Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka).

J1 League - Round 16
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.84	0.72
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
14	15
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
3	12
Passes
87% (461/529)	86% (428/499)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84	0.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.48	0.14
Total shots
14	15
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
8	6
Blocked Shots
3	8
Shots inside the Box
8	9
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
3	12
Touches in opposition box
22	22
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	4
Free Kicks
13	13
Passes
87% (461/529)	86% (428/499)
Long passes
43% (17/40)	46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
75% (70/93)	74% (121/164)
Crosses
25% (3/12)	23% (7/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.64	0.85
Throw-ins
11	18
Fouls
13	13
Tackles
70% (7/10)	90% (9/10)
Duels won
39	36
Clearances
29	17
Interceptions
12	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.14	1.48
Goals prevented
0.14	0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Inoue K. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Rafael Ratao ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
41', Takahashi N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Inoue K. ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
65', Uenaka A. 🟨,
72', Tono D. ↓, Kato R. ↑,
76', Uejo S. ↓, Kitano S. ↑,
80', Deng T. ↓, Walsh S. ↑,
81', Kida T. ↓, Yamane R. ↑,
81', Anderson Lopes ↓, Amano J. ↑,
85', Rafael Ratao ↓, Furuyama K. ↑,
90+3', Furuyama K. 🟨,
90+5', Fernandes L. ↓, Funaki K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cerezo Osaka
42.8%

Draw
25.5%

Yokohama F. Marinos
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

26.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

26.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Cerezo Osaka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.21)	3.72 ↑ (3.58)	2.96 ↓ (3.06)	6% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 1.
Recent performances by Cerezo Osaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Yokohama FM is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Vitor Bueno (Inactive)
There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Miyaichi R. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Yokohama F. Marinos?

Cerezo Osaka has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Cerezo Osaka?

Yokohama F. Marinos has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:

24.08.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka 4:0

27.04.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:2

12.11.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka 2:0

01.04.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1

Latest results of Cerezo Osaka

06.05.2025 Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka 1:3 ✺

03.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 2:3 ✺

29.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Machida Zelvia 1:2 ✺

25.04.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Cerezo Osaka 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos

26.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:4 ✺

20.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:3 ✺

12.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1 ✺

09.04.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	35	20	7	8	53:29	24	67
2	Kashiwa Reysol	35	18	12	5	55:33	22	66
3	Kyoto	35	17	11	7	59:37	22	62
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	35	17	8	10	39:26	13	59
6	Machida	35	16	9	10	49:35	14	57
7	Kawasaki Frontale	35	15	11	9	65:50	15	56
8	Urawa Reds	35	14	11	10	40:36	4	53
9	Gamba Osaka	35	16	5	14	48:52	-4	53
10	Cerezo Osaka	35	13	10	12	54:50	4	49
11	FC Tokyo	35	12	9	14	39:47	-8	45
12	Shimizu S-Pulse	35	11	11	13	39:44	-5	44
13	Verdy	35	11	9	15	22:36	-14	42
14	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
15	Okayama	35	11	8	16	31:40	-9	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	35	10	10	15	42:52	-10	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	35	10	7	18	39:44	-5	37
18	Yokohama FC	35	8	8	19	23:41	-18	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League