Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka).

J1 League - Round 28
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.41	0.85
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
8	6
Passes
73% (253/348)	76% (255/337)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41	0.85
xG on target (xGOT)
2.82	0.95
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
5	5
Shots inside the Box
12	4
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
8	6
Touches in opposition box
36	18
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	5
Free Kicks
12	8
Passes
73% (253/348)	76% (255/337)
Long passes
20% (11/54)	45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
70% (95/136)	65% (105/161)
Crosses
29% (5/17)	19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.25	1.21
Throw-ins
26	19
Fouls
9	14
Tackles
68% (13/19)	42% (5/12)
Duels won
53	51
Clearances
48	27
Interceptions
2	4
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.95	2.82
Goals prevented
-0.05	1.82

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Fernandes L. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shiotani T. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,
46', Maeda N. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
57', Yoshino K. 🟨,
62', Higashi S. ↓, Arai N. ↑,
66', Thiago Andrade ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
66', Shibayama M. ↓, Rafael Ratao ↑,
72', Tanaka S. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Kinoshita K. ⚽, Kim Ju-Sung (A),
78', Germain R. 🟨,
83', Nakajima Y. 🟨,
88', Kagawa S. ↓, Kida H. ↑,
90+2', Germain R. ↓, Germain V. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cerezo Osaka
29.5%

Draw
28%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

26.7%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

27%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.27)	3.38 ↓ (3.55)	2.22 ↑ (2.13)	6.2% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Hiroshima will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 45% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 0.
Recent performances by Cerezo Osaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Hiroshima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Hiroshima could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Noborizato K. (Knee Injury) Takahashi N. (Foot Injury) Uejo S. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Cerezo Osaka has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Cerezo Osaka?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:

06.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka 2:1

11.08.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka 2:0

26.05.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1

21.10.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka 0:0

22.10.2022 Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:2

Latest results of Cerezo Osaka

23.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe 1:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka 3:0 ✺

11.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata 3:1 ✺

06.08.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

27.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:4 ✺

23.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:3 ✺

20.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Vissel Kobe 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	33	20	5	8	52:28	24	65
2	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
3	Kashiwa Reysol	33	16	12	5	48:33	15	60
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	43:28	15	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	39:23	16	58
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	49:35	14	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	33	14	11	8	60:45	15	53
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	40:32	8	52
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	46:47	-1	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	33	11	10	12	50:49	1	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	33	10	11	12	35:39	-4	41
12	Okayama	33	11	8	14	29:35	-6	41
13	FC Tokyo	33	11	8	14	36:46	-10	41
14	Avispa Fukuoka	33	10	10	13	32:37	-5	40
15	Nagoya Grampus	33	10	9	14	40:48	-8	39
16	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	33	8	7	18	32:44	-12	31
18	Yokohama FC	33	8	7	18	21:37	-16	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	33	4	10	19	30:55	-25	22

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