kida H. ↑,
80', Kitano S. ↓, Vitor Bueno ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Araki H. ⚽, Nakamura S. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55.7%

Draw
24.7%

Cerezo Osaka
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

24%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23.2%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.61)	3.78 ↓ (3.92)	4.72 ↓ (5.36)	6.6% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hiroshima won 3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
In this match Hiroshima is a favorite.
There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury) Kawanami G. (Hand Injury)
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Hiroshima: Nakajima Y. (Injury)
There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Hatanaka S. (Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Hiroshima won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:17 (average 1.2:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Hiroshima won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:8 (average 0.7:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Cerezo Osaka?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Cerezo Osaka has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:

11.08.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka 2:0

26.05.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1

21.10.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka 0:0

22.10.2022 Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2

07.09.2022 Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2

Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

02.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashima Antlers 1:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0 ✺

16.03.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

12.03.2025 Lion City Sailors - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1 ✺

05.03.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Lion City Sailors 6:1 ✺

Latest results of Cerezo Osaka

02.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama 2:1 ✺

28.03.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1 ✺

20.03.2025 Kamatamare Sanuki - Cerezo Osaka 1:5 ✺

15.03.2025 Yokohama FC - Cerezo Osaka 2:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 1:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	27	15	6	6	47:30	17	51
2	Kashima Antlers	27	16	3	8	40:26	14	51
3	Machida	28	15	5	8	42:26	16	50
4	Kashiwa Reysol	27	14	8	5	40:27	13	50
5	Vissel Kobe	28	15	5	8	36:26	10	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	28	15	4	9	33:19	14	49
7	Urawa Reds	27	12	8	7	38:30	8	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	27	11	9	7	45:35	10	42
9	Okayama	27	11	6	10	26:23	3	39
10	Cerezo Osaka	27	10	8	9	41:38	3	38
11	Avispa Fukuoka	27	9	10	8	27:26	1	37
12	Gamba Osaka	28	11	4	13	33:40	-7	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	27	8	8	11	30:35	-5	32
14	Verdy	27	8	7	12	16:28	-12	31
15	FC Tokyo	27	8	6	13	29:41	-12	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	27	7	7	13	33:41	-8	28
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	27	6	7	14	26:34	-8	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	27	6	7	14	22:42	-20	25
19	Yokohama FC	27	6	4	17	18:35	-17	22
20	Albirex Niigata	27	4	8	15	27:47	-20	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League