Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos
Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
chinaChinaQQ Sports
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.72
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
312
Passes
87% (461/529)86% (428/499)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.840.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.480.14
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
38
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
312
Touches in opposition box
2222
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
87% (461/529)86% (428/499)
Long passes
43% (17/40)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
75% (70/93)74% (121/164)
Crosses
25% (3/12)23% (7/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.640.85
Throw-ins
1118
Fouls
1313
Tackles
70% (7/10)90% (9/10)
Duels won
3936
Clearances
2917
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.141.48
Goals prevented
0.140.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Inoue K. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Rafael Ratao , Fernandes L. (A),
  • 41', Takahashi N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Inoue K. , Miyaichi R. ,
  • 65', Uenaka A. 🟨,
  • 72', Tono D. , Kato R. ,
  • 76', Uejo S. , Kitano S. ,
  • 80', Deng T. , Walsh S. ,
  • 81', Kida T. , Yamane R. ,
  • 81', Anderson Lopes , Amano J. ,
  • 85', Rafael Ratao , Furuyama K. ,
  • 90+3', Furuyama K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Fernandes L. , Funaki K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cerezo Osaka
42.8%
Draw
25.5%
Yokohama F. Marinos
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 26.3% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 26.4% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Cerezo Osaka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.21)
    3.72
    (3.58)
    2.96
    (3.06)
    6%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 1.
    • Recent performances by Cerezo Osaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Yokohama FM is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Vitor Bueno (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Miyaichi R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka 4:0
    27.04.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:2
    12.11.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka 2:0
    01.04.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    2Machida28155842:261650
    3Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    4Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    6Kyoto26146643:301348
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo26861229:37-830
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

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          Relegation ~ J2 League